Jays vs. Astros Betting Predictions & Bet 4/17/23

by | Last updated Apr 17, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Date: Monday, April 17th, 8:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: SNSW
Money Line: Tor -123/Hou +104 (Did you know odds are cheaper at BAS Sportsbook?)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Houston Astros and the Blue Jays on Monday, April 17th at Minute Maid Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
-123 -1.5 O 8 (-118)
+104 +1.5 U 8 (-102)

Blue Jays vs. Astros Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Daulton Varsho 4 RF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Brandon Belt 6 1B
Alejandro Kirk 7 C
Cavan Biggio 8 2B
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Kevin Gausman SP


Batting Order Position
Chas McCormick 1 CF
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
José Abreu 4 1B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
Jeremy Peña 6 SS
Corey Julks 7 LF
Mauricio Dubón 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Cristian Javier RP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 10-6 SU / OU 8-7 / Runline 8-8


Houston Astros: 7-9 SU / OU 11-5 / Runline 8-8The Blue Jays head into today’s game vs. the Astros with an overall record of 10-6. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 6-4 and 4-2, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 3-1.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.0
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 62.5% of their games and have runline records of 3-3 and 5-5 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Blue Jays’ 16 games at 8-7.

Heading into today’s action, the Astros’ record of 7-9 has them sitting 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 3-3 and 4-6, respectively. Houston’s overall series record sits at 1-2.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Astros have been favored in 87.5% of their games and have runline records of 4-6 and 4-2 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 69% of the Astros’ 16 games at 11-5.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kevin Gausman 3 3 20 1-1 1.35 1.00 2

 

The Blue Jays will turn to starter Kevin Gausman who has an overall record of 1-1. After three appearances, his ERA is 1.35 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.2. ALso, he has compiled a FIP of 2.61 and an OBP of .253.

During Kevin Gausman’s last outing, he finished with a quality start, allowing three runs on five hits over eight innings. Although he did not factor into the decision, the team was able to secure a 4-3 victory over the Tigers.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristian Javier 3 3 17 1-0 4.24 1.18 2

 

Starter Cristian Javier comes in with an overall record of 1-0 for the Astros. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 4.24 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.77 and an OBP of .296.

Cristian Javier most recently took the mound against the Pirates, giving up four runs on five hits in six innings of work. In the game, the Astros lost by final score of 7-4.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 16 games so far and are ranked 7th in the league with an average of 5.0 runs per game. Their home runs rank is 16th (16) and their overall batting average stands at .277. This includes a BA of .281 on the road and .256 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Matt Chapman .475 2 .800 .559
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .439 2 .610 .484
Bo Bichette .362 3 .596 .429
Kevin Kiermaier .400 0 .533 .405
Daulton Varsho .306 1 .472 .371

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
George Springer .180 4 2 1 .330
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .373 6 3 0 .373
Bo Bichette .400 9 1 0 .480
Whit Merrifield .267 5 1 0 .367
Alejandro Kirk .250 3 2 0 .250

 

Offensively, the Astros, come into the game ranked 8th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. In the home run category, Houston is ranked 16th, with 16 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .248. This mark includes hitting .262 on the road and .235 at home.

Houston Astros Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
José Abreu .295 0 .318 .292
Mauricio Dubón .333 0 .389 .329
Kyle Tucker .333 3 .636 .464
Alex Bregman .238 2 .405 .365
Jeremy Peña .184 0 .265 .225

 

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alex Bregman .247 5 3 2 .607
Kyle Tucker .350 5 1 1 .550
Jeremy Peña .267 5 2 0 .383
Yordan Alvarez .150 3 2 1 .350
Mauricio Dubón .317 7 4 0 .357

 

Free MLB Pick

Toronto sends out Kevin Gausman who excluding a couple of long balls in his last outing has been excellent allowing three earned runs over 22 innings pitched striking out 25. He has strong numbers against the Astros allowing just eight hits in 41 ABS (.195 BA).
Cristian Javier gets the honors for Houston and he looked vulnerable in his last start getting tagged with four earned runs over five frames. Additionally, the Jays have had some success against Javier hitting .293 with 1.172 OPS in 31 at-bats.
I think the offenses are about even but the Jays’ bullpen is better than the Astros and Gausman has been the superior starter this season. making the Jays minus the small number the play. Take Toronto -115. Bet your MLB predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 by making the switch to a better bookie! —> Bovada Sportsbook! They have the best live betting platform that BLOWS AWAY the rest! You also get rebates on every bet!

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