LA Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Predicitons for May 10th

by | Last updated May 10, 2024 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Friday, May 10th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: SNLA
Money Line: Dodgers -174/Padres +144 (Bovada Sportsbook – Home of the BEST live betting!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Dodgers on Friday, May 10th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAD -174 -1.5 O 8 (-105)
SD +144 +1.5 U 8 (-116)

At 9:40 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego and features a Dodgers club that is 26-13 this season. The Padres are currently 20-20.

Los Angeles is the favorite on the money line at -174, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Tyler Glasnow will go for the Dodgers, while the Padres are set to start Michael King.

Dodgers vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Mookie Betts 1 SS
Shohei Ohtani 2 DH
Freddie Freeman 3 1B
Will Smith 4 C
Max Muncy 5 3B
Teoscar Hernández 6 LF
James Outman 7 CF
Andy Pages 8 RF
Gavin Lux 9 2B
Tyler Glasnow SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Luis Arraez 1 DH
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 RF
Jake Cronenworth 3 1B
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 2B
Ha-Seong Kim 6 SS
Luis Campusano 7 C
Jurickson Profar 8 LF
Jackson Merrill 9 CF
Michael King SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Dodgers: 26-13 SU / OU 22-17 / Runline 21-18
San Diego Padres: 20-20 SU / OU 21-18 / Runline 22-18

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -267. Offensively, the Dodgers only scored their three runs on six hits and Teoscar Hernandez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers, going seven innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Los Angeles is on a seven-game winning streak, and they lead the NL West with a record of 26-13. The Dodgers hold a 6.5-game lead over the Padres heading into today’s game, and they are 7-4 in divisional matchups this year. Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Marlins with three straight wins.

At home, the Dodgers are 15-8 this year, and they have gone 11-5 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 17-6. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 25-12 this year, and they are 11-4 as the favorite on the road. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 8-5, and they have won five straight series.

When the Dodgers are favored, they have been a solid run line bet, going 20-17. They are 10-6 on the run line on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.1. They have covered the run line in four straight games.

The Dodgers have played 26 games with an over/under line of 8 runs or fewer this season, and the under has hit in 18 of those contests. Their average combined run total for the season is 9.1 runs per game, and the over/under record for their games this season is 22-17. The over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is set at 8 runs.

Padres Records & Recent Play

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 3-0 win. After allowing one run to the Cubs in the bottom of the first, the Padres responded with a run of their own. San Diego went on to add another two runs in the 5th inning.

Dylan Cease put together a good start for the Padres, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 12 Cubs batters. San Diego’s bullpen closed things out with Robert Suarez picking up the save.

San Diego is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 20-20, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West and have an overall division record of 10-9. The Padres closed out their series vs. the Cubs with two straight wins and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Padres are 8-12 this year, and they have been a solid 12-8 on the road. So far, they have been just above .500, with an even 13-11 record as the favorite and 7-9 as the underdog. As the Padres have struggled as the home underdog, posting an 0-4 mark this year. San Diego’s overall series record is 7-4-2, and they have won three straight series.

San Diego has been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-18 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 16-4 against the run line. They have a run line win streak as the underdog and have covered the run line in two straight games at home. The Padres’ average run margin in wins is +3.9, while it drops to -3.1 in losses.

The Padres have gone under in two straight games, but their over/under record for the season is 21-18. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 9.5 runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the Padres have gone 3-4-1 when the line is set at 8 runs this season. Forty-five percent of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, and 35 percent have had lines set below 8 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. This year, he has made eight starts and has a record of 6-1 with an ERA of 2.70. So far, Glasnow has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.70. At home, his ERA is 3.87, and he has a record of 4-1. In his last outing, Glasnow went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. He has won three straight starts.

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he went 6 innings and got the win. Looking back at his last four outings, King has given up at least one homer in each of those starts. His record for the season is 3-3, and he has an ERA of 4.29. Opponents are batting .229 off King this season. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 9.21 strikeouts per nine innings.

Dodgers vs. Padres Offense Outlook

Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 11 home runs are 2nd in the league and the best mark on the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting .355 for the season and has gone 10/21 with four homers over his last six games. Teoscar Hernandez is also coming off a strong stretch, going 7/21 with four homers in his last six games. Hernandez’s 29 RBIs are the best mark on the Dodgers, and his 10 homers are 3rd in the league.

As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They are also the league’s top-hitting team, with a combined batting average of .270. Not only are they the top-scoring team in the league, but they also lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 8th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. The Padres have been one of the best home run-hitting teams in the league and are also near the top of the league in batting average.

Over the team’s last eight games, both Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have gone 13/31, with Cronenworth also having two homers in this stretch. As a team, the Padres will be looking for their top home run hitter, Fernando Tatis Jr., to get going in terms of batting average, as he is hitting just .255 for the season.

Free Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Pick

Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at +144. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Padres, and with the payout, this is a great value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tyler Glasnow finishing with six strikeouts, and for Michael King, we have him ending the game with five K’s. The Dodgers are projected to finish with nine team strikeouts compared to the Padres with six.

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