MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Thursday, July 20th, 6:40 ET
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Orioles +154/Rays -185 (Odds are cheaper at BAS! Saves you TONS of $$$!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Orioles on Thursday, July 20th at Tropicana Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Orioles vs. Rays Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Baltimore Orioles: 58-37 SU / OU 50-38 / Runline 56-39
Tampa Bay Rays: 60-39 SU / OU 52-43 / Runline 51-48

With an overall record of 58-37, the Orioles are in a tie for first place in the AL East. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 8-2. On the road, the Orioles have a mark of 28-17 while going 30-20 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 18-9-2.

• The Orioles have covered the runline in 58.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
• The Orioles have been favored in 48.4% of their games and have runline records of 23-27 and 33-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 57% of the Orioles’ 95 games at 50-38.

Against the Orioles, the Rays are looking to shake a four game losing streak. Yet, their record of 60-39 is stil good for 1st in the AL East. At home, Tampa Bay has gone 35-15 and 25-24 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 17-9-3.

• The Rays have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.5.
• The Rays have been favored in 82.8% of their games and have runline records of 27-23 and 24-25 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Rays’ 99 games at 52-43.

Pitching Matchup

Entering with a record of 9-6, Kyle Gibson is making his 21st appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 4.77 on a batting average allowed of .265. On the road, he is 5-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 4-3 at home with an ERA of 6.34. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .404 against him.

Looking back at Gibson’s last appearance, he allowed nine hits across 5 1/3 innings of work. Overall, he finished with five earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Orioles won by a score of 6-5 over the Marlins.

Starter Tyler Glasnow comes in with an overall record of 3-3 for the Rays. Having made nine appearances, his ERA is 3.78, and he has a K/9 figure of 13.41. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.69 and an OBP of .280.

Tampa Bay is hoping that Tyler Glasnow can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Royals (6-1) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with one earned run on six hits across six innings.

Orioles vs. Rays Offense Outlook

In terms of offensive production, Baltimore is currently ranked 8th in the league this season. The team has hit 114 home runs, which is 11th, and their batting average of .254 is ranked 11th in the league. When playing on the road, they rank 12th in batting average compared to 13th when playing at home.

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters vs. Righties

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

With 99 games under their belt, the Rays are ranked 4th in the league at 5.3 runs per game. Tampa Bay has gone deep 146 times, ranking them 4th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .258, .252 on the road, and .253 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Orioles’ bats broke out in a big way yesterday, tagging the Dodgers starter Julio Urias for eight runs. They crushed the Rays’ starter Tyler Glasnow for six runs back in June on this very same field. Kyle Gibson looked good in his last against Tamp Bay, but that was back in early May, and he hasn’t been in good form as of late. Plus has poor career numbers against the Rays’ lineup, which has a .328 batting average and .371 OBP. Take the Over 8.5.

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