LA Angels vs. Houston Astros Free Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Jun 8, 2023 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
Date: Thursday, June 1st, 8:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: FS1
Money Line: Angels +176/Astros -209
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Houston Astros and the Angels on Thursday, June 1st at Minute Maid Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
LAA +176 +1.5 O 8.5 (-114)
HOU -209 -1.5 U 8.5 (-107)

Angels vs. Astros Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Taylor Ward 1 RF
Mike Trout 2 CF
Shohei Ohtani 3 DH
Hunter Renfroe 4 RF
Brandon Drury 5 3B
Gio Urshela 6 3B
Luis Rengifo 7 2B
Chad Wallach 8 C
Zach Neto 9 SS
Reid Detmers SP


Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
José Abreu 4 1B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
Jeremy Peña 6 SS
Corey Julks 7 LF
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Framber Valdez SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Los Angeles Angels: 30-27 SU / OU 29-27 / Runline 28-29
Houston Astros: 32-23 SU / OU 27-27 / Runline 28-27

With an overall record of 30-27, the Angels are in 3rd place in the AL West, trailing by six games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Angels have a mark of 15-14 while going 15-13 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 8-8-1.

  • The Angels have covered the runline in 49.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
  • The Angels have been favored in 57.9% of their games and have runline records of 11-17 and 17-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Angels’ 57 games at 29-27.

The Astros head into today’s game vs. the Angels with an overall record of 32-23. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are three games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 17-10 and 15-13, respectively. Houston’s overall series record sits at 9-7-1.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 50.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.9
  • The Astros have been favored in 72.7% of their games and have runline records of 12-16 and 16-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 55 games, the over has hit in half of the Astros’ games at 27-27.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Reid Detmers 9 9 45 0-4 4.93 1.53 5


Reid Detmers heads into the game with an overall record of 0-4 and an ERA of 4.93. In his four appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 4.65 and record of 0-2. At home, he has put together a mark of 0-2 and ERA of 5.46. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.53, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .279. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .404.

Detmers is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs and 10 hits in five innings of action. Los Angeles lost the game by a score of 6-2 to the Marlins.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Framber Valdez 11 11 72 5-4 2.38 1.04 6


Framber Valdez is scheduled to get the start for Houston and will take the mound having pitched at least six innings in two consecutive games. For the season, he has an ERA of 2.38 and 5-4 record of. With a total of 77 strikeouts, Valdez enters with a WHIP of 1.04 and WOBA allowed of .276. In terms of walks, he has issued 15 free passes.

The Astros picked up a win the last time Framber Valdez took the mound, taking down the Athletics by a score of 6-3. In six innings of work, he allowed four hits and one earned run while adding a W to his record.

Angels vs. Astros Offense Outlook

The Angels come into the game ranked 7th in the league on an average of 4.9 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Los Angeles is 5th, having hit the ball out of the park 78 times. Their overall batting average stands at .258. On the road, they are hitting .253 while .252 at home.

Los Angeles Angels Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Shohei Ohtani .269 .345 .538 38 15 7
Mike Trout .278 .369 .522 31 13 0
Hunter Renfroe .248 .301 .443 29 10 0


Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Shohei Ohtani .233 4 5 3 .783
Gio Urshela .253 5 2 1 .613
Matt Thaiss .237 5 3 1 .357
Brandon Drury .200 4 3 1 .450
Taylor Ward .200 4 3 2 .550


The Astros have played 55 games this season and currently hold a 15th position in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 58 times, putting Houston 16th in the league. Their batting average stands at .243, including .247 on the road and .233 at home.

Houston Astros Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Astros 55 4.5 (15th) 58 (16th) .243 (16th) .315 (18th) .315 (18th)


Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jeremy Peña .383 6 4 2 .833
Jose Altuve .312 6 5 2 .700
Alex Bregman .440 9 2 1 .640
Yordan Alvarez .130 3 5 2 .370
Chas McCormick .167 2 2 2 .666


Free MLB Pick

Astros starter Framber Valdez has pitched good lately. He’s allowed two earned runs or less in four out of his last five starts, including one where he went eight innings vs. these very same Angels and only allowed one earned run on 3 hits.

The Astros are heating up with a 4-2 record over their last six games. They also have the benefit of having slept in their own beds for the last 4+ nights, while the Halos had to travel yesterday from Chicago.

The Angels have played decent ball this season, but they’re just 2-4 in their last six games.

This preview and pick was made assuming Reid Detmers would start for L.A. and Framber Valdez for Houston. If either doesn’t go, I recommend that you pass on the pick. (I say this because there are no odds posted yet as of 5AM ET).

Angels starter Reid Detmers is average at best. He’s 0-4 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this season. More importantly, he hasn’t pitched well lately. He’s allowed a 5.03 ERA and a hefty 1.73 WHIP over his last four starts. Those are numbers that will get you sent down to AAA. Even more importantly, he gave up those numbers to bad teams.

I’m betting the Houston Astros!