Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Best Bet

by | Last updated Aug 9, 2023 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Wednesday, August 9th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: BSAZ
Money Line: Dodgers -133/Diamondbacks +112 (Awesome Live Betting!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Dodgers on Wednesday, August 9th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAD -133 -1.5 O 9 (-113)
ARI +112 +1.5 U 9 (-108)

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Mookie Betts 1 2B
Freddie Freeman 2 1B
Will Smith 3 C
Max Muncy 4 3B
J.D. Martinez 5 DH
David Peralta 6 LF
Jason Heyward 7 RF
James Outman 8 CF
Miguel Rojas 9 SS
Bobby Miller SP

 

Batting Order Position
Geraldo Perdomo 1 SS
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Corbin Carroll 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 DH
Jake McCarthy 6 RF
Emmanuel Rivera 7 3B
Alek Thomas 8 CF
Jose Herrera 9 C
Merrill Kelly SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 66-46 SU / OU 66-41 / Runline 60-52
Arizona Diamondbacks: 57-57 SU / OU 48-60 / Runline 62-52

The Dodgers take on the Diamondbacks in the middle of a three game winning streak and are leading the NL West on an overall record of 66-46. So far, they are 32-26 on the road and 34-20 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record stands at 22-12-1.

 

  • The Dodgers have covered the runline in 53.6% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.1
  • The Dodgers have been favored in 82.1% of their games and have runline records of 26-28 and 34-24 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 62% of the Dodgers’ 112 games at 66-41.

Heading into their game vs. the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks have a record of 57-57 and have dropped seven straight games. In the NL West, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 18-15-3. At home, they have gone 28-29 and 29-28 on the road.

 

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 54.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 44.7% of their games and have runline records of 29-28 and 33-24 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 48-60.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bobby Miller 12 12 63 6-2 4.26 1.23 6

 

The Dodgers will turn to starter Bobby Miller who has an overall record of 6-2. Through 12 appearances his ERA stands at 4.26 with a K/9 figure of 8.81. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.54 to go along with an OBP of .295.

In his last appearance against the Padres, Bobby Miller gave up two runs on six hits while pitching 3 2/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Miller helped the Dodgers secure a 10-5 victory.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Merrill Kelly 19 19 112 9-5 3.21 1.16 13

 

The Diamondbacks will turn to starter Merrill Kelly who has an overall record of 9-5. After 19 appearances, his ERA is 3.21 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.48. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.90 and an OBP of .283.

Merrill Kelly delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching six innings and allowing two runs. Despite his efforts, the Diamondbacks fell to the Twins by a score of 3-2.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

The Dodgers have played 112 games and currently hold the 2nd spot in the league with an average of 5.7 runs per game. With 181 home runs, Los Angeles is 2nd in the league. The team’s batting average, including .242 on the road and .250 at home, is .251.

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Freddie Freeman .342 13 .619 .442
Mookie Betts .261 14 .518 .375
J.D. Martinez .298 13 .619 .391
James Outman .249 9 .453 .348
Will Smith .278 4 .438 .364

 

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Mookie Betts .380 8 7 2 .720
Freddie Freeman .370 8 6 1 .560
James Outman .400 7 4 1 .650
Kiké Hernández .270 6 4 1 .550
David Peralta .317 5 5 0 .467

 

This season, Arizona is ranked 10th in the league in terms of runs scored, with an average of 4.7 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit a combined 126 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .254 ranks 9th in the league. On the road, their batting average ranks 14th compared to 9th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Corbin Carroll .276 .357 .519 59 21 36
Christian Walker .265 .340 .511 70 23 8
Ketel Marte .284 .359 .495 58 18 6

 

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .317 5 3 2 .867
Corbin Carroll .279 4 2 0 .342
Jake McCarthy .396 5 0 0 .396
Christian Walker .287 5 1 1 .438
Tommy Pham .146 2 0 0 .146

 

Free MLB Pick

The Arizona Diamondbacks have dropped seven games in a row and haven’t been scoring many runs over that span. With fifteen total runs scored, they’re basically putting up two runs per game. And there hasn’t been very much variance in that streak either. They’re just not scoring much right now. The lone bright spot for the D-Backs has been Merrill Kelly, who has been pretty solid this season and has good. This is likely why the line of Dodgers -132 is so low, because the Dodgers are red-hot right now, winners of seven of their last eight games.

At first glance, Merrill Kelly has pitched well enough to consider avoiding this game all-together. However, when you dig into the numbers, you’ll see that he’s skated on (thin) ice against Los Angeles in two appearances this season where he’s allowed a combined 8 walks in 9.1 innings. That’s kind of like using dental floss to swing from a tree. It might work for about a minute or two, but it’s going to bust at some point. I’m calling Kelly’s 1.93 ERA vs. L.A. this season an enigma and think the Dodgers get over on Zona tonight as AZ isn’t likely to score more than a few runs, while the Dodgers have scored 60 runs in their last 7 combined wins for an average of almost 9 runs per game. I’m predicting the Dodgers win score 6-7 runs and Arizona doesn’t exceed 3-4.

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