MLB Picks: Yankees vs. Twins Predictions 5/14/24

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Tuesday, May 14th, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Yanks -137/Twinkies +115 (Bet at reduced odds at BetAnySports! Save BIG $$$!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Yankees on Tuesday, May 14th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees on Tuesday, and he will be facing off against Chris Paddack for the Twins. This one is getting started at 7:40 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Yankees are 2nd in the AL East.

New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Twins, who are at +115. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSN will be televising this one.

Yankees vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 27-15 SU / OU 18-22 / Runline 21-21
Minnesota Twins: 24-16 SU / OU 20-19 / Runline 22-18

Yankees Records & Recent Play

New York closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 10-6 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -145. It was a big 1st inning for the Yankees, as they scored a run and then added another three runs in the 3rd.

Luis Gil put together a good start for the Yankees, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out three Rays batters. New York’s offense was carried by Jose Trevino, who went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.

The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Twins with an overall record of 27-15, which has them tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York will be on the road today, where they are 14-9 this season. They have also been good at home, going 13-6. The Yankees are 7-4 as the underdog this year and have gone 20-11 as the favorite.

So far, the Yankees have gone 8-8 in AL East play, and they took their series vs. the Rays to close out the series. New York has an overall series record of 10-2-1 this year, and they have won three straight series. Heading into today’s game, they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games.

The Yankees have been a solid run line bet this season, going 21-21 overall. They have been better on the road, where they are 13-10 against the run line. They have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game this season. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 8-3 against the run line in those games.

When the Yankees and Rays combined for 16 runs in their most recent game, it marked the second straight over for the Yankees. The over/under line for today’s game against the Twins is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with the Yankees’ average combined run total of 8.3 runs per game this season. The Yankees’ over/under record for the season is 18-22, and the over has hit in three of their seven games with an over/under line of 8 runs.

Twins Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Twins closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -121 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, and the Blue Jays could only score one run, which came in the 7th.

Bailey Ober put together a good start for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 10 Blue Jays batters. Carlos Santana was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Minnesota will be hosting the Yankees today with an overall record of 24-16, which has them just one game behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 12-7 in divisional games, and they have won two straight series. The Twins took two of three from the Blue Jays in their most recent series.

At home, the Twins are 11-8 this season and have gone 13-8 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has been good this year, going 19-7, and they are 5-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Twins are 7-4-2 and have won six straight series.

Minnesota has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 22-18 overall. They’ve been even better on the road, where they are 13-8 against the run line. As the favorite, they are 15-11 vs. the run line. They have a run differential of +0.7 runs per game overall, and their average run differential in wins is +3.6 runs per game.

Minnesota’s over/under record is 20-19 on the season, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-5-1. The Twins’ games have had an average of 9.1 runs scored per game this season, and 40% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8-run line. In their last game, the Twins and Blue Jays combined for six runs, which was two runs below the over/under line of 8 runs.

Pitching Matchup

New York is sending left-hander Carlos Rodón to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made a total of eight starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.56 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodón has a WHIP of 1.26 and batting average allowed of .234. Rodón has made four quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 5.44 compared to 1.95 at home. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Astros. Before that, he had given up at least six earned runs in two straight starts.

Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Mariners on May 8th, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Paddack has made seven starts, and he has a record of 4-1 to go along with an ERA of 4.34. Opponents have a batting average of .296 off the right-hander this season. Paddack has made two quality starts this year and has an ERA of 1.39 at home compared to 8.96 on the road.

Yankees vs. Twins Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams, and they are also among the top 10 in scoring, at 4.8 runs per game. New York is also one of the league’s best teams at drawing walks and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league. The Yankees have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Juan Soto comes into the game as the Yankees’ leading hitter, batting .314 for the season, and he is also 3rd in the league with 34 RBIs. Soto has also been a good source of power, with nine homers. Aaron Judge is also near the top of the league in homers, with 10, but he has a batting average of just .235 for the season. However, Judge has been hot of late, going 12/33 in his last 10 games.

Carlos Santana and Max Kepler have been the Twins’ hottest hitters of late, with Kepler hitting .438 with two homers in his last nine games, and Santana has gone 9/29 with three homers in his last nine games. Kepler is also currently on a 14-game hitting streak. Overall, Kepler is batting .292 with nine homers, and Santana is 2nd on the team with seven long balls, but he is batting just .212 for the season.

As a team, the Twins are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. So far, they have the league’s 3rd best isolated power figure and are near the top of the league in team slugging and OPS.

Free Yankees vs. Twins MLB Pick

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +115. We actually have the Twins winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout, this is a great option.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth-best among starters today. 

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