Best Bets for Mets vs. Diamondbacks: Odds, Predictions & More

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday, August 28th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: Mets +107/Diamondbacks -126 (Bet smarter! Wager on games at reduced odds!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Mets on Wednesday, August 28th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 9:40 PM ET, the Mets and Diamondbacks face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-126). The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +107.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and SNY is carrying this game on TV. Luis Severino is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Eduardo Rodriguez. The Mets are 3rd in the NL East, while the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Mets: 69-63 SU / OU 67-61 / Runline 63-69
Arizona Diamondbacks: 75-57 SU / OU 73-52 / Runline 69-63

New York cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored all three of their runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -108.

Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.

Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/5 with two RBIs and two runs scored. J.D. Martinez also had a two-hit game for New York, driving in two runs.

Mets Records & Recent Play

The Mets are 69-63 overall and trail the Phillies by nine games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 22-17 in divisional games. New York is on the road today, leading their series with the Diamondbacks 1-0.

At home, the Mets are 35-33 this year compared to 34-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 43-35 and 26-28 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 21-16-8, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games overall.

The Mets are 35-29 against the run line on the road this season, including a current three-game run line win streak. They have a run line record of 32-22 as an underdog and have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game on the road.

The Mets are on the road against the Diamondbacks today, with the O/U line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.3 runs per game, and their O/U record is 67-61. The average O/U line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 25-17. In 32 of their games this season, the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 24.2% of their games. In 58 games, the O/U line has been set lower than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 43.9% of their games.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

Arizona is 75-57 overall and is 3 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 22-14 against other teams in the NL West. So far, they have been good at home, going 37-27, and they are above .500 on the road, with a record of 38-30.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been good as the favorite, going 41-25, and they are 30-16 as the favorite at home. Arizona has an overall series record of 24-14-4 this year, and they have won two straight series. Currently, they are losing the series vs. the Mets 0-1.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 69-63 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 40-28 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 42-24 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 73-52, and they have gone over the line in 28 of 45 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs. The over has hit in two straight games for the Diamondbacks.

Pitching Matchup

Luis Severino will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Padres. In that outing, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has made 25 starts and has a record of 9-6. His ERA for the season is 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Opposing batters are hitting .228 off Severino this year. The right-hander has one complete game shutout this year and 10 quality starts. Per nine innings, Severino is averaging 7.44 strikeouts and 3.11 walks.

Eduardo Rodriguez is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today, and he is coming off a win over the Marlins in his last outing. Rodriguez went 5 1/3 innings in that start, giving up 1 earned run and striking out 5. He has made one start at home this season, going 5 innings and giving up 3 runs.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 12/34 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .270 with 27 homers and 78 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been swinging the bat well, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and has gone deep 28 times this season, which is 8th in the league. His 72 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and are 5th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting .249 and have an OPS of .741, both of which are 9th in the MLB. New York’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the majors this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams this season and are also batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Leading the Diamondbacks offense is Ketel Marte, who is hitting .298 for the season and has gone deep 30 times, which is 6th best in the league. He also leads the team with 81 RBIs. Christian Walker is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 23 homers this season.

Free Mets vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Both the Diamondbacks and Mets need every win they can get as we approach September, as New York is three games out of the final Wild Card spot while the Diamondbacks want to not only hold on to their Wild Card spot but they still have hopes of catching the Dodgers for the division lead. In today’s matchup, they are hoping that Eduardo Rodriguez picks up where he left off in his last outing, as he gave up just one run across 5 1/3 innings. My pick for Wednesday’s matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line.

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