MLB Picks: Phillies vs. Nats 6/4/23

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
Date: Sunday, June 4th, 1:35 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Phillies -161/Nationals +137
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Washington Nationals and the Phillies on Sunday, June 4th at Nationals Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Phillies vs. Nationals Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Bryson Stott	1	2B
Trea Turner	2	SS
Bryce Harper	3	DH
Nick Castellanos	4	RF
Kyle Schwarber	5	LF
J.T. Realmuto	6	C
Drew Ellis	7	3B
Brandon Marsh	8	CF
Kody Clemens	9	3B
Ranger Suárez	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Lane Thomas	1	RF
Luis García	2	2B
Joey Meneses	3	DH
Jeimer Candelario	4	3B
Stone Garrett	5	RF
Dominic Smith	6	1B
Keibert Ruiz	7	C
Alex Call	8	CF
CJ Abrams	9	SS
Trevor Williams	–	RP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 26-32 SU / OU 25-30 / Runline 23-35
Washington Nationals: 25-33 SU / OU 27-29 / Runline 36-22

Heading into today’s action, the Phillies’ record of 26-32 has them sitting 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 12-22 and 14-10, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 8-8-2.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in 39.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.8
• The Phillies have been favored in 58.6% of their games and have runline records of 9-15 and 14-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 25-30.

So far this season, the Nationals have an overall record of 25-33, putting them 5th in the NL East. Currently, they are nine games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 13-15 and 12-18 at home. The team’s series record is 6-10-2.

• The Nationals have covered the runline in 62.1% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.5
• The Nationals have been favored in 5.2% of their games and have runline records of 15-15 and 21-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 27-29.

Pitching Matchup




Starter Ranger Suárez comes in with an overall record of 0-2 for the Phillies. Having made four appearances, his ERA is 7.13 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.02 and an OBP of .354.

Suárez will look to build on his previous start, as he tossed 6 2/3 innings and allowed two earned runs on five hits. However, the Phillies fell by a score of 2-0 to the Mets.




Across his 11 outings, Trevor Williams has a record of 2-3 and ERA of 3.93. One thing to note is that he has given up a home run in each of his last three appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.29 with an OBP allowed of .305. Williams’ strikeout to walk ratio is 40/16.

In Trevor Williams’ last outing, the Nationals lost by a score of 6-1 to the Dodgers. In the game, he allowed six runs on six hits over five innings.

Phillies vs. Nationals Offense Outlook

The Phillies come into the game ranked 21st in the league on an average of 4.2 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Philadelphia is 15th, having hit the ball out of the park 59 times. Their overall batting average stands at .255. On the road, they are hitting .244 while .243 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters vs. Righties




Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games




This season, Washington is ranked 20th in the league in terms of runs scored, with an average of 4.3 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit a combined 45 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .264 ranks 4th in the league. On the road, their batting average ranks 6th compared to 6th at home.

Washington Nationals Top Bats




Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Sure, the Phillies Ranger Suarez is coming off of his best out of the season a nice quality start against the Mets, but the key is that it was the Mets. On the season, the lefties numbers are atrocious with a 7.13 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Suarez’s stats are no better against the Nats’ roster, with the team hitting a career .308 over 52 at bats. Trevor Williams’ stats are even worse against the Phillies, but he has pitched better as of late and the Washington hitters have been feasting on sub-par pitching. Take Washington +140.