Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Total Pick 7/2/23

by | Last updated Jul 2, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, July 2nd, 12:05 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: Peaco
Money Line: Twins -122/Orioles +102
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Twins on Sunday, July 2nd at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN -122 -1.5 O 9 (-107)
BAL +102 +1.5 U 9 (-114)

Twins vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Donovan Solano 1 SS
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Byron Buxton 3 DH
Kyle Farmer 4 SS
Alex Kirilloff 5 1B
Willi Castro 6 SS
Royce Lewis 7 SS
Ryan Jeffers 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP


Batting Order Position
Cedric Mullins 1 CF
Adley Rutschman 2 C
Anthony Santander 3 RF
Ryan O’Hearn 4 1B
Austin Hays 5 LF
Gunnar Henderson 6 SS
Aaron Hicks 7 CF
Adam Frazier 8 2B
Ramón Urías 9 3B
Cole Irvin SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 42-42 SU / OU 35-44 / Runline 42-42
Baltimore Orioles: 48-33 SU / OU 41-35 / Runline 48-33

The Twins take on the Orioles in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL Central on an overall record of 42-42. So far, they are 19-23 on the road and 23-19 at home. Minnesota’s overall series record stands at 11-12-3.

  • The Twins have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Twins have been favored in 60.7% of their games and have runline records of 18-24 and 24-18 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 35-44.

Heading into their game vs. the Twins, the Orioles have a record of 48-33 and have dropped four straight games. In the AL East, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 16-8-2. At home, they have gone 25-18 and 23-15 on the road.

  • The Orioles have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Orioles have been favored in 49.4% of their games and have runline records of 20-23 and 28-10 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Orioles’ 81 games at 41-35.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 16 16 87 4-2 2.67 1.29 3

With an overall record of 4-2, Sonny Gray gets the start for Minnesota. His ERA stands at 2.67 with a K/9 figure of 1.0 after making 16 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.82 and an OBP of .301.

Sonny Gray’s last appearance on the mound resulted in a defeat for the Twins against the Braves, with him taking the loss after pitching 6 2/3 innings and giving up three runs.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cole Irvin 8 6 26 1-3 7.18 1.67 5

The Orioles will turn to starter Cole Irvin who has an overall record of 1-3. After eight appearances, his ERA is 7.18 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.95 and an OBP of .363.

After tossing three innings and giving up one run on three hits in his previous game, Cole Irvin will be looking for a better outing today. With the short outing, Irvin did not receive a decision in the team’s 10-3 win over the Reds.

Twins vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

The Twins have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 108 home runs (8th). In terms of overall run production, Minnesota is averaging 4.2 runs per game on collective batting average of .232. At home, their slugging percentagee is .421 compared to .358 on the road.

Minnesota Twins Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Twins 84 4.2 (21st) 108 (8th) .232 (21st) .309 (18th) .309 (18th)

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Byron Buxton .333 4 2 1 .750
Joey Gallo .278 2 3 2 1.111
Max Kepler .300 4 1 1 .500
Carlos Correa .375 3 2 0 .500
Alex Kirilloff .355 4 1 0 .355

After 81 games played, the Orioles are 10th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 13th, on a total of 96 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .240 on the road and .250 at home, is .250.

Baltimore Orioles Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Anthony Santander .264 .324 .478 47 14 1
Adley Rutschman .268 .375 .417 35 11 0
Austin Hays .313 .353 .493 34 8 2

Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Adam Frazier .167 1 1 1 .667
Adley Rutschman .300 4 1 1 .550
Gunnar Henderson .194 2 0 0 .361
Jordan Westburg .133 2 1 0 .200
Austin Hays .250 3 1 0 .250

Free MLB Pick

Neither team is scoring right now, and for the Twins, that has been an issue all season. Minnesota is giving the start to Sonny Gray. He doesn’t go deep in many games, but he does typically give his team a shot to win, allowing three or fewer runs in all 16 starts this season. Cole Irwin gets the honors for the Orioles, and while his overall numbers this season are dismal, he has looked better since returning to the Bigs with a 1.22 WHIP and 3.65 ERA. Take the Under 9 -115* Note: We had a connectivity issue, and this didn’t get posted until the 4th inning.

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