MLB Picks: NY Yankees at San Diego Padres 5/24/24

New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Friday, May 24th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: YES
Money Line: Yankees -115/Padres -103
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Yankees on Friday, May 24th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Carlos Rodon is starting for the Yankees on Friday, as they will take on the Padres, who are 27-26 overall. The game is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are slight money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -103. The money line odds for a Yankees win are currently at -115.

New York is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 35-17 overall, which has them in 1st place in the AL East. The over/under line for Friday’s game is at 7.5 runs, and the forecast in San Diego calls for temperatures in the low 60s with broken clouds. YES will be televising Friday’s Yankees-Padres matchup.

Yankees vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 35-17 SU / OU 22-28 / Runline 29-23
San Diego Padres: 27-26 SU / OU 28-24 / Runline 29-24

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After going just 1/2 in the 2nd inning, the Yankees scored another run in the 3rd to take the lead. New York’s biggest inning was the 7th, where they scored three runs. Overall, the Yankees were 11/29 at the plate and hit two home runs.

Luis Gil put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Mariners batters. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

Heading into their road matchup with the Padres, the Yankees lead the AL East with a record of 35-17. They hold a three-game lead over the Orioles and are 8-8 in divisional matchups. The Yankees have won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10.

At home, the Yankees have gone 18-8 this year and are 17-9 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 15-6. As the favorite, the Yankees are 26-13 this year, and they are 9-4 when coming into a game as the underdog.

The Yankees have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 29-23 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 16-10 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 10-3 as an underdog this season.

The New York Yankees are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 22-28 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.1 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 2-4. So far this season, 86.5% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.

Padres Records & Recent Play

Led by a big game by Luis Arraez at the plate, the Padres are coming off a 6-4 win over the Reds to close out their series. Arraez went 4/5 with a run scored and an RBI. The Padres really broke things open with a two-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 3rd. San Diego was the slight favorite at -112 going into the game.

Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had seven strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Padres are currently 2nd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games. Overall, the Padres are 27-26 heading into today’s game vs. the Yankees. They have won two straight games, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Reds.

At home, the Padres are 10-16 this season compared to 17-10 on the road. As the home underdog, the Padres are just 1-5 this season, and their overall series record is 10-6-2. This year, they are 16-15 as the favorite and 11-11 as the underdog.

When betting the run line on the Padres, it’s been more profitable to do so on the road than at home. San Diego is 21-6 vs. the run line as the visitor, but just 8-18 at home. The Padres’ average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they’re 29-24 vs. the run line overall. They’re 15-7 vs. the run line as an underdog and 14-17 as the favorite.

The Padres have played in 64.2% of games with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 28-24, and they have hit the over in nine of their 17 games with a 7.5 run line. The over has hit in two straight games for the Padres.

Pitching Matchup

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.27. So far, he has made 10 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Rodón has been pitching well lately, as he has won his last three starts. In his most recent outing, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, Rodón has given up two earned runs in three of them. The left-hander’s ERA at home is 2.21, compared to 4.78 on the road.

Yu Darvish has been dominant this season for the Padres, coming into the game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.08. He has made nine starts and has pitched well at home, with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.94. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently .90, and opponents are batting .174 off the right-hander this season. In his last outing, Darvish went seven innings, picking up the win and not allowing a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Darvish has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last four starts.

Yankees vs. Padres Offense Outlook

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the MLB. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. The Yankees have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been two of the Yankees’ top power threats this season, with Soto’s 13 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Judge’s 15 homers being the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. Judge has been hot of late, going 15/32 (.469) with five homers over his last 10 games. Anthony Volpe is also swinging a hot bat, as he is on a 16-game hitting streak and has gone 14/43 over his last 10 games.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Padres are batting .259, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They also have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league, at .324.

Jurickson Profar comes into the game on a 12 game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 32 RBIs and 7 home runs. Profar is hitting .337 for the season. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are tied for the team lead with 8 homers. However, Cronenworth is hitting just .263 and Tatis Jr. is batting .246. Luis Arraez has been hot of late, going 20/38 in his last eight games.

Free Yankees vs. Padres MLB Pick

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -103. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth among all starters. As for Carlos Rodón, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is fifth-best.