Mets vs. Yankees Betting Preview & Predictions for July 24th

by | Last updated Jul 24, 2024 | mlb

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
Date: Wednesday, July 24th, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Mets +141/Yankees -168
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Mets on Wednesday, July 24th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYM +141 +1.5 O 8.5 (-108)
NYY -168 -1.5 U 8.5 (-112)

There does appear to be a chance for light rain in New York on Wednesday, as the forecasted temperature is 72 degrees. The Mets and Yankees will face off at Yankee Stadium, and the Mets are 52-48, while the Yankees are 60-43. The money line odds have the Yankees at -168 compared to the Mets at +141. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

First pitch for this interleague matchup is set for 7:05 PM ET, and ESPN will be televising the game. Gerrit Cole will be starting for the Yankees, while the Mets are sending Sean Manaea to the mound. New York is currently on a two-game winning streak, and the Yankees are in second place in the AL East, while the Mets are third in the NL East.

Mets vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Francisco Lindor 1 SS
Brandon Nimmo 2 LF
J.D. Martinez 3 DH
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Francisco Alvarez 5 C
DJ Stewart 6 RF
Mark Vientos 7 3B
Jeff McNeil 8 2B
Harrison Bader 9 CF
Sean Manaea SP
Player Batting Order Position
Anthony Volpe 1 SS
Juan Soto 2 RF
Aaron Judge 3 CF
Alex Verdugo 4 LF
Gleyber Torres 5 2B
DJ LeMahieu 6 3B
Ben Rice 7 1B
Jahmai Jones 8 DH
Austin Wells 9 C
Gerrit Cole SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 52-48 SU / OU 53-44 / Runline 47-53
New York Yankees: 60-43 SU / OU 53-46 / Runline 54-49

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Yankees series. New York went into the matchup as +131 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Mets had a two-run 6th inning, and the Yankees could only muster one run in the 7th. As for the Mets, they scored the game’s first run in the 1st and added their final run in the 5th.

Jose Quintana got the win for the Mets out of the bullpen, while Jake Diekman got the save. Michael Tonkin took the loss for the Yankees out of the bullpen.

At the plate, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso each had two hits and an RBI for the Mets. Gleyber Torres hit the game’s only home run for the Yankees and went 1/3 with two RBIs.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets are 52-48 overall and trail the Phillies by 11.5 games in the NL East. New York is 18-14 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets have won two straight games, and they are winning their series vs. the Yankees 1-0.

At home, the Mets are 26-26 this year, and they have gone 26-22 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 58 games, going 32-26. As for their games as the underdog, the Mets are 20-22 this year. New York’s overall series record is 15-13-6.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 26-22 overall. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game away from Citi Field. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog this season, going 25-17.

Today’s over/under line for the Mets-Yankees game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have played 97 games this season, and 24 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 24.0% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-44 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have a record of 17-11.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees are 60-43 overall and trail the Orioles by 1.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 2nd in the AL East and have gone 18-21 in divisional games. The Yankees will host the Mets today, and they are 27-22 at home this season.

New York has been good on the road this season, putting up a record of 33-21. As the favorite, the Yankees are 46-37 this season and 14-6 as the underdog. The Yankees’ overall series record is 18-10-4, and they are currently down 0-1 in the series vs. the Mets.

When the Yankees win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, averaging a 4.1 run differential in those games. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.3. On the run line, they are 54-49 overall, and 31-23 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 16-4 on the run line in those games.

Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line for Yankees games this season. The Yankees have played 24 games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 53-46. The combined run average in Yankees games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 26-17.

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Pitching Matchup

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 6-4 with a 3.73 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 3.64 walks per nine innings.

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Mets and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start vs. the Rays, he went 6 innings, giving up just 1 earned run and striking out 8. Looking back over his last four outings, Cole has given up just 1 earned run in three of them. His record for the season is 3-1, and his ERA is 4.60. Opponents are batting .261 off Cole this season, and his WHIP is 1.40. So far, he has made two quality starts.

Mets vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

Over the Mets’ last nine games, Jeff McNeil has been swinging a hot bat, going 9/28 with four home runs and 11 RBIs. Jose Iglesias has also been on a tear, hitting .545 over his last eight games. For the season, Brandon Nimmo is batting just .239, but he does have 16 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 8th in team batting average. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. So far, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd best home run hitting team and have the top team on-base percentage in the league. Their team batting average of .247 is 9th in the MLB.

Yankees fans have seen some great hitting performances of late, as Juan Soto is batting .406 over his last seven games, with three homers in that stretch. For the season, Soto is batting .308 with 25 homers. Aaron Judge is also having a big season, leading the league with 35 homers and is batting .309.

Free Mets vs. Yankees MLB Pick

The Yankees’ up and down play has continued post All-Star Break, as they split their series vs. the Rays and dropped game one of this series vs. the Mets. But today, they are a sizable favorite on the money line as Gerrit Cole takes the mound, and he has looked good in two straight outings. Not only do I like the Yankees to win tonight, but I’m taking them to cover the run line.

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