Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox Moneyline Pick

Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Tuesday, June 27th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN
Money Line: Marlins +101/Red Sox -120 (Get a 100% bonus at MyBookie!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Marlins on Tuesday, June 27th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Marlins vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 45-34 SU / OU 35-41 / Runline 38-41
Boston Red Sox: 40-39 SU / OU 43-35 / Runline 40-39

On a record of 45-34, the Marlins are 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 6.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Red Sox, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 20-18 while going 25-16 at home. Miami’s overall series record is 13-11.

• The Marlins have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Marlins have been favored in 48.1% of their games and have runline records of 18-23 and 20-18 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 35-41.

If the Red Sox are going to climb out of last place in the AL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Marlins. Heading into the game, the Red Sox have lost two straight games and stand with an overall record of 40-39. On the road, the Red Sox are 19-21 and 21-18 at home. The team’s overall series record is 13-9-3.

• The Red Sox have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.3.
• The Red Sox have been favored in 43.0% of their games and have runline records of 19-20 and 21-19 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Red Sox’s 79 games at 43-35.

Pitching Matchup

The Marlins will turn to starter Sandy Alcantara who has an overall record of 2-6. After 15 appearances, his ERA is 5.08 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.75 and an OBP of .299.

Alcantara is coming off an outing in which he gave up five earned runs and 10 hits in seven innings of action. Miami lost the game by a score of 6-3 to the Blue Jays.

Across eight appearances, Garrett Whitlock has a slugging percentage allowed of .446 and enters with a WHIP of 1.22. His overall record is 4-2 on an ERA of 4.50. For the season, he has a total of 39 K’s, and is averaging 0.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Whitlock’s record on the road is 2-2 and 2-0 at home. This includes an ERA of 5.72 (road) and 3.86 (home), respectively.

In his last start, Garrett Whitlock allowed four runs on eight hits to the Twins. Whitlock pitched seven innings and took a no-decision in the Red Sox’s 5-4 loss.

Marlins vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

This season, Miami has been scoring an average of 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 72 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .261 ranks 5th in the league. On the road, the Marlins are 11th in batting average compared to 5th at home.

Miami Marlins Top Bats

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Red Sox have played 80 games so far this season and are currently ranked 6th in the league with an average of 5.0 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Boston is 17th, having hit the ball out of the park 83 times. Their overall batting average is .260, including .223 on the road and .279 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

I feel that the Red Sox have the edge here in starting pitching. Sandy Alcantara has been getting rocked on the road with 5.36 ERA while Garrett Whitlock has been pretty good at home with a 2-0 record and 3.38 ERA. There are other metrics to consider of course, but I think that alone is worth backing the home side at a small number. Take Boston -118. Football season is coming! Find out how you can get a 125% bonus AND get a FREE half point everytime you bet your favorite team!