Marlins vs. Braves Moneyline Pick

by | Last updated Apr 26, 2023 | mlb

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Wednesday, April 26th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSO
Money Line: Marlins +137/Braves -160 (Stop overpaying for betting odds! Save big bucks with reduced juice baseball betting at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Marlins on Wednesday, April 26th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+137 +1.5 O 8.5 (-101.0)
-160 -1.5 U 8.5 (-119.0)

Marlins vs. Braves Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1 CF
Garrett Cooper 2 1B
Luis Arraez 3 2B
Jorge Soler 4 RF
Bryan De La Cruz 5 CF
Avisaíl García 6 RF
Jean Segura 7 SS
Nick Fortes 8 C
Jon Berti 9 3B
Sandy Alcantara SP

 

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Matt Olson 2 1B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Eddie Rosario 5 LF
Ozzie Albies 6 2B
Vaughn Grissom 7 2B
Sam Hilliard 8 CF
Kevin Pillar 9 CF
Bryce Elder SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Miami Marlins: 12-12 SU / OU 9-13 / Runline 9-15
Atlanta Braves: 16-8 SU / OU 14-9 / Runline 12-12

Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Marlins have a record of 12-12 and have dropped three straight games. In the NL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 5-2. At home, they have gone 7-6 and 5-6 on the road.

 

  • The Marlins have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -1.5.
  • The Marlins have been favored in 37.5% of their games and have runline records of 4-9 and 5-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 9-13.

The Braves take on the Marlins in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 16-8. So far, they are 10-2 on the road and 6-6 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 5-2.

 

  • The Braves have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.6.
  • The Braves have been favored in 87.5% of their games and have runline records of 3-9 and 9-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 61% of the Braves’ 24 games at 14-9.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sandy Alcantara 4 4 24 1-2 5.47 1.18 2

The Marlins will turn to starter Sandy Alcantara who has an overall record of 1-2. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 5.47 with a K/9 figure of 0.8. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.49 to go along with an OBP of .287.

The 5-0 defeat against the Diamondbacks in Sandy Alcantara’s previous start saw him take the loss after allowing five runs across six innings on the mound.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bryce Elder 4 4 23 2-0 1.14 1.18 0

The Braves will turn to starter Bryce Elder who has an overall record of 2-0. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 1.14 with a K/9 figure of 1.0. So far, he has put together of FIP of 2.52 to go along with an OBP of .312.

Bryce Elder delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching six innings and allowing one run. Despite his efforts, the Braves fell to the Astros by a score of 6-4.

Marlins vs. Braves Offense Outlook

Offensively, the Marlins, come into the game ranked 29th in the league with an average of 3.2 runs per game. In the home run category, Miami is ranked 22nd, with 23 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .245. This mark includes hitting .236 on the road and .244 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Luis Arraez .464 1 .643 .502
Bryan De La Cruz .295 2 .459 .354
Jazz Chisholm Jr. .246 3 .443 .318
Jorge Soler .230 2 .443 .316
Jean Segura .246 0 .263 .249

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bryan De La Cruz .286 7 3 1 .608
Jon Berti .269 5 3 1 .511
Garrett Hampson .317 6 3 0 .433
Avisaíl García .158 4 2 1 .283
Luis Arraez .400 5 1 0 .483

The Braves have hit 38 home runs this season, making them one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball (3rd). In addition to their impressive home run stats, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .258. At home, their slugging percentage is .437, compared to .456 on the road.

Atlanta Braves Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Ronald Acuña Jr. .364 .442 .545 11 3 13
Matt Olson .261 .382 .543 20 6 0
Sean Murphy .275 .419 .638 16 6 0

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ozzie Albies .347 7 4 3 .943
Ronald Acuña Jr. .347 7 3 0 .543
Sean Murphy .275 5 5 2 .613
Austin Riley .217 4 4 1 .467
Sam Hilliard .200 4 2 2 .550

Free MLB Pick

Braves starter Bryce Elder has been really impressive in allowing ZERO runs in three of his first four starts. The Braves sticks are heating up with seven and eleven runs in their last two games. Sandy Alcantara was lights out last season, but has started off slow in 2023. He’s had sub-par outings in three of his first four starts. Marlins bats have been known to disappear on the road too. I’m laying the wood with the Braves at -160. Bet your MLB games for FREE all week by scoring a 125% real cash bonus up to $400 AND get a FREE HALF POINT everytime you bet your favorite team in each sport when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at GTBets Sportsbook! These guys are going to ridiculous lengths to get your business!

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