Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Total Play 5/4/23

by | Last updated May 4, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Date: Thursday, May 4th, 2:10 ET
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: NSPCH
Money Line: Twins -135/White Sox +114 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE with code PREDICT100 at MyBookie!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago White Sox and the Twins on Thursday, May 4th at Guaranteed Rate Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN -135 -1.5 O 8 (-110)
CHW +114 +1.5 U 8 (-110)

Twins vs. White Sox Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Max Kepler 1 RF
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Jorge Polanco 3 2B
Byron Buxton 4 CF
Trevor Larnach 5 RF
Jose Miranda 6 1B
Joey Gallo 7 RF
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Pablo López SP

Batting Order Position
Tim Anderson 1 SS
Andrew Benintendi 2 LF
Andrew Vaughn 3 LF
Eloy Jiménez 4 LF
Luis Robert Jr. 5 CF
Gavin Sheets 6 RF
Yasmani Grandal 7 C
Jake Burger 8 3B
Elvis Andrus 9 SS
Lucas Giolito SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 17-14 SU / OU 13-15 / Runline 17-14

Chicago White Sox: 10-21 SU / OU 16-12 / Runline 14-17Against the White Sox, the Twins are looking to shake a two two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 17-14 is stil good for 1st in the AL Central. At home, Minnesota has gone 10-6 and 7-8 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 5-3.

  • The Twins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
  • The Twins have been favored in 67.7% of their games and have runline records of 9-7 and 8-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 13-15.

On a record of 10-21, the White Sox are 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they are seven games out of the division lead. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 4-12 while going 6-9 at home. Chicago’s overall series record is 0-8.

  • The White Sox have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -2.0.
  • The White Sox have been favored in 29.0% of their games and have runline records of 7-8 and 7-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 57% of the White Sox’s 31 games at 16-12.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Pablo López 6 6 36 2-2 4.00 1.11 3

 

Starter Pablo López comes in with an overall record of 2-2 for the Twins. Having made six appearances, his ERA is 4.00 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.3. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.98 and an OBP of .297.

The last time, Pablo López took the mound, he gave up six runs on eight hits to the Royals. López picked up the win, in the Twins’ 8-6 victory.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Lucas Giolito 6 6 34 1-2 4.15 1.18 4

 

The White Sox will turn to starter Lucas Giolito who has an overall record of 1-2. Through six appearances his ERA stands at 4.15 with a K/9 figure of 1.0. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.77 to go along with an OBP of .306.

Lucas Giolito took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing 6 2/3 innings and giving up two runs. Despite picking up a quality start, the White Sox lost to the Rays by a score of 3-2.

Twins vs. White Sox Offense Outlook

With a total of 40 home runs hit so far this season, the Twins are among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (8th). This has translated to an average of 4.5 runs per game and a collective batting average of .232. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .366 compared to .428 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Byron Buxton .262 .342 .553 18 7 2
Trevor Larnach .228 .339 .366 19 3 0
Joey Gallo .213 .324 .639 14 7 0

 

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Byron Buxton .367 6 5 2 .883
Max Kepler .283 4 3 1 .583
Nick Gordon .333 3 3 2 1.083
Jorge Polanco .230 5 2 1 .380
Carlos Correa .207 4 2 0 .313

 

This season, Chicago is ranked 22nd in the league for runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game. They have hit a combined total of 30 home runs, which puts them 22nd in the MLB. Their current batting average of .237 is 22nd in the league. On the road, their batting average sits 25th, compared to 17th at home.

Chicago White Sox Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Andrew Vaughn .259 .366 .429 20 3 0
Luis Robert Jr. .217 .262 .426 16 6 1
Jake Burger .224 .312 .612 14 7 0

 

Chicago White Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Andrew Vaughn .383 7 4 2 .733
Eloy Jiménez .443 9 4 1 .660
Elvis Andrus .170 4 2 0 .210
Yasmani Grandal .200 4 2 1 .350
Jake Burger .140 3 3 1 .330

 

Free MLB Pick

I’m focusing on the total in this matchup. Although the White Sox scored 12 runs against the Rays and added six more last night, I don’t believe it necessarily indicates the end of their offensive slump. In the game against the Rays, struggling starter Drew Rasmussen allowed three runs, while the inconsistent Jalen Beeks came out of the bullpen and surrendered five runs. Yesterday, they faced an emergency call-up starter, Louie Varland, who gave up four runs in 4 2/3 innings.

In today’s game, we have a pair of starting pitchers with strong historical performances against their respective opponents. The White Sox have only managed a .129 batting average against Pablo Lopez in 31 at-bats, while the Twins have hit a mere .189 against Lucas Giolito over 187 at-bats. Furthermore, both starters have recorded quality starts against their opponents this season.

I’m taking the Under 8 at -110 odds. Bet your baseball picks for FREE this whole weekend by scoring a 100% real cash bonus from one of the top-flight online bookies on our sportsbook promo codes page!

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