Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins Moneyline Pick 4/5/23
Date: Wednesday, April 5th, 1:10 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: None
Money Line: Twins -116/Marlins -101
Total Line: 7
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Twins on Wednesday, April 5th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
-116 | -1.5 | O 7 (-117) |
 |
-101 | +1.5 | U 7 (-104) |
Twins vs. Marlins Projected Lineup
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gordon | 1 | LF |
| Donovan Solano | 2 | SS |
| Carlos Correa | 3 | SS |
| Byron Buxton | 4 | CF |
| Joey Gallo | 5 | RF |
| Max Kepler | 6 | RF |
| Jose Miranda | 7 | 1B |
| Michael A. Taylor | 8 | CF |
| Christian Vázquez | 9 | C |
| Pablo López | – | SP |
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 1 | 2B |
| Jean Segura | 2 | SS |
| Garrett Cooper | 3 | 1B |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4 | CF |
| Jorge Soler | 5 | RF |
| Avisaíl García | 6 | RF |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 7 | CF |
| Jacob Stallings | 8 | C |
| Jon Berti | 9 | 3B |
| Jesús Luzardo | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Minnesota Twins: 4-1 SU / OU 2-3 / Runline 5-0
After playing five games, Minnesota is off to a good start with four wins under their belt. Having played all their games on the road, Minnesota will be continuing their early-season road trip.
The Twins’ over/under record comes in at 2-3, while their record against the runline sits at 5-0. Looking back to last season, they went 39-42 against the runline on the road.
The Marlins are set to play their 6th game of the season, having a record below .500 at 2-4. Miami will continue its early stretch of home games, having played all of their games at home.
Despite their subpar 31-50 record against the runline last season, the Marlins have improved this season, with a 1-5 record against the runline and an over/under mark of 2-4.
Pitching Matchup
After spending last year with the Marlins, Pablo López has now come over to the Twins. In 32 appearances, he finished the year with a record of 10-10 and an ERA of 3.75. López gave up 21 home runs during the season, contributing to his final slugging percentage allowed of .404.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo López | 32 | 32 | 180 | 10-10 | 3.75 | 1.17 |
With 18 appearances for the Marlins last season, Jesús Luzardo ended with an ERA of 3.32 and an overall record of 4-7. In terms of limiting batters’ power numbers, Luzardo did an excellent job during the season, finishing with a slugging percentage allowed of only .335.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Luzardo | 18 | 18 | 100 | 4-7 | 3.32 | 1.04 |
Twins vs. Marlins Offense Outlook
The Twins come into the game averaging 4.4 runs per game. Their batting average of .240 is currently 17th, while Minnesota’s WOBA of .309 ranks 19th in the MLB.
Minnesota Twins Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | .250 | .294 | .875 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Trevor Larnach | .421 | .522 | .684 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Byron Buxton | .375 | .444 | .562 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
To start the year, the Marlins have a batting average of just .233 which is just 23rd in the MLB. Miami’s current WOBA sits at .287 (23rd) with an on-base percentage of .282.
Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | .556 | 0 | .611 | .519 |
| Jorge Soler | .222 | 0 | .389 | .284 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | .273 | 0 | .364 | .278 |
| Garrett Cooper | .231 | 1 | .462 | .294 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | .231 | 1 | .538 | .394 |
Free MLB Pick
Jesus Luzardo wreaks havoc on left-handed hitters and Minnesota’s most powerful bats are just that. I’m betting Miami as a short underdog at +105.
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