Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 7/1/23
Date: Saturday, July 1st, 4:05 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: MASN2
Money Line: Twins +115/Orioles -136
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Twins on Saturday, July 1st at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
MIN | +115 | +1.5 | O 8.5 (-117) |
BAL | -136 | -1.5 | U 8.5 (-104) |
Twins vs. Orioles Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Edouard Julien | 1 | 2B |
Carlos Correa | 2 | SS |
Alex Kirilloff | 3 | 1B |
Byron Buxton | 4 | DH |
Max Kepler | 5 | RF |
Royce Lewis | 6 | SS |
Joey Gallo | 7 | RF |
Christian Vázquez | 8 | C |
Michael A. Taylor | 9 | CF |
Bailey Ober | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Cedric Mullins | 1 | CF |
Adley Rutschman | 2 | C |
Anthony Santander | 3 | RF |
Ryan O’Hearn | 4 | 1B |
Austin Hays | 5 | LF |
Gunnar Henderson | 6 | SS |
Aaron Hicks | 7 | CF |
Ramón Urías | 8 | 3B |
Jordan Westburg | 9 | SS |
Kyle Bradish | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Minnesota Twins: 41-42 SU / OU 35-43 / Runline 41-42
Baltimore Orioles: 48-32 SU / OU 41-34 / Runline 48-32
Even though the Twins are in first place in the AL Central, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Minnesota’s overall record currently sits at 41-42, including going 18-23 on the road and 23-19 at home. Their series record stands at 11-12-3.
- The Twins have covered the runline in 49.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
- The Twins have been favored in 61.4% of their games and have runline records of 18-24 and 23-18 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 35-43.
Heading into their game vs. the Twins, the Orioles have a record of 48-32 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL East, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 16-8-2. At home, they have gone 25-17 and 23-15 on the road.
- The Orioles have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
- The Orioles have been favored in 48.8% of their games and have runline records of 20-22 and 28-10 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 55% of the Orioles’ 80 games at 41-34.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bailey Ober | 12 | 12 | 69 | 4-4 | 2.97 | 1.02 | 8 |
Today will be Bailey Ober’s 13th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 4-4. His current ERA stands at 2.97 and OBP allowed of .261. So far, he struckout 66 batters and has a WHIP of 1.02. On the road, his ERA is 2.77 compared to 3.25 at home.
Ober is coming off an outing in which he was good enough to notch a quality start, but still too a no-decision in the Twins’ 6-3 win over the Tigers. Individually, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs on five hits.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Bradish | 14 | 14 | 72 | 4-3 | 3.75 | 1.19 | 7 |
Today will be Kyle Bradish’s 15th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 4-3. His current ERA stands at 3.75 and OBP allowed of .301. So far, he struckout 67 batters and has a WHIP of 1.19. On the road, his ERA is 4.27 compared to 5.59 at home.
Kyle Bradish finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Orioles took down the Mariners by final score of 3-2. Bradish gave up two runs and two hits across seven innings.
Twins vs. Orioles Offense Outlook
With 83 games under their belt, the Twins are currently 19th in the league, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Minnesota’s home run ranking is 8th, with the team having hit 107 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .214 on the road and .238 at home, is .232.
Minnesota Twins Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | .208 | .303 | .450 | 31 | 14 | 7 |
Carlos Correa | .217 | .292 | .408 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Joey Gallo | .191 | .308 | .475 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Byron Buxton | .250 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 |
Joey Gallo | .278 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .694 |
Max Kepler | .133 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .333 |
Alex Kirilloff | .355 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .467 |
Carlos Correa | .350 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .475 |
With and average of 4.9 runs per game, Baltimore is 10th in the league so far this year. They have hit 96 home runs which is currently 12th in baseball. Their current batting average of .252 is ranked 9th in the league, while they have a .240 batting average on the road and .254 batting average at home.
Baltimore Orioles Team Hitting Stats
Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orioles | 80 | 4.9 (10th) | 96 (12th) | .252 (9th) | .321 (11th) | .321 (11th) |
Baltimore Orioles Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adam Frazier | .167 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .667 |
Gunnar Henderson | .167 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .417 |
Adley Rutschman | .217 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .467 |
Jordan Westburg | .356 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .422 |
Austin Hays | .250 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .250 |
Free MLB Pick
Baltimore has dropped three straight but is solid at home and has Kyle Bradish on the mound, who can be overpowering when he is going well. Which he is right now with a 2.37 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in his last three, and he’s also struck out 26 in his last four starts while walking four. Minnesota starter Baily Ober has better overall numbers this season with a 2.97 ERA and an even better 2.59 on the road. On the season, he has 12 starts, and in only one start did he allow over three runs, and that was four against SF in late May. Additionally, we have two of the better bullpens based on ERA and two teams that haven’t been at the top of their game in run production in recent games.
Take the Under 8.5 -105
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