LA Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Picks & Analysis for May 16th

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Thursday, May 16th, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: SNLA
Money Line: Reds +243/Dodgers -305
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Reds on Thursday, May 16th at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, the Reds and Dodgers square off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 10:10 PM ET. SNLA will be televising this one, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -305. The Reds are +243 underdogs, and their money line odds are the fifth NL Central.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast for Thursday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Tyler Glasnow will be starting for the Dodgers, while the Reds are sending Brent Suter to the mound.

Reds vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 18-25 SU / OU 20-21 / Runline 22-21
Los Angeles Dodgers: 29-16 SU / OU 24-21 / Runline 24-21

Reds Records & Recent Play

Cincinnati is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 2-1 loss to the Diamondbacks, Andrew Abbott was excellent on the mound, allowing just one run while pitching seven innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Santiago Espinal, going 1/3 with a homer.

The Reds really needed a good start from Abbott, as they had lost four in a row leading up to this game. However, they couldnjson’t close things out, and Fernando Cruz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds were also the +133 underdog going into this road game.

Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Dodgers, and they are 18-25 overall, which has them 5th in the NL Central. The Reds trail the Brewers by eight games in the division, and they are 1-2 in divisional games this year. The Reds lost two of three in their series vs. the Diamondbacks and have dropped six straight series.

So far, the Reds have been even at home, going 9-13, and they are 9-12 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 10-10 this year and 8-15 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-9-1.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 22-21 overall. They are especially good on the road, where they are 14-7 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 13-10 as an underdog. They have an average run margin of -0.1 on the season.

When the Reds play, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-21. The average over/under line for Reds games is 9 runs, but only 5 of their 41 games have had an over/under line of 8 runs. Their last two games have gone under the total.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

Led by a big game by Freddie Freeman at the plate, the Dodgers are coming off a 4-1 loss to the Giants to close out their series. Freeman went 2/4 with a run scored. The Dodgers really missed out on some good scoring chances, as they left seven runners on base. Los Angeles’s only run came in the 8th inning.

Elieser Hernandez started for the Dodgers, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.

Los Angeles is hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 29-16, good for 1st place in the NL West. The Dodgers hold a 7.5 game lead over the Padres for the division lead. So far, they are 10-7 in divisional matchups this year.

The Dodgers have been tough to beat at home, coming in with a record of 15-8. They have been equally as good on the road, going 14-8 this year. Los Angeles has been really good in night games, putting up a mark of 20-7 so far. As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 28-14 and 1-2 as the underdog. Currently, they are on a seven-game winning streak at home, and their overall series record is 10-6.

The Dodgers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 24-21 overall. They are 11-12 vs. the run line at home, where their scoring margin is 1.7 runs per game. Their overall scoring margin is 1.8 runs per game. They are 13-9 vs. the run line on the road, where their scoring margin is 1.9 runs per game. They have covered the run line in five straight games at home and are 23-19 vs. the run line as the favorite.

For the season, the Dodgers’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 24-21. The average over/under line for their games has been 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 2-2. Overall, 75.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and the O/U line for today’s game against the Reds is set at 8 runs.

Pitching Matchup

The Reds are starting left-hander Brent Suter today, and he has made 17 appearances this season. Suter has yet to pick up a win or a loss this year and has an ERA of 3.86. Opponents have hit .245 off Suter this year, and his WHIP is 1.21. Suter most recently pitched on May 14th, where he went one inning out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he gave up two hits and didn’t issue a walk. Suter has given up a homer in two of his last three outings. This season, he has allowed four homers.

Los Angeles is sending Tyler Glasnow to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-1 and an ERA of 2.53. So far, he has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .161 this season. In his nine starts, Glasnow has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 11.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has 73 strikeouts, which leads the league. The right-hander’s last outing came vs. the Padres, where he went seven innings, giving up one earned run and striking out 10. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.

Reds vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .258 with a team-leading nine home runs. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .194 over his last 10 games. Spencer Steer has also been struggling, with a season-long batting average of .242 and just a .194 average in his last 10 games. Steer does have four home runs, which is good for 10th in the league.

As a team, the Reds are batting just .218, which is 23rd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league.

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge part of the Dodgers’ offense so far this season, as he is batting .364 with 12 home runs and 30 RBIs. Ohtani is also coming off a stretch in which he has gone 9/27 (.333) in his last seven games. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 3rd in the league with 11 homers and is batting .243.

Los Angeles comes into the game as the top batting average team in the league and are also 2nd in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 5.3 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.7 runs per contest. The Dodgers have a few players who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Freddie Freeman is 9/28 in his last eight games, and Mookie Betts is 10/32 in this stretch. Betts also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

Free Reds vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

The best bet in this Reds vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, as we see the Dodgers coming out on top 5-4, and with the line sitting at eight runs, there is some nice value on the over at -114.

Looking at some potential player props, Tyler Glasnow is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among today’s starters.