Mariners vs. Reds Prediction: Joe’s Moneyline Lean for April 16th

by | Last updated Apr 16, 2025 | mlb

Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Wednesday, April 16th, 6:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: FS1
Money Line: Mariners -121/Reds +103
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Mariners on Wednesday, April 16th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
SEA -121 -1.5 O 8.5 (-120)
CIN +103 +1.5 U 8.5 (100)

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Mariners and Reds has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds are currently on a four-game winning streak and are 9-8 overall, while the Mariners are 8-9 and are 4th in the AL West.

Seattle is starting Bryce Miller, while the Reds have Nick Martinez on the mound. On the money line, the Mariners are the slight favorite, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. FS1 will be televising this one.

Mariners vs. Reds Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Julio Rodríguez 1 CF
Jorge Polanco 2 DH
Cal Raleigh 3 C
Randy Arozarena 4 LF
Luke Raley 5 RF
Rowdy Tellez 6 1B
Dylan Moore 7 3B
Miles Mastrobuoni 8 2B
J.P. Crawford 9 SS
Bryce Miller SP


Player Batting Order Position
TJ Friedl 1 CF
Santiago Espinal 2 2B
Elly De La Cruz 3 SS
Gavin Lux 4 LF
Jeimer Candelario 5 3B
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 6 1B
Spencer Steer 7 DH
Jake Fraley 8 RF
Jose Trevino 9 C
Nick Martinez SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 8-9 SU / OU 7-8 / Runline 8-9
Cincinnati Reds: 9-8 SU / OU 7-9 / Runline 9-8

The Reds offense only had one more hit than the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. Cincinnati went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -105 and picked up an 8-4 win. Heading into the game, the Reds had scored the same number of runs as the Mariners but had given up two fewer runs.

Seattle’s two starting pitching performances in this series have not gone well. Luis Castillo only went 4 1/3 innings and gave up six runs in the most recent game. As for the Reds, Nick Lodolo gave up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

Austin Hays and Gavin Lux each had two hits and two RBIs for the Reds’ offense. Jake Fraley also had a two-hit game for Cincinnati. Dylan Moore was the Mariners’ top hitter, going 3/5 with two homers.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle is 8-9 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL West, two games behind the Rangers. So far, they have gone 7-3 in divisional games. The Mariners have dropped four straight games on the road, and they are 0-4 on the road overall.

As the underdog, the Mariners are 8-9 this year, and they have yet to be favored in a game. At home, the Mariners have gone 8-5 this year. Seattle lost the series opener vs. the Reds and are 2-2-1 in series this year. They have won two straight series before losing the first game of this series.

Reds Records & Recent Play

Cincinnati is 9-8 overall this season, and they have won four straight games, including taking the first game of their series vs. the Mariners. In the NL Central, they trail the Cubs by 1.5 games, and they are 4-3 in divisional matchups this year.

So far, the Reds have been good at home, going 6-4, and they are 3-4 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds have put together a record of 9-8 this season, and they have yet to play a game as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 2-3, but they have won two straight series.

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Pitching Matchup

Bryce Miller is getting the start for the Mariners on the road against the Reds. This will be his third start of the season, and he is still looking for his first win. He went five innings in his first start, giving up one run, and then went 5 1/3 in his last outing, allowing four earned runs.

Getting the start for the Reds today is Nick Martinez, who will be facing the Mariners at home. Martinez has started three games so far this season, and he has yet to pick up a win. In his last start, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 8, but he gave up four runs on seven hits.

Mariners vs. Reds Offense Outlook

Cal Raleigh has been a bit of an all-or-nothing hitter for the Mariners this season, as he is batting just .203 overall but does lead the team with five home runs. He has gone deep four times over his last eight games, but he is hitting just .250 during that stretch. Dylan Moore has also been a solid power threat, as his four homers is 2nd on the team and 4th in the league. Moore is batting .306 for the season.

As a team, the Mariners are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .208, which is 20th in the league. Seattle’s team OBP of .308 is 15th in the MLB.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top run producers this season, as his 18 RBIs are the 3rd most in the league. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 2/15 in his last four games. De La Cruz does have three homers this season, which is the best mark on the team. Matt McLain is also tied for the team lead in homers and has gone just 3/15 in his last four games.

Gavin Lux has swung the bat well for the Reds of late, going 5/11 in his last four games. For the season, he is hitting .273. Christian Encarnacion-Strand and McLain are tied for the team lead with three homers but are batting just .151 and .200, respectively. Austin Hays is coming off a game in which he went 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

Free Mariners vs. Reds MLB Pick

The Reds continued their hot play yesterday, as their offense looks to have found its footing after a tough start to the season. But for tonight’s game, they are the slight underdog vs Bryce Miller and the Mariners. I see Miller slowing down the Reds, and have Seattle winning this one straight-up.

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