MLB Picks: Astros vs. Guardians April 30 Predictions

Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros
Date: Tuesday, April 30th, 8:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: None
Money Line: Guardians +122/Astros -146
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Houston Astros and the Guardians on Tuesday, April 30th at Minute Maid Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

You can catch Tuesday night’s Guardians vs Astros matchup on TV, with ESPN carrying the coverage. The game is set to get started at 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. Carlos Carrasco is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Hunter Brown for the Astros.

Cleveland comes in with a record of 19-9, while the Astros are just 9-19. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Astros are the favorite at -146. Looking at the money line odds for the Guardians, they are sitting at +122.

Guardians vs. Astros Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 19-9 SU / OU 15-11 / Runline 19-9
Houston Astros: 9-19 SU / OU 8-18 / Runline 10-18

Guardians Records & Recent Play

Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss. The Guardians were the +136 underdog on the road. This was a particularly tough loss, as the Guardians held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. Cleveland’s offense scored their three runs on 10 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians, going 4 1/3 innings, and took the loss. He only gave up one run on four hits but issued two walks. Cleveland’s bullpen couldn’t close things out, and Emmanuel Clase took the loss. The Guardians also wasted a big game from Brayan Rocchio, who went 2/3 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored.

Cleveland’s Guardians will be on the road today vs. the Astros, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 19-9. The Guardians are currently three games ahead of the Tigers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 4-1 in divisional matchups. Cleveland dropped the final game of their series vs. the Braves but still took the series with two wins in the middle.

At home, the Guardians have gone 8-4 this year, and they have been even better on the road, coming in with an 11-5 mark. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 9-3. As the underdog, the Guardians are 8-4 this year and 11-5 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Guardians are 7-2 this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 19-9 overall. They are 11-5 on the run line on the road, where they have an average scoring margin of +2.3 runs per game. They are also 10-2 on the run line as an underdog this season.

Despite the Cleveland Guardians’ recent trend of unders, oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 9.5 runs for their game against the Houston Astros. The Guardians have played to the under in three straight games and have seen their games average just 8.6 runs per game this season. Overall, the under has hit in 15 of their 26 games, and their games have had an average over/under line of just 8 runs.

Astros Records & Recent Play

Houston closed out their series vs. the Rockies with an impressive 8-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -242. Offensively, the Astros scored their eight runs on eight hits and only hit three home runs. Jose Altuve went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going five innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Houston is hosting the Guardians today with an overall record of 9-19, which has them 5th in the AL West. So far, they have gone 4-3 against other teams in the AL West, and they are 6.5 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Astros have picked up two straight wins, taking the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies.

At home, the Astros are just 4-9 this year compared to 5-10 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 23 games, going 7-16 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 2-3. The Astros’ overall series record is 3-5-1 this year.

The Astros are 10-18 against the run line this season, including a 5-8 mark at home. They have been favored in 23 of their 28 games and are 7-16 against the run line in those contests. They are 3-2 against the run line as underdogs. Their average run differential in all games is -0.8, but it jumps to 5.7 in their wins and drops to -3.8 in their losses.

Despite an average over/under line of 10 runs per game, the Astros’ games have averaged exactly 9.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 8-18, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the under has gone 1-4. The under has hit in each of their last seven games, and the combined runs in their games have been under the over/under line in 15 of their 28 games this season.

Pitching Matchup

Carlos Carrasco and the Guardians are on the road to take on the Astros. Carrasco is coming off a loss in his last start, where he went 5 innings and gave up 5 runs. However, his first start of the season was a win, as he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 5.

Hunter Brown is taking the mound for the Astros today, coming off of a loss in his last start against the Nationals. Brown has had a tough go of it to start the season, as he has taken the loss in each of his first three outings. His last start was a 4-3 loss, and he finished with 6 strikeouts in 4 innings of work.

Guardians vs. Astros Offense Outlook

Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Guardians, going 8/23 in his last six games with two homers and six RBIs. Overall, he is batting .261 for the season with five homers and 24 RBIs, which is 5th best in the league. Josh Naylor and Steven Kwan are also in the top 10 in the league in RBIs, with Naylor’s six homers leading the team and Kwan batting a team-best .339.

As a team, the Guardians are 5th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs and have the 7th best team batting average in the league.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are batting .264 as a team, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They have been even better in terms of on-base percentage, coming in at 5th in the league. As a team, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, but have been better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Houston has the league’s best team batting average and also the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez are both among the league leaders in home runs, with 7 apiece. Kyle Tucker is also among the league leaders in homers and is 9th in the league with 20 RBIs. Tucker is also on a 5-game hitting streak and has gone 12/34 in his last nine games, with two homers and six RBIs.

Free Guardians vs. Astros MLB Pick

Our prediction for this Guardians vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -146. We see the Astros coming out on top by a score of 6-5. With the over/under line sitting at 9.5 runs, we like the over. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Carrasco finishing with five strikeouts compared to Hunter Brown with five as well.

Bankroll running low? End that problem by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH sportsbook bonus from one of our top tier bookies!