MLB Picks: Diamondbacks vs. Mets May 30th

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
Date: Thursday, May 30th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Diamondbacks -119/Mets -101
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Diamondbacks on Thursday, May 30th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Thursday’s matchup between the Diamondbacks and Mets has a first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The Mets are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 22-33 overall, while the Diamondbacks are 25-30.

Christian Scott will be on the mound for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Zac Gallen. Arizona is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs. MLBN will be televising this NL matchup.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 25-30 SU / OU 23-30 / Runline 24-31
New York Mets: 22-33 SU / OU 28-26 / Runline 23-32

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

Arizona closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-1 loss on the road. The Diamondbacks were the +115 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Diamondbacks, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored one run in the bottom of the first.

Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Arizona’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd inning and went on to load the bases in the 9th but couldn was only able to score one run. Corbin Carroll had a good day at the plate, going 3/5 with a run scored.

Arizona is 25-30 overall, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Mets. The Diamondbacks are 9.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 11-9 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 13-15 this season and 12-15 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 13-12 and 12-18 as the underdog. Arizona’s overall series record is 6-11-1, and they have dropped two straight series.

Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line on the road this season, going 14-13. The Diamondbacks have a run line record of 24-31 overall, and they have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 16-14. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.

Arizona’s road games have been high-scoring affairs this season, with a combined run average of 9.1. The Diamondbacks have gone over the total in 23 of their 53 games this season, and their games have had an average total of 9 runs. When the total line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over in 3 of 7 games. Their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs or higher in 46 of 55 games this season, and they have gone under the total in their last six games.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 10-3 loss. New York was the slight favorite at +103 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Dodgers scored six times in the 2nd.

David Peterson took the loss, going only five innings and giving up six earned runs on seven hits. The Mets also issued three walks in the inning. Tomas Nido had a big game at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Mets will host the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 22-33, which places them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 16 games for the NL East lead. New York is coming off being swept by the Dodgers in a three-game series and have gone just 2-8 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Mets are 11-19 this year and 11-14 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 10-18 this year, and they are 2-8 when playing as the underdog at home. New York’s overall series record is 6-11-2, and they have dropped four straight series overall.

Despite a losing record against the run line this season, the Mets have been a profitable team to back on the road, where they are 14-11 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1. They have failed to cover the run line in three straight games at home and are just 9-21 against the run line at Citi Field this season.

The New York Mets are hosting the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mets have had an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 28-26. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-9. So far this season, 54.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Zac Gallen is on the mound for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 to go along with a 3.12 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gallen has a WHIP of 1.13 and has allowed a total of six home runs. Gallen has turned in six quality starts this year and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs and took the loss, going seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Christian Scott is getting the start for the Mets today, and he has been pretty solid through his first 3 starts of the season. He’s coming off a no-decision against the Giants, where he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs. Scott has yet to pick up a win, but he has 18 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings of work.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Offense Outlook

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have both been solid run producers for the Diamondbacks this season, as Walker’s 33 RBIs are 14th in the league and lead the team, while Marte has 27 RBIs and is batting .265. Joc Pederson has been the team’s top hitter so far, batting .306 with a team-high 10 home runs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with six homers, but is batting just .237.

Over his last 10 games, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone 10/34, while Christian Walker has gone 11/37 in his last 10 games. Ketel Marte has struggled a bit of late, going just 7/42 in his last 10 games. Walker is also on a seven-game hitting streak.

So far this season, the Mets offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league, and have the 20th-ranked on-base percentage in the league. New York’s team slugging percentage of .370 is also below the league average.

Brandon Nimmo comes into the game as the Mets’ leading home run hitter, and his 29 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Nimmo is batting just .214 for the season, but his on-base percentage of .355 is among the best on the team. Over his last seven games, Francisco Lindor has gone 9/31 (.290) with one homer and three RBIs. Lindor and Pete Alonso are tied for the team lead with 26 RBIs, but Alonso is batting just .231 for the season and has gone 5/25 in his last seven games.

Free Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB Pick

The Mets are really struggling of late, having gone just 2-8 in their last 10, and they are coming off being routed by the Dodgers, prompting a team meeting to address their recent play. Luckily, they now face a Diamondbacks squad that has dropped three straight and hasn’t scored more than three runs since last week Wednesday. I’m taking the Mets on the moneyline.