MLB Prediction: Mets vs. Mariners – August 9th Showdown

by | Last updated Aug 9, 2024 | mlb

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Friday, August 9th, 10:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Mets -101/Mariners -117
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Mets on Friday, August 9th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYM -101 -1.5 O 7.5 (-117)
SEA -117 +1.5 U 7.5 (-104)

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Friday, and he is facing off against Bryce Miller for the Mariners. New York is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 61-54 this season. The Mariners are 60-56 overall and they are 2nd in the AL West.

The money line odds have the Mets at -101 compared to the Mariners at -117, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. This interleague matchup will get started at 10:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle.

Mets vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Francisco Lindor 1 SS
Brandon Nimmo 2 LF
J.D. Martinez 3 DH
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Jesse Winker 5 RF
Mark Vientos 6 3B
Jeff McNeil 7 2B
Francisco Alvarez 8 C
Harrison Bader 9 CF
Jose Quintana SP


Player Batting Order Position
Victor Robles 1 CF
Randy Arozarena 2 LF
Cal Raleigh 3 C
Justin Turner 4 1B
Jorge Polanco 5 2B
Dylan Moore 6 3B
Mitch Garver 7 DH
Mitch Haniger 8 RF
Leo Rivas 9 SS
Bryce Miller SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 61-54 SU / OU 58-53 / Runline 56-59
Seattle Mariners: 60-56 SU / OU 50-61 / Runline 50-66

Mets Records & Recent Play

Pete Alonso and the Mets are coming off a big 9-1 win over the Rockies to close out their series. Alonso really got things going for the Mets, as they scored four runs in the 1st inning, and he went 3/5 with two homers and three RBIs. The Mets really broke things open with a four-run 1st inning and added another two runs in the 5th.

David Peterson started for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Mets are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 61-54 overall. New York is on a two-game winning streak, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies. This year, they have gone 20-16 in divisional games.

At home, the Mets are 30-29 this season compared to 31-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 38-31 this season and 23-23 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 19-14-7 and have won two straight series.

When betting the Mets on the run line, it’s important to note that they have a winning record overall, but they have been a better bet on the road than at home. They have covered the run line in 31 of 56 road games and have covered in two straight. They have been an underdog in 46 games, covering in 28 of them.

The Mets are on the road against the Mariners today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.4 runs, and their over/under record is 58-53. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 11-12. Overall, 70.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The under has hit in their last five games.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. Seattle was the -202 favorite at home going into the game. After the Tigers scored three runs in the top of the 5th, the Mariners responded with a run of their own. Seattle’s bullpen was able to close things out, and JT Chargois picked up the save.

Bryan Woo put together a good start for the Mariners, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Seattle is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 60-56, which has them in 2nd place in the AL West. They are currently tied with the Astros for the division lead, and the Rangers are 5.5 games behind them. The Mariners went 19-13 in divisional games this year.

The Mariners lost two of three in their series vs. the Tigers, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games. So far, they are 34-26 at home and have gone 26-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Mariners are 19-21 this year, with an overall record of 41-35 when favored. Seattle’s overall series record is 16-19-2 this year.

Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 50-66 against the run line. They have been a bit better at home, going 24-36 against the run line, compared to 26-30 on the road. They have been a slight favorite in most games, going 29-47 against the run line as the favorite, compared to 21-19 as the underdog. Their average run margin for the season is just +0.2 runs per game, but it jumps to +0.3 runs per game at home.

The Seattle Mariners are at home today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.7 runs, and their over/under record is 50-61. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 13-21. So far this season, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 37.9% of their games.

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Pitching Matchup

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.96 ERA. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Quintana took the loss vs. the Angels, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.70 compared to 5.92 on the road.

Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.62 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .215 this season off Miller, and he has a total of 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed a run in two straight outings. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 2.59 compared to 5.83 on the road.

Mets vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ most consistent power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 25 homers and Lindor right behind him at 22. Alonso is batting just .246 this season, while Lindor is at .256. Over the Mets’ last nine games, Alonso has gone 8/32 with three homers, and Lindor is also batting .250 over that stretch.

As a team, the Mets are 9th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and are batting a collective .250. Currently, the Mets have several players on hitting streaks, with Francisco Alvarez leading the way at five games.

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners most consistent power threat this season, as his 24 home runs is 9th in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .213 for the season. Julio Rodriguez has been a better all-around hitter, with a batting average of .263 and 11 homers. Over his last five games, Luke Raley has gone 5/15 with three homers and seven RBIs.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 22nd in batting average and have the most strikeouts in the league. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Free Mets vs. Mariners MLB Pick

The Mariners are coming off a disappointing series where they dropped two of three from the Tigers. But I actually see them getting back on track here tonight with Bryce Miller on the mound. The way I’m playing this one is to take the Mariners on the money line. Note: Did you know that you could be betting on MLB games for less? Yes! It’s called “reduced juice” and you can find it for ALL sports at BetAnySports Sportsbook!

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