MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Tuesday, August 29th, 9:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Reds +138/Giants -164
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Francisco Giants and the Reds on Tuesday, August 29th at Oracle Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
CIN | +138 | +1.5 | O 8 (-117) |
SF | -164 | -1.5 | U 8 (-105) |
Reds vs. Giants Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
TJ Friedl | 1 | CF |
Noelvi Marte | 2 | 3B |
Elly De La Cruz | 3 | SS |
Spencer Steer | 4 | 2B |
Nick Martini | 5 | DH |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 6 | 1B |
Tyler Stephenson | 7 | C |
Will Benson | 8 | RF |
Stuart Fairchild | 9 | LF |
Brandon Williamson | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Austin Slater | 1 | LF |
Thairo Estrada | 2 | 2B |
Wilmer Flores | 3 | DH |
J.D. Davis | 4 | 1B |
Patrick Bailey | 5 | C |
Paul DeJong | 6 | SS |
Heliot Ramos | 7 | RF |
Casey Schmitt | 8 | 3B |
Luis Matos | 9 | CF |
Alex Cobb | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Cincinnati Reds: 68-65 SU / OU 66-67 / Runline 81-52
San Francisco Giants: 68-63 SU / OU 56-72 / Runline 64-67
Heading into their game vs. the Giants, the Reds have a record of 68-65 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 19-18-5. At home, they have gone 31-34 and 37-31 on the road.
- The Reds have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
- The Reds have been favored in 25.6% of their games and have runline records of 37-28 and 44-24 at home and on the road, respectively
- Through 133 games, the over has hit in half of the Reds’ games at 66-67.
On a record of 68-63, the Giants are 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they are 13.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Reds, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 31-33 while going 37-30 at home. San Francisco’s overall series record is 18-23-2.
- The Giants have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
- The Giants have been favored in 51.1% of their games and have runline records of 32-35 and 32-32 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Giants have an over/under record of just 56-72.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Williamson | 18 | 18 | 92 | 4-3 | 4.18 | 1.25 | 14 |
Across 18 appearances, Brandon Williamson has a slugging percentage allowed of .408 and enters with a WHIP of 1.25. His overall record is 4-3 on an ERA of 4.18. For the season, he has a total of 82 K’s, and is averaging 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Williamson’s record on the road is 2-1 and 2-2 at home. This includes an ERA of 4.88 (road) and 4.41 (home), respectively.
Brandon Williamson delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching six innings and allowing zero runs. Despite his efforts, the Reds fell to the Diamondbacks by a score of 3-2.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Cobb | 24 | 24 | 132 | 6-5 | 3.74 | 1.38 | 16 |
The Giants will turn to starter Alex Cobb who has an overall record of 6-5. Through 24 appearances his ERA stands at 3.74 with a K/9 figure of 7.96. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.96 to go along with an OBP of .319.
Looking back at Cobb’s last appearance, he allowed five hits across five innings of work. Overall, he finished with two earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Giants won by a score of 8-6 over the Phillies.
Reds vs. Giants Offense Outlook
With 133 games under their belt, the Reds are currently 8th in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Cincinnati’s home run ranking is 16th, with the team having hit 153 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .247 on the road and .237 at home, is .247.
Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Steer | .253 | 10 | .413 | .334 |
TJ Friedl | .266 | 10 | .431 | .330 |
Jonathan India | .264 | 11 | .426 | .337 |
Matt McLain | .280 | 10 | .476 | .356 |
Jake Fraley | .281 | 15 | .504 | .369 |
Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Martini | .383 | 6 | 3 | 2 | .833 |
Noelvi Marte | .267 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .417 |
Will Benson | .133 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .333 |
Matt McLain | .117 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .217 |
Elly De La Cruz | .100 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .150 |
Offensively, the Giants, come into the game ranked 19th in the league with an average of 4.3 runs per game. In the home run category, San Francisco is ranked 19th, with 142 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .239. This mark includes hitting .230 on the road and .235 at home.
San Francisco Giants Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.D. Davis | .249 | .325 | .407 | 60 | 15 | 1 |
Michael Conforto | .251 | .343 | .405 | 55 | 15 | 4 |
Thairo Estrada | .273 | .323 | .421 | 40 | 10 | 19 |
San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.D. Davis | .396 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .521 |
Wilmer Flores | .125 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .375 |
Austin Slater | .389 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .389 |
Wade Meckler | .625 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .875 |
Patrick Bailey | .278 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .472 |
Free MLB Pick
I’m taking a bit of a flyer here and backing the Reds in this spot. It’s a smalln sample size, but San Francisco starter Alex Cobb’s historical numbers against Cincinnati are not strong .429 BA and .500 OBP in 22 plate appearances. Additionally, he hasn’t pitched well in August with 6.84 ERA in five starts. Take Cincinnati +144.
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