Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick 7/26/23

Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Wednesday, July 26th, 12:10 ET
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: BSSUN
Money Line: Marlins +140/Rays -167
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Marlins on Wednesday, July 26th at Tropicana Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Marlins vs. Rays Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Luis Arraez	1	2B
Jorge Soler	2	DH
Garrett Cooper	3	1B
Jesús Sánchez	4	RF
Bryan De La Cruz	5	LF
Jean Segura	6	3B
Joey Wendle	7	SS
Nick Fortes	8	C
Dane Myers	9	RF
Sandy Alcantara	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Yandy Díaz	1	1B
Wander Franco	2	SS
Luke Raley	3	RF
Randy Arozarena	4	LF
Isaac Paredes	5	3B
Brandon Lowe	6	2B
Josh Lowe	7	CF
Jose Siri	8	CF
Christian Bethancourt	9	C
Zach Eflin	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 54-48 SU / OU 47-52 / Runline 47-55
Tampa Bay Rays: 62-42 SU / OU 53-47 / Runline 53-51

Heading into today’s action, the Marlins’ record of 54-48 has them sitting 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are 11.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 23-28 and 31-20, respectively. Miami’s overall series record sits at 17-15.

• The Marlins have seven straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
• The Marlins have been favored in 49.0% of their games and have runline records of 22-29 and 25-26 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 47-52.

Heading into today’s action, the Rays’ record of 62-42 has them sitting 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 25-24 and 37-18, respectively. Tampa Bay’s overall series record sits at 17-11-4.

• The Rays have covered the runline in 51.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.4
• The Rays have been favored in 83.7% of their games and have runline records of 29-26 and 24-25 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 53% of the Rays’ 104 games at 53-47.

Pitching Matchup




The Marlins will turn to starter Sandy Alcantara who has an overall record of 3-9. After 20 appearances, his ERA is 4.70 and he has a K/9 figure of 7.55. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.00 and an OBP of .302.

Alcantara is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs and eight hits in six innings of action. Miami lost the game by a score of 6-4 to the Cardinals.




Across 19 appearances, Zach Eflin has a slugging percentage allowed of .357 and enters with a WHIP of .99. His overall record is 11-5 on an ERA of 3.37. For the season, he has a total of 113 K’s, and is averaging 9.05 strikeouts per nine innings. Eflin’s record on the road is 1-4 and 10-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 6.05 (road) and 2.17 (home), respectively.

Eflin picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up zero earned runs and two hits across seven innings vs. the Orioles. The Rays won the game by a score of 3-0.

Marlins vs. Rays Offense Outlook

With a total of 91 home runs, the Miami offense is 25th in the MLB. Miami’s collective batting average is rank 4th in the league at .263. When it comes to OPS, the Marlins 20th in the league at .716.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties




Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games




With 150 home runs hit so far this season (4th), the Rays are showing why they are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .256. The team’s slugging percentage is .444 at home and .432 on the road.

Tampa Bay Rays Top Bats




Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Rough beat yesterday pushing on our first five innings play due to a passed ball! I’m going right back to the same exact bet Wednesday as the Marlins continued to stink at the plate, only managing to get two hits yesterday. Like yesterday, both pitchers (Alcantara/Eflin) are capable of shutting an opponent down. I’m placing the same exact bet as yesterday: First Five Innings UNDER 4 runs.