Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Total Pick

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Wednesday, August 9th, 12:35 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Marlins +105/Reds -124
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Marlins on Wednesday, August 9th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Marlins vs. Reds Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Luis Arraez	1	2B
Jorge Soler	2	DH
Josh Bell	3	1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	CF
Bryan De La Cruz	5	LF
Jake Burger	6	3B
Jesús Sánchez	7	RF
Joey Wendle	8	SS
Jacob Stallings	9	C
Johnny Cueto	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Elly De La Cruz	1	SS
TJ Friedl	2	CF
Matt McLain	3	2B
Spencer Steer	4	LF
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	5	DH
Joey Votto	6	1B
Nick Senzel	7	3B
Tyler Stephenson	8	C
Will Benson	9	RF
Graham Ashcraft	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 59-56 SU / OU 52-60 / Runline 51-64
Cincinnati Reds: 60-56 SU / OU 59-57 / Runline 71-45

For the season, the Marlins have put together a record of 59-56, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the NL East standings, they are 3rd, trailing by 14 games. This year, they have gone 34-24 at home and 25-32 on the road with an overall series mark of 18-17-1.

• The Marlins have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.3.
• The Marlins have been favored in 49.6% of their games and have runline records of 24-34 and 27-30 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 52-60.

For the season, the Reds have put together a record of 60-56, including going just 3-7 over their last ten games. In the NL Central standings, they are 2nd, trailing by 1.5 games. This year, they have gone 29-30 at home and 31-26 on the road with an overall series mark of 17-15-4.

• The Reds have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
• The Reds have been favored in 26.7% of their games and have runline records of 34-25 and 37-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 51% of the Reds’ 116 games at 59-57.

Pitching Matchup




For the season, Miami starter Johnny Cueto has a record of 0-3 and ERA of 5.32. One thing to note, is that he has given up four or more earned run in two straight games. Overall, he has a slugging percentage allowed of .410 with opponents putting together a batting average of .192 against him. In terms of strikeouts, he comes in with a season-long total of 18 while issuing six walks.

Johnny Cueto took the loss in his last outing, with the Marlins losing to the Phillies by a score of 4-2. Despite pitching for six innings, Cueto allowed four runs and five hits.




Graham Ashcraft has an overall record of 6-7, and will get the start for the Reds. With 21 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.18, while his K/9 figure is 6.45. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.22 and an OBP of .342.

Graham Ashcraft delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching eight innings and allowing three runs. Despite his efforts, the Reds fell to the Nationals by a score of 6-3.

Marlins vs. Reds Offense Outlook

Miami heads into the game ranked just 23rd in home runs having gone deep 106 times. The team’s collective batting average sits at .262, which is 3rd in the league. In term of OPS, they are 18th in baseball on the road and 17th at home.

Miami Marlins Team Hitting Stats




Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games




On offense, Cincinnati is 7th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 12th, having hit 135 homers. Their overall batting average is .250, including .250 on the road and .239 at home.

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters vs. Righties




Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Marlins have struggled to put up runs all season. So, to see that they have scored three or fewer in four of their last five and seven of the last nine is more the norm than a bad spell. The Reds have been one of the better scoring clubs all season and are currently ranked 7th in the MLB. That said, they’re beat up right now with Jonathan India (68 Runs and 52 RBIs) and Jake Fraley 40 Runs and 63 RBIs) out and have surpassed three runs in just one of their past six games. Johhny Cueto hasn’t impressed since his return but has a shot to get well against the depleted Cincy line-up. The Reds hand the ball to Graham Ashcraft who has a nice stat line allowing three or fewer runs in seven straight starts (10 combined runs). Take the Under 10 -104.