MLB Picks: Braves at Dodgers May 3/24

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Friday, May 3rd, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Braves -105/Dodgers -115
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Braves on Friday, May 3rd at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 10:10 PM from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have an NL matchup between the Braves and Dodgers. Heading into Friday’s game, the Braves have a record of 20-9, while the Dodgers are 20-13. Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves, and he is facing off against Gavin Stone for the Dodgers.

Right now, the over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Dodgers are favored at -115 on the money line. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by MLBN.

Braves vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 20-9 SU / OU 11-16 / Runline 14-15
Los Angeles Dodgers: 20-13 SU / OU 19-14 / Runline 16-17

Braves Records & Recent Play

The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Mariners in the 3rd, the Braves responded with four runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another run in the 4th inning.

Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Mariners batters. Atlanta’s bullpen closed things out, and Raisel Iglesias picked up the save.

Atlanta is 20-9 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the NL East. Currently, they lead the Phillies by a half-game for the division lead. The Braves will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Dodgers, and they are 7-2-1 in series this year.

The Braves have been really good at home this year, going 11-4 compared to 9-5 on the road. Atlanta has yet to play as the underdog this season, and they are 9-5 as the favorite on the road. So far, they have gone 8-4 in divisional matchups.

The Braves have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 14-15 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 8-6, compared to 6-9 at home. The average run margin in their games this season is 1.7 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of 2.6 runs per game on the road and 0.7 runs per game at home. Their average run margin in wins is 3.6 runs per game, while their average run margin in losses is -2.8 runs per game.

Atlanta’s over/under record for the season is 11-16, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and when the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 3-4. Their games have gone under the total in nine straight games, and 65.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run total.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, closing out their series with an 8-0 win. After scoring five times in the 2nd inning, the Dodgers added another three runs in the 3rd to really put things out of reach. Los Angeles went on to close things out with a 2-run 7th inning.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto put together a good start for the Dodgers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Arizona batters. The Dodgers’s offense was carried by Andy Pages, who went 1/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Los Angeles opens their series vs. the Braves with an overall record of 20-13, good or 1st place in the NL West. The Dodgers hold a 4.5 game lead over the Padres for the division lead. So far, they have gone 7-4 in divisional matchups.

The Dodgers have been really good on the road this year, putting up an 11-5 record. At home, they are just above .500 at 9-8. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 13-5 this year. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 20-12, and they are 0-1 as the underdog this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 7-5 and have won three straight series.

The Dodgers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-17 overall. They have been better on the road, going 10-6, compared to just 6-11 at home. They have an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of 2.2 runs per game on the road and 0.8 runs per game at home. They have been a good bet as the favorite, going 16-16 on the run line, while they are 0-1 as the underdog.

Los Angeles Dodgers games have gone over the over/under line in 19 of 33 games this season. The average over/under line in Dodgers games is 9 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 9.2 runs. Their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs in just four games this season, and those games have gone 2-2 O/U. The under has hit in two straight Dodgers games, and their games have had an over/under line of 9.5 runs in just 9.1% of their games this season.

Pitching Matchup

Charlie Morton and the Braves are on the road to take on the Dodgers. Morton has started 3 games this season, with his most recent start being a win vs. the Guardians. He went 6 innings in that start, striking out 4 and giving up 2 earned runs. In his first start of the year, he went 5 2/3 and struck out 8 but gave up 6 hits and 6 runs vs. the Marlins.

Looking at Gavin Stone’s season so far, he has a win in each of his last two starts. He went 7 innings in his last outing, giving up just 1 earned run. He has 10 strikeouts in 16 innings of work this season.

Braves vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average (.321) and home runs (9). His 32 RBIs are also the best in the league. However, he is just 3/16 in his last five games. Ozzie Albies comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and is 7/21 in his last five games. For the season, he is batting .333.

Overall, the Braves have the best offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They are also near the top of the league in most key offensive categories, including batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. As a team, they are batting .266 and have the best BABIP in the league.

Los Angeles comes into the game with the league’s top batting average at .271 and are also the top scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Dodgers are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best slugging percentage in the league.

Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Ohtani batting .336 and Betts at .377. Ohtani has seven home runs, which is 4th in the league, while Betts has six homers. Teoscar Hernandez is also near the top of the league in home runs, as he has six this season. Will Smith and Andy Pages have both been swinging a hot bat of late, with Smith on a six-game hitting streak and Pages having gone 8/41 in his last 10 games.

Free Braves vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

Our prediction for this Braves vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at -115. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would give you a chance to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Stone of the Dodgers finishing with six strikeouts, which is the same as Charlie Morton. However, we have Stone going seven innings, compared to Morton, who is projected to go six.

If you’re looking for some potential home run props, the Braves are projected to hit more home runs than the Dodgers, with the Braves being the fourth-best team in terms of home runs in today’s slate.