Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick for 6/5/24

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, June 5th, 4:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Brewers +152/Phillies -184
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Brewers on Wednesday, June 5th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

 

   

     

     

     

     

   

 

 

   

     

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

     

   

 

	ML	RL	Total
MIL	+152	+1.5	O 9 (-103)
PHI	-184	-1.5	U 9 (-119)

The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup between the Brewers and Phillies calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. This NL matchup is set for 4:05 PM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line at -184, while the Brewers are +152.

Wednesday’s over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Phillies will be looking to extend their two-game win streak. They are 43-19 and in 1st place in the NL East. The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central but have lost two straight. Aaron Nola is starting for the Phillies, while the Brewers are going with Aaron Ashby. NSPPH will be televising this game.

Brewers vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

 

   

     

     

     

   

 

 

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

 

Player	Batting Order	Position
Brice Turang	1	2B
William Contreras	2	C
Christian Yelich	3	LF
Willy Adames	4	SS
Jake Bauers	5	1B
Rhys Hoskins	6	DH
Sal Frelick	7	RF
Joey Ortiz	8	3B
Blake Perkins	9	CF
Aaron Ashby	–	SP




 

   

     

     

     

   

 

 

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

   

     

     

     

   

 

Player	Batting Order	Position
Kyle Schwarber	1	DH
J.T. Realmuto	2	C
Bryce Harper	3	1B
Alec Bohm	4	3B
Nick Castellanos	5	RF
Bryson Stott	6	2B
Edmundo Sosa	7	SS
Cristian Pache	8	LF
Johan Rojas	9	CF
Aaron Nola	–	SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Milwaukee Brewers: 36-25 SU / OU 34-26 / Runline 33-28
Philadelphia Phillies: 43-19 SU / OU 27-31 / Runline 34-28

Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring one run in the 8th and another in the 10th. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -160 on the money line.

Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and went six innings while giving up just one run and striking out three. He picked up a win in the game, while Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Jared Koenig only went 1 1/3 innings for the Brewers, giving up no runs on one hit.

Alec Bohm was the only Phillies hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/5 with a home run. Blake Perkins also had a two-hit game for Milwaukee. Christian Yelich went 2/4.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

Milwaukee is 36-25 overall, putting them six games ahead of the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers have dropped two straight games heading into today’s matchup at the Phillies. So far, they have gone 16-8 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 18-10 this year, and they have gone 18-15 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 13-9 this year, and they are 18-12 as the favorite. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 11-6-2, and they have won three straight series.

Despite a run line record of 33-28 overall, the Brewers have been a profitable team to back on the run line when they are the underdog, as they are 22-9 in that situation. Their average run differential on the season is +1.0 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 20-13 on the road.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Brewers have had an average combined run total of 9.0 in their games this season, and their over/under record is 34-26. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-2. Only 6.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Phillies Records & Recent Play

Philadelphia is currently 43-19 overall, and they lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies have won two straight games, and they are 11-5 against other teams in the NL East. This season, the Phillies have been really good at home, going 26-9, and they are 17-10 on the road.

So far, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 27-10 this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 38-15 this year and 5-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 12-4-4 this year.

When it comes to betting the run line, the Phillies have been a solid option this season, going 34-28 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 19-16 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.6 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.9 runs per game when they are playing at Citizens Bank Park. As the favorite, they are 29-24 against the run line, compared to 5-4 as the underdog.

Despite the fact that the Phillies have played 83.9% of their games with an over/under line set at less than 9 runs, the over has hit in three straight games for Philadelphia. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 27-31 overall. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 9 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Getting the start for the Brewers is Aaron Ashby, who is on the road to face the Phillies. In his first start of the season, Ashby took the loss against the Reds, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up 4 runs on 6 hits. He did strike out 6 batters in that outing.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces off against the Brewers at home. Nola has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 7-2 with a 3.03 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.03 and has issued just 2.56 walks per nine innings compared to 8.26 strikeouts. Nola has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Brewers vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers are batting .256, which is 2nd in the league, and have the best BABIP in the league.

William Contreras is batting .310 for the season and leads the team with 44 RBIs. He is also 3rd on the team with 8 homers. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, with 9 and 10 homers, respectively. Over his last five games, Christian Yelich has gone 9/21.

Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top offenses this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in team batting average at .255 and have the 6th most home runs in the league. The Phillies also do a good job of working the count, as they are 3rd in walks and have a collective OBP of .330.

Over his last six games, Alec Bohm has gone just 5/26, but he does have one home run and four runs scored in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .296 with six homers. Bryce Harper has gone 7/24 over his last six games and is 6th in the league with 14 home runs. Harper’s 44 RBIs are 2nd on the team, trailing Bohm, who has 50 RBIs.

Free Brewers vs. Phillies MLB Pick

The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series, and the Brewers have scored just one run in each of the first two games. Milwaukee called up Aaron Ashby for this start despite some pretty bad numbers in the minors. Look for the Phillies to complete the three-game sweep in this one, and I see them not only winning but covering the run line.