Mariners vs. Rangers Betting Pick: Will the Under Hit?

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Friday, September 20th, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Mariners -102/Rangers -116
Total Line: 7

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Mariners on Friday, September 20th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 8:05 PM ET, the Mariners and Rangers will face off in an AL West matchup. This one is taking place at Globe Life Field in Arlington and has the Mariners favored on the money line, with the Rangers being the slight favorite (-116 vs. -102).

George Kirby will go for the Mariners, while the Rangers are starting Jacob deGrom. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and BSSW will be televising this one.

Mariners vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 78-75 SU / OU 71-73 / Runline 65-88
Texas Rangers: 73-80 SU / OU 71-77 / Runline 65-88

Mariners Records & Recent Play

The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Yankees in the top of the first, the Mariners responded with three runs of their own. Seattle went on to win the game as the -122 favorite at home.

Logan Gilbert put together a good start for the Mariners, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out nine Yankees. Seattle’s bullpen was excellent, as Andrés Muñoz closed things out in the 9th, and the Mariners’s offense scored three runs in the 1st inning.

Seattle is 78-75 overall and trails the Astros by five games in the AL West. This season, they have gone 25-18 in divisional matchups. The Mariners are on a three-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 57-47 when favored this year.

At home, the Mariners have gone 46-32 compared to 32-43 on the road. Seattle’s series record is 20-24-4, and they dropped two of three games in their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

Seattle has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they have a run line record of 65-88, which is a winning percentage of 42.5%. They have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they are 33-45 compared to 32-43 on the road. The Mariners have been a favorite in 104 games this season, and they have a run line record of 41-63 in those contests. As an underdog, they have a run line record of 24-25.

Seattle’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-73. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 16-20-7. Overall, 63.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7-run total, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. Their last two games have gone under the total.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 4-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Blue Jays scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Texas was the -134 favorite at home going into the game.

Kumar Rocker was excellent for the Rangers, going three innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out five. However, the Rangers couldnjson’t close things out, and Rocker took the loss. Texas’s offense was also held to just two hits and didn’t score a run.

Texas is 73-80 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West, 10 games behind the Astros for the division lead. So far, they have gone 20-23 in AL West matchups. The Rangers are at home today, where they are 43-35 compared to 30-45 on the road.

As the underdog, the Rangers are 24-45 this season, which includes having lost two straight as the underdog. Texas has been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 49-35. The Rangers’ overall series record is 21-26-1, and they won their most recent series vs. the Blue Jays. Heading into today’s game, they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.

The Rangers have been a poor run line bet this season, going 65-88 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 33-45, compared to 32-43 on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 36-33, compared to 29-55 as a favorite. Their average run differential this season is -0.4 runs per game.

The Texas Rangers are at home today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.7 runs per game. Texas has gone over the total in 71 of their 148 games this season. The average over/under line for Rangers games this season is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the over is 4-4 in Rangers games this season. The over has hit in 92.8% of Rangers games this season, with 142 of their 153 games having an over/under line set at over 7 runs. The under has hit in 2% of Rangers games this season, and the under is on a 2-game streak for the Rangers.

Pitching Matchup

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-11 with an ERA of 3.62. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and he has turned in 18 quality starts. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .239 this season. In his last outing, Kirby pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. Kirby has been much better at home this season, coming in with an ERA of 3.80 compared to 4.56 on the road.

Jacob deGrom is getting the start for the Rangers today in their matchup against the Mariners. He is coming off a start in which he went 3 2/3 innings and struck out 4 batters. He didn’t allow any runs in his first start of the season but did give up 4 hits.

Mariners vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

Julio Rodriguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/31 in his last seven games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .265 with 16 homers and 54 RBIs. Catcher Cal Raleigh has a team-high 30 homers but is batting just .213. He also leads the Mariners with 93 RBIs.

Seattle’s offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .222, which is the worst mark in the league. Overall, they are 13th in home runs and have the most strikeouts in the MLB.

For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. As a team, they are batting just .236, and their team OPS of .680 is also near the bottom of the league. Texas has been led in home runs this season by Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager, who have 23 and 30 home runs, respectively. Seager is also hitting a team-best .278.

Over his last seven games, Marcus Semien has gone just 4/27 at the plate, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Adolis Garcia has also struggled this season, hitting just .217. However, he does have 23 homers and 80 RBIs. Wyatt Langford and Leody Taveras have both gone deep twice in their last seven games, with Langford going 7/23 in that stretch.

Free Mariners vs. Rangers MLB Pick

With George Kirby and Jack deGrom on the mound, the over/under line for today’s Seattle vs Texas matchup is just 7 runs. But given that deGrom is pitching just the 2nd time this year, there is a lot of assumptions that the Rangers’ bullpen will be able to take on a heavy load tonight. I’m taking advantage of the low number in this one, and I like the over at 7 runs.