Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Kansas City Royals Pick 6/30/23

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Kansas City Royals
Date: Friday, June 30th, 8:10 ET
Location: Kauffman Stadium
TV: BSKC
Money Line: Dodgers -217/Royals +180 (Bet on baseball at reduced odds!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Kansas City Royals and the Dodgers on Friday, June 30th at Kauffman Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Dodgers vs. Royals Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 45-35 SU / OU 44-31 / Runline 41-39
Kansas City Royals: 23-58 SU / OU 36-43 / Runline 29-52

The Dodgers head into today’s game vs. the Royals with an overall record of 45-35. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are two games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 21-20 and 24-15, respectively. Los Angeles’ overall series record sits at 14-10-1.

• The Dodgers have covered the runline in 51.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
• The Dodgers have been favored in 83.8% of their games and have runline records of 18-21 and 23-18 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 59% of the Dodgers’ 80 games at 44-31.

Heading into today’s action, the Royals’ record of 23-58 has them sitting 5th in the AL Central. Currently, they are 16.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 12-28 and 11-30, respectively. Kansas City’s overall series record sits at 3-21-2.

• The Royals have covered the runline in 35.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.7
• The Royals have been favored in 16.0% of their games and have runline records of 12-29 and 17-23 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Royals have an over/under record of just 36-43.

Pitching Matchup

Across his six outings, Bobby Miller has a record of 3-1 and ERA of 4.13. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.29 with an OBP allowed of .301. Miller’s strikeout to walk ratio is 31/13.

Looking back at Miller’s last appearance, he allowed 10 hits across four innings of work. Overall, he finished with six earned runs. Despite not factoring into the decision, the Dodgers won by a score of 8-7 over the Astros.

The Royals will be looking for Alec Marsh to get his career off to a strong start as he is appearing for the first time in the major leagues. Ranking 15th in runs allowed over their previous ten games, the Royals’ pitching staff will be looking for a boost from Marsh.

Dodgers vs. Royals Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Dodgers have hit 128 home runs and are one of the top teams in baseball in this category (2nd). They are averaging 5.4 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .241. The team’s slugging percentage is .441 at home and .434 on the road.

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Bats

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Royals have played 82 games and are ranked 24th in the league with 3.7 runs per game. Kansas City ranks 21st in home runs, having gone deep 73 times. Their average is .231, including .219 on the road and .222 at home.

Kansas City Royals Team Hitting Stats

Kansas City Royals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

I actually feel kind of sorry for Royals starter Alec Marsh. Talk about being thrown into the fire! The 25-year-old right-handed will be making his first start against the L.A. Dodgers, a day after they put up a 14-spot on the Rockies.

Marsh had a great K-rate in the minors, but got way too much of the plate, as evidenced by his 8-23 career record and 5.72 ERA. In a perfect world, that equates to about a 9.00 ERA in the bigs. I fully expect him to have butterflies and struggle Friday night in the land of BBQ ribs.

Bobby Miller started the season off red-hot, allowing only two earned runs in 23 innings. He’s gotten bombed in his last couple starts, but is up against a light hitting KC team who has only hit .200 as a team over the last six games. With a .269 on base average, it’ll be a tough for go for KC against a Dodgers team that has won six of their last eight games and seen Mookie Betts and JD Martinez come to life in the past couple days.

Laying -215 on the road is too hefty of a price to pay, even for the Dodgers, so I’ll be betting the runline at -1.5 -135. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at the web’s oldest and most trusted sportsbook! Simply register for an account at Everygame Sportsbook through this specical link. Then, make your deposit. Then go to their special offers page (before you place your first bet) and enter bonus code PREDICTEM. Your account balance will magically double! The ultimate bankroll booster!