Mariners vs. Cardinals MLB Pick: Expert Analysis & Odds
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Saturday, September 7th, 7:15 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: BSMW
Money Line: Mariners -127/Cardinals +107
Total Line: 7.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Mariners on Saturday, September 7th at Busch Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | -127 | -1.5 | O 7.5 (103) |
| STL | +107 | +1.5 | U 7.5 (-125) |
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Mariners and Cardinals facing off in an interleague matchup. The money line odds have the Mariners favored at -127, while the Cardinals are at +107. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals. Seattle is 72-70 and they are on a three-game winning streak, while the Cardinals are 71-70 overall and are 3rd in the NL Central. BSMW is carrying this one on TV.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Projected Lineup
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford | 1 | SS |
| Julio Rodríguez | 2 | CF |
| Cal Raleigh | 3 | C |
| Randy Arozarena | 4 | LF |
| Jorge Polanco | 5 | 2B |
| Justin Turner | 6 | DH |
| Luke Raley | 7 | 1B |
| Josh Rojas | 8 | 3B |
| Victor Robles | 9 | RF |
| Logan Gilbert | – | SP |
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn | 1 | SS |
| Alec Burleson | 2 | DH |
| Nolan Arenado | 3 | 3B |
| Brendan Donovan | 4 | 2B |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 5 | 1B |
| Lars Nootbaar | 6 | LF |
| Jordan Walker | 7 | RF |
| Iván Herrera | 8 | C |
| Michael Siani | 9 | CF |
| Kyle Gibson | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Seattle Mariners: 72-70 SU / OU 64-70 / Runline 60-82
It was all Seattle in the last game of this series, as the Mariners took down the Cardinals by a score of 6-1. The Mariners offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out five more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -115 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Bryce Miller for the Mariners and Erick Fedde for the Cardinals. Miller only went six innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with four strikeouts. On the other side, Fedde was tagged for five hits and one earned run in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Seattle’s two-through-four hitters, Julio Rodriguez, Justin Turner, and Cal Raleigh, did the most damage at the plate. Rodriguez went 3/5 with an RBI, while Turner and Raleigh each had two hits and drove in two runs.
Mariners Records & Recent Play
Seattle is 72-70 overall this season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have won three straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 22-17 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Mariners have gone 41-28, and they are just under .500 at 31-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 53-44 this year and 19-26 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 19-23-3 this year.
Seattle is 60-82 against the run line this season, including a 31-42 mark on the road. The Mariners have covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-0 against the run line as the favorite in that span. Seattle’s average run differential in wins this season is +3.6, while it’s -3.1 in losses.
Seattle’s over/under record is 64-70, and their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-22. Overall, 38% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.
Cardinals Records & Recent Play
St. Louis is 71-70 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games for the NL Central lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division, one game behind the Cubs for the 2nd spot in the division. The Cardinals are 21-24 against other NL Central teams this year.
The Cardinals have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 23-18-5 this year. At home, they are 13-9 as the underdog this year, and they are 38-36 overall as the underdog. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 33-34 this year, and they are 36-33 at home.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals this season, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog. St. Louis is 48-26 against the run line when getting points, compared to just 22-45 when laying them. The Cardinals have been outscored by an average of 0.4 runs per game, and their run line record is 70-71 overall.
St. Louis is home to the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-69. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 10-21. The vast majority of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with only 5 games this season having lower lines.
Pitching Matchup
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. Gilbert has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 7-10 with an ERA of 3.19. So far, he has turned in 21 quality starts and is averaging 9.17 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gilbert finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had put together two straight scoreless outings. Gilbert has given up at least one homer in four straight starts.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Mariners at home. Gibson has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with a 4.39 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has a WHIP of 1.35 and has pitched 147 2/3 innings. He is coming off a strong outing against the Yankees, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least two homers in three straight starts. Gibson’s ERA at home is 5.46 compared to 3.97 on the road.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Offense Outlook
Cal Raleigh has struggled this season, batting just .211, but he has been hot of late, going 7/27 in his last seven games with two homers and nine RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/30 in his last seven games, and he is on a nine-game hitting streak. Rodriguez is batting .262 for the season and has 14 homers.
As a team, the Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game and are the league’s worst team in terms of striking out. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, going 16/38 in his last nine games with a home run and six RBIs. Overall, he is batting .245 with a team-high 21 homers. Alec Burleson also has 21 homers this season, and his batting average of .275 is tied for the team lead. Masyn Winn is also hitting .275 and has 12 homers.
As a team, the Cardinals are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are 24th in the MLB. Their team batting average of .247 is 10th in the league. St. Louis is also just 19th in slugging and 19th in OPS. Currently, they have a collective batting average on balls in play of .29, which is 7th in the league.
Free Mariners vs. Cardinals MLB Pick
For Saturday’s interleague matchup between the Cardinals and Mariners, I feel really good about locking in the Mariners on the money line. Look for Seattle to get a good outing from Logan Gilbert and jump on Kyle Gibson early. With the line sitting at -127, I think Seattle on the money line is an excellent play for Saturday’s MLB slate.
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