MLB Game 3 Picks: Best Bets for Mets vs. Brewers

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Thursday, October 3rd, 7:08 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Mets +104/Brewers -121
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Mets on Thursday, October 3rd at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The money line odds for Thursday’s Mets vs. Brewers matchup have the Brewers as the favorite at -121, while the Mets are sitting at +104. This one is being played at 7:08 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Jose Quintana is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers. The Mets are 89-73, and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers are 93-69 and are the 1st in the NL Central. This game can be seen on ESPN.

Mets vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 89-73 SU / OU 83-76 / Runline 83-81
Milwaukee Brewers: 93-69 SU / OU 83-71 / Runline 83-81

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets and Brewers series. New York had a late rally, scoring three runs in the 8th, but the Brewers held on for a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Brewers were favored at -127 on the money line.

Milwaukee got to Mets starter Sean Manaea, scoring five runs in just five innings against him. On the other side, Frankie Montas only went 3 2/3 innings for the Brewers but gave up just one run. Joe Ross got the win out of the bullpen, and Devin Williams got the save.

At the plate, the Brewers were led by Jackson Chourio and Garrett Mitchell, who each had two hits and two RBIs. Blake Perkins also had a two-hit game for Milwaukee.

Mets Records & Recent Play

Facing a must-win game three in their series against the Brewers, the Mets are on the road, where they went 43-38 during the regular season. New York posted a 46-35 record at home this year. As favorites, they went 59-39, while they were 31-35 as underdogs.

New York’s run line record for the season is 83-81, including 45-38 on the road. As underdogs, they went 38-28 against the run line. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 83-76, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

As the Brewers prepare for game three of their Wild Card series against the Mets, they’ll look to take advantage of playing at home, where they posted a 47-34 regular season record. Milwaukee went 46-35 on the road this year. As home favorites, they finished 36-22.

Milwaukee’s run line record for the season is 83-81, including 38-45 at home. As favorites, they went 37-57 against the run line. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 total runs, while today’s over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 83-71, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Pitching Matchup

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Brewers. Quintana has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 10-10 with a 3.75 ERA. So far, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.13 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Quintana took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The lefty has been much better at home this season, coming in with a 4.15 ERA compared to 4.86 on the road.

Tobias Myers will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t allow a run and picked up the win out of the bullpen. In that outing vs. the Mets, he went four innings and gave up just one hit. Looking back at his last three starts, Myers has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. His ERA for the season is 3.00, along with a record of 9-6. Myers has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .235 this season. Overall, he has allowed 18 homers and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings.

Mets vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor’s 33 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Alonso’s 34 leading the Mets and putting him 10th in the league. Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .273, while Alonso is hitting .240. Lindor has also been the Mets’ top run producer, with 91 RBIs.

Jose Iglesias comes into the game on a 24-game hitting streak but has just a .259 batting average over his last six games. Over his last five games, Lindor has gone 4/19 with two homers.

Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio have been swinging the bat well of late for the Brewers, as Turang has gone 9/16 in his last four games, and Chourio has two homers in his last five games while batting .381. Turang is also on a five-game hitting streak, while Chourio has a six-game streak going. Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 32 homers are 12th in the league and the most on the team.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs scored (4.8) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks. Currently, they are 14th in the league in home runs.

Free Mets vs. Brewers MLB Pick

The Brewers came back in dramatic fashion on Wednesday night to force a game three. The moment wasn’t too big for 20-year-old Jackson Chourio, but now they are relying on young pitcher Tobias Myers in a winner-take-all game three. On the other side, the Mets are going with veteran Jose Quintana, who has been a Brewer killer over his career. Milwaukee is favored in this one, but I see the steady presence of Quintana carrying the Mets to a win in this one. I like New York on the money line.