Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Free Pick 7/16/23
Date: Sunday, July 16th, 1:40 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Dodgers +101/Mets -122
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Dodgers on Sunday, July 16th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
LAD | +101 | -1.5 | O 8.5 (-121) |
NYM | -122 | +1.5 | U 8.5 (100) |
Dodgers vs. Mets Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Mookie Betts | 1 | RF |
Freddie Freeman | 2 | 1B |
Will Smith | 3 | C |
Max Muncy | 4 | 3B |
J.D. Martinez | 5 | DH |
David Peralta | 6 | LF |
Jason Heyward | 7 | RF |
James Outman | 8 | CF |
Miguel Rojas | 9 | SS |
Bobby Miller | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Nimmo | 1 | CF |
Starling Marte | 2 | RF |
Francisco Lindor | 3 | SS |
Pete Alonso | 4 | 1B |
Daniel Vogelbach | 5 | DH |
Tommy Pham | 6 | LF |
Jeff McNeil | 7 | 2B |
Francisco Alvarez | 8 | C |
Brett Baty | 9 | 3B |
Max Scherzer | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 53-38 SU / OU 51-35 / Runline 49-42
New York Mets: 42-50 SU / OU 38-48 / Runline 36-56
The Dodgers take on the Mets in the middle of a six game winning streak and are leading the NL West on an overall record of 53-38. So far, they are 24-22 on the road and 29-16 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record stands at 17-11-1.
- The Dodgers have covered the runline in six straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.9.
- The Dodgers have been favored in 84.6% of their games and have runline records of 23-22 and 26-20 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 59% of the Dodgers’ 91 games at 51-35.
Heading into their game vs. the Dodgers, the Mets have a record of 42-50 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 10-16-4. At home, they have gone 20-21 and 22-29 on the road.
- The Mets have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.1.
- The Mets have been favored in 65.2% of their games and have runline records of 16-25 and 20-31 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 38-48.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bobby Miller | 8 | 8 | 44 | 5-1 | 4.50 | 1.23 | 4 |
Los Angeles will be counting on another good start from Bobby Miller, as he has picked up a win in two straight games. Miller comes in with an ERA of 4.50 and a record of 5-1. For the season, he has racked up 42 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .220. Opponents have a slugging percentage of .350 vs. Miller.
Miller picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up four earned runs and five hits across 5 2/3 innings vs. the Pirates. The Dodgers won the game by a score of 6-4.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Scherzer | 16 | 16 | 87 | 8-3 | 4.31 | 1.23 | 18 |
Across 16 appearances, Max Scherzer has a slugging percentage allowed of .442 and enters with a WHIP of 1.23. His overall record is 8-3 on an ERA of 4.31. For the season, he has a total of 101 K’s, and is averaging 1.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Scherzer’s record on the road is 6-3 and 2-0 at home. This includes an ERA of 5.39 (road) and 4.10 (home), respectively.
New York lost the last time Scherzer pitched, falling to the Padres by a final score of 6-2. In the game, Scherzer went five innings and allowed five earned runs on six hits.
Dodgers vs. Mets Offense Outlook
After 91 games played, the Dodgers are 4th in the league with an average of 5.5 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 2nd, on a total of 151 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .231 on the road and .248 at home, is .244.
Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters On The Road
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Freddie Freeman | .311 | 9 | .563 | .410 |
Mookie Betts | .263 | 12 | .537 | .385 |
J.D. Martinez | .301 | 12 | .654 | .400 |
James Outman | .225 | 7 | .437 | .324 |
David Peralta | .258 | 1 | .342 | .279 |
Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mookie Betts | .600 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.413 |
J.D. Martinez | .504 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1.212 |
Freddie Freeman | .258 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .742 |
Will Smith | .275 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .487 |
Max Muncy | .229 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .479 |
The Mets have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 115 home runs (8th). In terms of overall run production, New York is averaging 4.4 runs per game on collective batting average of .238. At home, their slugging percentagee is .383 compared to .386 on the road.
New York Mets Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff McNeil | .257 | 3 | .340 | .291 |
Brandon Nimmo | .246 | 13 | .454 | .346 |
Francisco Lindor | .221 | 11 | .420 | .315 |
Starling Marte | .237 | 4 | .317 | .263 |
Pete Alonso | .184 | 18 | .435 | .299 |
New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor | .220 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .340 |
Francisco Álvarez | .277 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .427 |
Brandon Nimmo | .167 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .367 |
Mark Canha | .100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 |
Daniel Vogelbach | .375 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .375 |
Free MLB Pick
Max Scherzer hasn’t had his best stuff in his last two, but he has good back numbers and should help the Mets avoid the sweep today. Take the Mets -115.
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