Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction and Analysis 4/29/23

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Saturday, April 29th, 3:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Mariners +199/Blue Jays -238
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Mariners on Saturday, April 29th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Julio Rodríguez	1	CF
Ty France	2	1B
Eugenio Suárez	3	3B
Cal Raleigh	4	C
Teoscar Hernández	5	RF
Jarred Kelenic	6	CF
AJ Pollock	7	RF
Kolten Wong	8	2B
J.P. Crawford	9	SS
Chris Flexen	–	RP




	Batting Order	Position
George Springer	1	CF
Bo Bichette	2	SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3	1B
Matt Chapman	4	3B
Daulton Varsho	5	RF
Alejandro Kirk	6	C
Whit Merrifield	7	2B
Danny Jansen	8	C
Kevin Kiermaier	9	CF
Kevin Gausman	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 11-15 SU / OU 13-13 / Runline 11-15
Toronto Blue Jays: 17-9 SU / OU 9-15 / Runline 15-11

Heading into their game vs. the Blue Jays, the Mariners have a record of 11-15 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 3-5. At home, they have gone 7-9 and 4-6 on the road.

• The Mariners have covered the runline in 42.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.0
• The Mariners have been favored in 69.2% of their games and have runline records of 6-10 and 5-5 at home and on the road, respectively
• Through 26 games, the over has hit in half of the Mariners’ games at 13-13.

On a record of 17-9, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 4.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Mariners, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 9-7 while going 8-2 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 6-2.

• The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 57.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 65.4% of their games and have runline records of 6-4 and 9-7 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 9-15.

Pitching Matchup

The Mariners will turn to starter Chris Flexen who has an overall record of 0-4. After five appearances, his ERA is 8.86, and he has a K/9 figure of 0.7. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 6.63 and an OBP of .412.

Chris Flexen is coming off an outing against the Cardinals in which he allowed six runs on nine hits in four innings of work, taking the loss. The Mariners lost the game by a score of 7-3.

With an overall record of 2-2, the Blue Jays will give Kevin Gausman the start. His ERA stands at 2.84 with a K/9 figure of 1.3 after making five appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.88 and an OBP of .252.

In his last outing, Kevin Gausman finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 5-1 victory over the Yankees. Gausman gave up zero runs and three hits across seven innings.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.2 runs per game, Seattle is ranked 21st in the league. In terms of power numbers, the Mariners have gone deep 27 times so far, placing them in the middle of the pack for home runs (19th). Their current batting average of .222 ranks 27th in the league. While their home batting average is 28th, they rank 22nd on the road.

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters On The Road

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

At 4.7 runs per game, Toronto is ranked 12th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 30 times so far. The team’s batting average of .260 places them 6th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 7th compared to 4th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Toronto Blue Jays are white-hot! They’ve won five games in a row and Jay’s pitching has only allowed FIVE runs over their last five game for an average of ONE run per game! The Mariners will send Chris Flexen to the hill. He’s had three putrid outings in a row which have combined for 18 runs in only 12.1 innings. His overall numbers this season reflect an 8.86 ERA (almost one run per inning!) and a 1.97 whip, meaning he puts two runners on base per inning via walks/hits. He’s been a slow starter over the course of his career as evidenced by his 3-9 overall record in games pitched in April. He actually gets worse in May and then settles down with decent numbers in June/July, so this is nothing new for him. On the flip side, Kevin Gausman has had five starts this year and been brilliant in four of them, including three starts where he didn’t allow any runs. Lastly, Seattle bats are cold. They’ve scored a total of 3 runs over their last two games. I’m betting Toronto at -240. Bet your baseball predictions for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! Here’s how: Register for an account through this special link at Everygame Sportsbook (Oldest bookie on the web – Online since the 1990’s!). Deposit $100 to $500. Before placing your first bet, go to their “Special Offers” page. Enter bonus code PREDICTEM. Your balance will then be instantly credited with the bonus!