MLB Picks: Brewers vs. Cubs July 22

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
Date: Monday, July 22nd, 8:05 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Brewers -114/Cubs -105
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Brewers on Monday, July 22nd at Wrigley Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 8:05 PM ET, the Brewers and Cubs will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-114). The Cubs’ money line odds are sitting at -105, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

BSWI will be televising Monday’s game, and the Brewers are currently on a three-game winning streak. They have a record of 57-42, while the Cubs are 48-53 and are 4th in the NL Central. Javier Assad is slated to start for the Cubs, and the Brewers are going with Tobias Myers.

Brewers vs. Cubs Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 57-42 SU / OU 54-41 / Runline 52-47
Chicago Cubs: 48-53 SU / OU 43-54 / Runline 49-52

Brewers Records & Recent Play

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with an 8-7 win. After allowing two runs to the Twins in the 2nd inning, the Brewers responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 3rd. Milwaukee went on to close out the 8-7 win, and Jared Koenig picked up the save.

Eric Haase went 3/4 with two homers and three RBIs for the Brewers. The Brewers really got things going in the 3rd inning, with Haase going deep for the first time and the Brewers adding another three runs. Milwaukee’s starter, Aaron Civale, only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. He also issued four walks.

Milwaukee heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Cubs having won three straight games, and they lead the NL Central by five games with a 57-42 overall record. The Brewers are 21-12 against other teams in the NL Central. Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Twins with two straight wins.

At home, the Brewers are 29-17 this season, and they have gone 28-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 33-21 this year and 24-21 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 18-10-3, and they have lost two straight series at home.

When betting the run line on the Brewers, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 30-15 against the run line in those games. They are also 29-24 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in their last three road games. Overall, the Brewers have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Chicago Cubs today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-41. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. Overall, 60.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Cubs Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Cubs closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good performance by the Cubs, as they got a big start from Shota Imanaga, going seven innings and giving up just one run while striking out 10. Héctor Neris closed things out in the 9th, and the Cubs picked up the win.

Chicago’s offense scored their only two runs in the 3rd inning. The Diamondbacks added a run of their own in the 7th to tie things up, but the Cubs were able to close things out and pick up the win. Shota Imanaga put together a good start for the Cubs, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out 10.

With a record of 48-53, the Cubs are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. So far, they have gone just 12-21 in divisional matchups. The Cubs will host the Brewers today, and they are 26-23 at home this season.

Chicago has gone 6-4 across their last ten games and dropped two of three in their series vs. the Diamondbacks. This year, the Cubs are 23-23 as the favorite and 25-30 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 10-18-3 this season.

When the Cubs are favored, they are 13-33 ATS, but when they are the underdog, they are 36-19 ATS. The Cubs have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 49-52. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -3.2 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the Chicago Cubs’ game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 8 runs. The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-54. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Cubs have gone 3-13-1 this season. Overall, 51 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 50.5% of their games. Their current under streak is at 3 games.

Pitching Matchup

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Cubs. Myers has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA. In his 13 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Myers most recently faced the Cubs on June 29th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. The right-hander is coming off a start in which he didn’t give up an earned run, going eight innings vs. the Pirates. He got the win in that outing.

Through 17 starts, Javier Assad has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.27 for the Cubs. He has made three quality starts this year. In his last outing, Assad finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than one earned run. At home, he is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 4.58 ERA on the road. Opponents are batting .245 off Assad this season.

Brewers vs. Cubs Offense Outlook

So far, the Brewers offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.9 runs per game (6th) and batting a collective .255 (4th). They have also been very good at getting on base, with a team OBP of .332, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. Milwaukee’s team OBP is a big reason why they are 8th in the league in OPS, despite being just 16th in home runs.

Willy Adames comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 9/21 in his last five games with a homer and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 15 homers. Christian Yelich and William Contreras are also near the top of the Brewers home run leaderboard, with both players having 11 homers. Yelich is batting .320 for the season, while Contreras is hitting .284.

For the season, the Cubs are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have also been a below-average home run hitting team and have the 20th ranked batting average in the league. However, they do come into the game with a team on-base percentage of .311, which is 11th in the league.

Christopher Morel has really struggled at the plate this season, batting just .202. However, he is 9th in the league with 18 home runs and has gone deep twice in his last eight games. Nico Hoerner has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/34 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .258 and has four homers. Ian Happ is the team’s leading run producer, with 58 RBIs, and his 15 homers are 2nd on the team.

Free Brewers vs. Cubs MLB Pick

After stumbling into the All-Star Break, the Brewers swept their short two game set with the Twins. Chicago on the other hand, went into the break playing well, but dropped two of three to the Diamondbacks. Rookie Tobias Myers has been excellent on the mound for the Brewers, including posting a 1.79 ERA in his last seven starts. I like the Brewers to pick up the win today, and will be going with them on the money line.