Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays Total Pick

by | Last updated Jun 8, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Monday, June 5th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
TV: SNET
Money Line: Astros +110/Blue Jays -130
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Astros on Monday, June 5th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU +110 +1.5 O 10 (-112)
TOR -130 -1.5 U 10 (-109)

Astros vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Jeremy Peña 2 SS
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
Alex Bregman 4 3B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
José Abreu 6 1B
Chas McCormick 7 CF
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Brandon Bielak SP


Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Brandon Belt 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Daulton Varsho 7 RF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Alek Manoah SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 35-24 SU / OU 29-29 / Runline 31-28
Toronto Blue Jays: 33-27 SU / OU 28-30 / Runline 29-31

The Astros head into today’s game vs. the Blue Jays with an overall record of 35-24. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are 3.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 17-10 and 18-14, respectively. Houston’s overall series record sits at 9-8-1.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 52.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.0
  • The Astros have been favored in 74.6% of their games and have runline records of 15-17 and 16-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 59 games, the over has hit in half of the Astros’ games at 29-29.

On a record of 33-27, the Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 8.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Astros, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 18-17 while going 15-10 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 11-7.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 48.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 68.3% of their games and have runline records of 11-14 and 18-17 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 28-30.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Brandon Bielak 6 5 31 2-2 3.19 1.45 6

Brandon Bielak has an overall record of 2-2, and will get the start for the Astros. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.19, while his K/9 figure is 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.16 and an OBP of .338.

Brandon Bielak’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing one run allowed on three hits to the Twins. For the game, Bielak picked up the win as the Astros won by a score of 5-1.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alek Manoah 12 12 57 1-6 5.46 1.77 10

The Blue Jays will turn to starter Alek Manoah who has an overall record of 1-6. Through 12 appearances his ERA stands at 5.46 with a K/9 figure of 0.8. So far, he has put together of FIP of 6.27 to go along with an OBP of .382.

Alek Manoah took the loss after allowing two runs on three hits in his previous outing against the Brewers. In the game, the Blue Jays fell 4-2.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.5 runs per game, Houston is 12th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 63 home runs, putting them 14th in the league. Their current batting average of .246 is 14th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 10th, compared to 18th when playing at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Yordan Alvarez .274 .389 .568 51 15 0
Alex Bregman .256 .358 .404 36 8 1
Kyle Tucker .276 .349 .443 34 7 8

 

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alex Bregman .533 7 1 1 1.133
Yainer Diaz .444 4 3 2 1.278
Yordan Alvarez .150 3 3 1 .300
Chas McCormick .287 5 2 1 .487
Jeremy Peña .350 6 5 0 .400

As of now, the Blue Jays are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 68 home runs (10th). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 4.7 runs per game with a collective batting average of .265. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .425 compared to .396 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .316 9 .488 .363
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .273 8 .465 .349
George Springer .261 6 .397 .310
Whit Merrifield .294 1 .366 .320
Matt Chapman .240 6 .430 .331

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt Chapman .233 4 4 1 .600
Daulton Varsho .283 5 3 1 .483
Whit Merrifield .417 7 2 0 .483
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .267 5 2 1 .467
Brandon Belt .289 3 2 1 .711

 

Free MLB Pick

The Astros are ranked just 15th in runs scored per game, with an average of 4.57 RPG, but have been killing it lately, scoring five or more in eight of their last ten games. They’ll face the Jays’ starter Alek Manoah who has been really struggling this season with a 5.46 ERA and crazy high 1.77 WHIP. Toronto didn’t light it up against the Mets, but I’m not so sure that Houston starter Brandon Bielak is as solid as he appears, with a WHIP of 1.45. Take the Over 10 -105. Note: Sometimes, it’s best to watch a couple of innings and see how each pitcher is doing before placing your bet. The best place to partake in this type of baseball wagering is Bovada! They have the absolute best live wagering platform on the planet!

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