Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

by | Last updated May 16, 2023 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Monday, May 15th, 7:45 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: BSMW
Money Line: Brewers -110/Cardinals -108
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Brewers on Monday, May 15th at Busch Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIL -110 -1.5 O 8 (-113)
STL -108 +1.5 U 8 (-107)

Brewers vs. Cardinals Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
Jesse Winker 2 DH
Willy Adames 3 SS
Rowdy Tellez 4 1B
William Contreras 5 C
Brian Anderson 6 3B
Brice Turang 7 SS
Owen Miller 8 1B
Joey Wiemer 9 RF
Freddy Peralta SP


Batting Order Position
Lars Nootbaar 1 RF
Paul Goldschmidt 2 1B
Nolan Gorman 3 2B
Nolan Arenado 4 3B
Willson Contreras 5 C
Brendan Donovan 6 2B
Dylan Carlson 7 CF
Tommy Edman 8 SS
Andrew Knizner 9 C
Jack Flaherty SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 23-17 SU / OU 18-21 / Runline 19-21
St. Louis Cardinals: 16-25 SU / OU 22-19 / Runline 19-22

The Brewers take on the Cardinals in the middle of a three game winning streak and are leading the NL Central on an overall record of 23-17. So far, they are 10-9 on the road and 13-8 at home. Milwaukee’s overall series record stands at 6-6.

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 47.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Brewers have been favored in 62.5% of their games and have runline records of 9-12 and 10-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 18-21.

As they take on the Brewers, the Cardinals have an overall record of 16-25 and are currently last in the NL Central. However, they have rattled of three straight wins. At home, St. Louis has a mark of 6-13 compared to 10-12 on the road. Their series record sits at 3-8.

  • The Cardinals have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
  • The Cardinals have been favored in 56.1% of their games and have runline records of 6-13 and 13-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Cardinals’ 41 games at 22-19.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Freddy Peralta 7 7 40 4-2 3.32 1.21 4

 

The Brewers will turn to starter Freddy Peralta who has an overall record of 4-2. After seven appearances, his ERA is 3.32 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.41 and an OBP of .294.

The last time Freddy Peralta took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 9-3 against the Dodgers. Peralta gave up one run and three hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jack Flaherty 8 8 39 2-4 6.18 1.73 6

 

Across eight appearances, Jack Flaherty has a slugging percentage allowed of .482 and enters with a WHIP of 1.73. His overall record is 2-4 on an ERA of 6.18. For the season, he has a total of 39 K’s, and is averaging 1.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Flaherty’s record on the road is 1-2 and 1-2 at home. This includes an ERA of 4.58 (road) and 14.86 (home), respectively.

Giving up three runs and seven hits during his last appearance against the Cubs, Jack Flaherty did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Cardinals managed to win the game by a score of 6-4.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.5 runs per game, Milwaukee is 14th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 49 home runs, putting them 11th in the league. Their current batting average of .241 is 16th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 15th, compared to 21st when playing at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Brewers 40 4.5 (14th) 49 (11th) .241 (16th) .317 (17th) .317 (17th)


Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Christian Yelich .400 7 4 3 .850
Owen Miller .396 6 3 1 .771
Rowdy Tellez .291 4 2 1 .479
William Contreras .083 1 2 1 .333
Brice Turang .117 2 2 1 .317

 

After 41 games played, the Cardinals are 13th in the league with an average of 4.6 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 9th, on a total of 52 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .243 on the road and .269 at home, is .260.

St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Paul Goldschmidt .286 6 .527 .399
Nolan Gorman .283 9 .594 .402
Nolan Arenado .244 2 .325 .268
Willson Contreras .267 1 .386 .330
Brendan Donovan .275 3 .407 .320


St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Nolan Arenado .390 9 5 3 .880
Lars Nootbaar .350 7 5 1 .633
Nolan Gorman .646 4 4 2 1.917
Paul DeJong .273 5 4 2 .593
Andrew Knizner .230 5 3 1 .450

 

Free MLB Pick

Take the Over 8 -112*

*Note we had this in the improper section (betting)

 

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