LA Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers Recommended Wager

by | Last updated Apr 29, 2023 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Friday, April 28th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Angels +121/Brewers -142 (Did you know you can bet on baseball at cheaper odds? Yes! Pay less, win more! Find this killer offer at BetAnySports!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Angels on Friday, April 28th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+121 +1.5 O 9 (-115)
-142 -1.5 U 9 (-106)

Angels vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Taylor Ward 1 RF
Mike Trout 2 CF
Shohei Ohtani 3 DH
Anthony Rendon 4 3B
Hunter Renfroe 5 RF
Brandon Drury 6 3B
Luis Rengifo 7 2B
Zach Neto 8 SS
Chad Wallach 9 C
Tyler Anderson SP

 

Batting Order Position
Mike Brosseau 1 2B
Willy Adames 2 SS
Christian Yelich 3 LF
William Contreras 4 C
Luke Voit 5 1B
Brian Anderson 6 3B
Jesse Winker 7 LF
Joey Wiemer 8 RF
Brice Turang 9 SS
Wade Miley SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Angels: 14-12 SU / OU 13-13 / Runline 11-15
Milwaukee Brewers: 16-9 SU / OU 11-13 / Runline 14-11

On a record of 14-12, the Angels are 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they are 0.5 game out of the division lead. Against the Brewers, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 6-7 while going 8-5 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 4-3.

 

  • The Angels have covered the runline in 42.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.7
  • The Angels have been favored in 76.9% of their games and have runline records of 5-8 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 26 games, the over has hit in half of the Angels’ games at 13-13.

Heading into today’s action, the Brewers’ record of 16-9 has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are 1.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 9-4 and 7-5, respectively. Milwaukee’s overall series record sits at 5-2.

 

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 56.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.1
  • The Brewers have been favored in 56.0% of their games and have runline records of 5-7 and 9-4 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 11-13.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tyler Anderson 4 4 20 1-0 7.20 1.70 5

The Angels will turn to starter Tyler Anderson who has an overall record of 1-0. Through four appearances his ERA stands at 7.20 with a K/9 figure of 0.6. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.99 to go along with an OBP of .391.

Tyler Anderson finished with a no-decision in his last outing against the Royals. He allowed six runs on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings. The Angels went on to lose the game by a score of 11-8.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Wade Miley 4 4 23 3-1 1.96 .96 2

With an overall record of 3-1, the Brewers will give Wade Miley the start. His ERA stands at 1.96 with a K/9 figure of 0.7 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.64 and an OBP of .253.

The last time, Wade Miley took the mound, he gave up two runs on four hits to the Red Sox. Miley picked up the win, in the Brewers’ 5-4 victory.

Angels vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Up to this point in the season, the Angels have emerged as one of the premier home run-hitting teams in baseball, accumulating 35 home runs (5th). On the whole, Los Angeles averages 5.3 runs per game and boasts a cumulative batting average of .253. In home games, the Angels have a slugging percentage of .483, as opposed to .345 in away games.

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Mike Trout .375 1 .583 .425
Hunter Renfroe .429 2 .714 .510
Shohei Ohtani .280 2 .560 .382
Gio Urshela .389 0 .444 .367
Logan O’Hoppe .385 2 .846 .520

 

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brandon Drury .530 9 7 4 1.490
Shohei Ohtani .329 5 3 2 .792
Anthony Rendon .325 6 5 0 .438
Taylor Ward .233 4 4 1 .433
Mike Trout .323 7 4 1 .623

With a total of 32 home runs hit so far this season, the Brewers are among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (10th). This has translated to an average of 4.8 runs per game and a collective batting average of .247. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .340 compared to .463 at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Brian Anderson .276 .350 .494 20 5 0
Christian Yelich .229 .321 .354 11 3 5
Rowdy Tellez .231 .319 .564 19 8 0

 

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brian Anderson .350 6 3 2 .817
Rowdy Tellez .150 3 3 2 .500
Joey Wiemer .300 5 3 1 .567
Christian Yelich .167 3 4 0 .217
William Contreras .250 3 3 1 .583

 

Free MLB Pick

The Angels bats have been on fire putting 42 runs on the board in their six games. They’ll face wily veteran Wade Miley who has had an excellent start to the season going 3-1 in four starts with a sub 2.00 ERA. That said he hasn’t faced the Angels team since 2016, but he does have a decent sample size of metrics against the Angels’ current roster and it isn’t impressive. The LAA batters have a combined 55 at-bats against him with 17 hits including five doubles and two HRs.
The Angels are going with Tyler Anderson who was blown up in his last three for 17 runs (16 earned) and has only one decent start on the season and that came in his opener. Anderson does have really good numbers against this lineup holding them to a batting average of .171 in 35 at-bats. Additionally, the Brewers have been awful against left-handed pitching this season, hitting just .205 and scoring 2.83 R/9 compared to 5.40 versus right-handed pitching.
So, this is one of those games if you base your betting decision solely on the current form of the starters, you’re taking the Brewers. If you use the historical starters data versus today’s opponent and the teams’ current form, you take the Angels. The latter is where I’m going. Take the LA Angels +115. Bet your baseball predictions for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! Here’s how: Register for an account through this special link at Everygame Sportsbook (Oldest bookie on the web – Online since the 1990’s!). Deposit $100 to $500. Before placing your first bet, go to their “Special Offers” page. Enter bonus code PREDICTEM. Your balance will then be instantly credited with the bonus!

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