MLB Handicapping: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Friday, September 29th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Cubs -114/Brewers -106
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cubs on Friday, September 29th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
CHC | -114 | -1.5 | O 8 (-105) |
MIL | -106 | +1.5 | U 8 (-115) |
Cubs vs. Brewers Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Mike Tauchman | 1 | DH |
Nico Hoerner | 2 | 2B |
Ian Happ | 3 | LF |
Cody Bellinger | 4 | CF |
Dansby Swanson | 5 | SS |
Seiya Suzuki | 6 | RF |
Jeimer Candelario | 7 | 1B |
Yan Gomes | 8 | C |
Miles Mastrobuoni | 9 | 3B |
Kyle Hendricks | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | 1 | LF |
William Contreras | 2 | C |
Carlos Santana | 3 | 1B |
Mark Canha | 4 | RF |
Willy Adames | 5 | SS |
Rowdy Tellez | 6 | DH |
Brice Turang | 7 | 2B |
Andruw Monasterio | 8 | 3B |
Garrett Mitchell | 9 | CF |
Colin Rea | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Chicago Cubs: 82-77 SU / OU 78-75 / Runline 81-78
Milwaukee Brewers: 90-69 SU / OU 71-83 / Runline 78-81
Heading into their game vs. the Brewers, the Cubs have a record of 82-77 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 26-18-5. At home, they have gone 45-36 and 37-41 on the road.
- The Cubs have covered the runline in 50.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
- The Cubs have been favored in 57.9% of their games and have runline records of 42-39 and 39-39 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 51% of the Cubs’ 159 games at 78-75.
The Brewers take on the Cubs in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL Central on an overall record of 90-69. So far, they are 43-38 on the road and 47-31 at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record stands at 28-20-1.
- The Brewers have covered the runline in 49.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
- The Brewers have been favored in 55.3% of their games and have runline records of 34-44 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 71-83.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Hendricks | 23 | 23 | 132 | 6-8 | 3.66 | 1.18 | 13 |
For the season, Kyle Hendricks has an ERA of 3.66 across 23 outings. Heading into the game, his overall record stands at 6-8. Against the Brewers, he will look to extend his streak of not giving up a home-run to four games. So far, opponents have a SLG% of .380 against him and a batting average of .246.
Even though Hendricks finished with a quality start in his most recent outing, the Cubs still lost to the Pirates by a score of 8-6. For the game, he allowed seven hits, leading to one earned run. This statline came across six innings.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colin Rea | 25 | 21 | 119 | 6-6 | 4.74 | 1.22 | 23 |
The Brewers will turn to starter Colin Rea who has an overall record of 6-6. After 25 appearances, his ERA is 4.74 and he has a K/9 figure of 7.82. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.07 and an OBP of .290.
In his last outing, Colin Rea allowed zero runs in just one inning of work, resulting in a no-decision. The Brewers took the 4-1 loss against the Cardinals.
Cubs vs. Brewers Offense Outlook
This season, Chicago is ranked 6th in the league in terms of runs scored, with an average of 5.1 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit a combined 191 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .255 ranks 7th in the league. On the road, their batting average ranks 10th compared to 10th at home.
Chicago Cubs Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner | .284 | .348 | .385 | 68 | 9 | 43 |
Ian Happ | .247 | .359 | .425 | 82 | 20 | 14 |
Cody Bellinger | .310 | .358 | .530 | 96 | 26 | 20 |
Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | .454 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .700 |
Mike Tauchman | .300 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .700 |
Ian Happ | .237 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .425 |
Dansby Swanson | .167 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .167 |
Cody Bellinger | .350 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .350 |
This season, Milwaukee is ranked 16th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 162 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .239, which ranks 17th in the league. On the road, their batting average is 21st compared to 21st at home.
Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | .291 | 16 | .487 | .375 |
William Contreras | .262 | 7 | .385 | .320 |
Carlos Santana | .231 | 17 | .419 | .313 |
Willy Adames | .213 | 20 | .411 | .306 |
Mark Canha | .262 | 5 | .374 | .326 |
Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Contreras | .396 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .542 |
Tyrone Taylor | .250 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .417 |
Christian Yelich | .289 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .400 |
Carlos Santana | .417 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .500 |
Brian Anderson | .667 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
Free MLB Pick
The Cubs are playing for their post-season lives and the Brewers have nothing left to play for as they are all locked in as the NL-Central division winner. The pitching matchup between Kyle Hendricks and Colin Rea heavily favors the Cubs. I’m locking in Chicago on the moneyline.
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