Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays O/U Pick

by | Last updated Jun 9, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Friday, June 9th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Twins +104/Blue Jays -124
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Twins on Friday, June 9th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN +104 +1.5 O 8.5 (-119)
TOR -124 -1.5 U 8.5 (-103)

Twins vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Donovan Solano 1 SS
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Alex Kirilloff 3 1B
Kyle Farmer 4 SS
Kyle Garlick 5 LF
Jorge Polanco 6 2B
Ryan Jeffers 7 C
Willi Castro 8 SS
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP


Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Brandon Belt 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Daulton Varsho 7 RF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Yusei Kikuchi SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 31-32 SU / OU 25-34 / Runline 31-32
Toronto Blue Jays: 36-28 SU / OU 29-33 / Runline 31-33

Against the Blue Jays, the Twins are looking to shake a five two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 31-32 is stil good for 1st in the AL Central. At home, Minnesota has gone 18-14 and 13-18 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 8-9-2.

  • The Twins have covered the runline in 49.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
  • The Twins have been favored in 60.3% of their games and have runline records of 14-18 and 17-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 25-34.

On a record of 36-28, the Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 9.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 18-17 while going 18-11 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 12-7.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 48.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 68.8% of their games and have runline records of 13-16 and 18-17 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 29-33.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 12 12 67 4-1 2.15 1.22 1

Minnesota starter Sonny Gray enters with an overall record of 4-1 and ERA of 2.15. His ERA on the road is 2.94 and 1.73 when pitching at home. Gray’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.22 with a batting average allowed of .229. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .308 against him.

Even though Gray finished with a quality start in his most recent outing, the Twins still lost to the Guardians by a score of 4-2. For the game, he allowed 10 hits, leading to three earned runs. This statline came across 6 2/3 innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Yusei Kikuchi 12 12 61 6-2 4.40 1.37 17

Toronto will give the starting nod to Yusei Kikuchi, entering with a record of 6-2. Kikuchi is on a two game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 4.40, including a FIP figure of 5.96. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .512 against him. Kikuchi’s strikeout total currently sits at 60.

Giving up two runs and four hits during his last appearance against the Mets, Yusei Kikuchi did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Blue Jays managed to win the game by a score of 6-4.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

The Twins have played 63 games and are currently ranked 17th in the league, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Minnesota ranks 7th in home runs, (80) and have a collective batting average of .229, including .205 on the road and .238 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Donovan Solano .320 0 .460 .356
Willi Castro .227 1 .341 .292
Carlos Correa .237 2 .447 .360
Kyle Farmer .321 1 .429 .351
Jorge Polanco .320 2 .640 .404

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Michael A. Taylor .333 5 2 1 .667
Carlos Correa .250 3 1 1 .583
Willi Castro .150 3 1 1 .300
Jorge Polanco .050 1 1 1 .200
Donovan Solano .100 2 0 0 .150

Offensively, the Blue Jays, come into the game ranked 10th in the league with an average of 4.6 runs per game. In the home run category, Toronto is ranked 10th, with 75 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .263. This mark includes hitting .257 on the road and .256 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Blue Jays 64 4.6 (10th) 75 (10th) .263 (3rd) .333 (4th) .333 (4th)

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Daulton Varsho .217 4 5 2 .517
Brandon Belt .342 5 2 2 .762
Bo Bichette .233 4 3 2 .533
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .267 5 3 1 .467
Whit Merrifield .333 5 0 0 .467

Free MLB Pick

Neither one of these squads has been giving the scorekeeper a workout. The Twins have tallied a combined six runs over their last five games failing to exceed two runs in any of the five. The Jays have been a bit better, but have scored over three runs in just three of their last nine games. Minnesota’s Sonny Gray is having a fantastic season with a 2.15 ERA over 12 games and has allowed just one HR this season. Lefty Yusei Kikuchi gets the ball for Toronto and while consistency has been an issue this season, his last two were okay 10 innings pitched allowing four earned runs. Additionally, he does pitch better at home with a 3-1 record and 3.55 ERA and is facing a team that scores just 3.34 R/9 against left-handed pitching. Take the Under 8.5 +100.

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