Mets vs. Padres MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions

by | Last updated Apr 11, 2023 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
Date: Tuesday, April 11th, 7:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: Padres +122/Mets -143
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Padres on Tuesday, April 11th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+122 +1.5 O 8.5 (-121)
-143 -1.5 U 8.5 (+100)

Padres vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Xander Bogaerts 1 SS
Juan Soto 2 RF
Manny Machado 3 3B
Nelson Cruz 4 DH
Jake Cronenworth 5 2B
Ha-Seong Kim 6 SS
Austin Nola 7 C
Trent Grisham 8 CF
José Azocar 9 RF
Ryan Weathers SP


Batting Order Position
Brandon Nimmo 1 CF
Starling Marte 2 CF
Francisco Lindor 3 SS
Pete Alonso 4 1B
Mark Canha 5 LF
Tommy Pham 6 LF
Jeff McNeil 7 2B
Eduardo Escobar 8 2B
Tomás Nido 9 C
David Peterson SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

San Diego Padres: 6-5 SU / OU 6-5 / Runline 5-6
New York Mets: 6-5 SU / OU 6-5 / Runline 7-4

As of now, the Padres hold an above .500 record (6-5) and have played 11 games this year, placing them 3rd in the NL West. San Diego has played in three series so far, going 1-0 record. At home, the Padres have a record of 3-3 at home and 3-2 on the road.

San Diego’s record against the runline stands at 5-6, even though they have been favored in seven of their 11 games. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team’s over/under record stands at 6-5.

As of now, the Mets hold an above .500 record (6-5) and have played 11 games this year, placing them 2nd in the NL East. New York has played in three series so far, going 2-1 record. On the road, the Mets are 3-4 and 3-1 at home.

New York currently has an above .500 record against the runline (7-4). So far, they have been favored in eight of their 11 games. The team has an over/under record of 6-5, with an average betting line of 8.

Pitching Matchup

Ryan Weathers is coming off an outing against the Diamondbacks in which he gave up two runs and five hits across five innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Padres won by a score of 5-4.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
David Peterson 2 2 9 0-1 6.00 2.11 2

The Mets will turn to starter David Peterson who has an overall record of 0-1. After two appearances, his ERA is 6.00 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. ALso, he has compiled a FIP of 6.06 and an OBP of .442.

In his last appearance, David Peterson lasted four innings in the Mets’ 7-6 loss to the Brewers. Individually, Peterson finished with a no-decision while giving up five runs on five hits.

Padres vs. Mets Offense Outlook

This season, the Padres have emerged as one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 15 home runs (6th). In addition, they have maintained an average of 4.5 runs per game, while their collective batting average stands at .229. Their slugging percentage at home is .438 compared to .366 on the road.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Manny Machado .304 0 .391 .320
Nelson Cruz .667 1 1.222 .794
Ha-Seong Kim .278 1 .556 .401
Juan Soto .222 1 .444 .373
Xander Bogaerts .222 0 .222 .325

The Mets come into the game ranked 22nd in the league on an average of 4.0 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, New York is 17th, having hit the ball out of the park 10 times. Their overall batting average stands at .218. On the road, they are hitting .202 while .233 at home.

New York Mets Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Pete Alonso .214 .298 .595 11 5 0
Francisco Lindor .216 .362 .405 7 1 1
Starling Marte .303 .378 .485 2 1 4

Free MLB Pick

Short analysis as I’m dealing with Covid. The Padres were hitting well before last night’s game, and with a pitching match-up that I think is a draw, I’ll take the Padres +120.

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