Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 5/26/24

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Sunday, May 26th, 4:10 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: None
Money Line: Marlins +130/Diamondbacks -155
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Marlins on Sunday, May 26th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Marlins and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 4:10 PM ET. The money line odds have the Diamondbacks at -155 compared to the Marlins at +130. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Blake Walston is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Ryan Weathers for the Marlins. Miami is 18-35, which has them in 5th place in the NL East, while the Diamondbacks are 4th in the NL West with an overall record of 25-27.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 18-35 SU / OU 30-23 / Runline 21-32
Arizona Diamondbacks: 25-27 SU / OU 23-27 / Runline 24-28

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Marlins series. Arizona went into the matchup as -187 favorites and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Marlins had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Paul Sewald closed things out for the Diamondbacks.

Miami wasted a good outing from Sixto Sanchez, as he gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work. Jordan Montgomery got the win for Arizona, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.

Christian Walker and Eugenio Suarez each had two hits and an RBI for the Diamondbacks’ offense. Jake Burger had a three-hit game for the Marlins.

Marlins Records & Recent Play

Miami is 18-35 overall this season, putting them 5th in the NL East, 20 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 4-12. The Marlins are just 8-16 on the road this year and 10-19 at home.

As the road underdog, the Marlins are 8-16 this year, and they are just 3-11 when favored. Miami has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 4-11-1 this year.

Miami is 21-32 against the run line this season, and the Marlins are 12-12 against the run line on the road. Miami has covered the run line in five straight road games and is 20-19 against the run line as an underdog this season. The Marlins have an average run differential of -1.5 runs per game this season.

When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for their games today. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-23. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-9. So far this season, 41.5% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and 17.0% of their games have had higher lines. They are currently on a three-game under streak.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

Arizona is 25-27 overall heading into today’s matchup vs. the Marlins, and they are seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks trail the Padres by a half-game for 3rd place in the division and lead the Rockies by 7.5 games for 5th place in the division. So far, they have gone 11-9 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 13-14 this year compared to 12-13 on the road. This season, they have been the favorite in 24 games, going 13-11 in those matchups. As the underdog, Arizona is 12-16 this year. The Diamondbacks’ overall series record is 6-9-1, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Marlins.

Arizona has a run differential of +0.1 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 24-28. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 14-11 compared to 10-17 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog on the run line, going 16-12 compared to 8-16 as the favorite.

Arizona has played in 42.3% of games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 23-27 on the season, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. Their current under streak is at three games.

Pitching Matchup

Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.49 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 10 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Weathers most recently pitched on May 20th vs. the Brewers, where he went seven innings, giving up one earned run on two hits. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Weathers didn’t allow a homer in that start, but he had given up a homer in three straight outings before that.

Blake Walston will be making his first start of the season for the Diamondbacks, as he comes into the game after a bullpen appearance against the Dodgers. In that outing, he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 5.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. Their team batting average of .234 is 15th in the league, and they are also one of the better teams in the league at not striking out. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .289 is 25th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of walks. As a team, the Marlins are 12th in the league in home runs.

Josh Bell is the Marlins’ current home run leader, and his 27 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Bell is batting just .228 this season, but he has gone 10/36 in his last nine games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has two homers in his last nine games and is also batting .278 in this stretch. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot of late, batting .273 in his last nine games and is 4/12 in his last three games.

Arizona’s offense has been one of the better units in the league this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte come into the game as the team’s top home run hitters, with 10 homers apiece. Walker is also 12th in the league with 33 RBIs, while Marte is 3rd on the team with 27 RBIs. Joc Pederson has been a nice addition to the lineup so far, as he is batting .303 and has gone deep six times. Over his last 10 games, Pederson has gone 8/25 with seven RBIs.

Free Marlins vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -155. We see the Diamondbacks coming out on top by a score of 5-4. The payout for the over/under is better, but we recommend sticking with the Diamondbacks to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Weathers is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is 14th among starters in terms of picking up a win. As for the Diamondbacks, they are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and they are 17th in terms of home runs.

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