Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays O/U Bet

by | Last updated Apr 25, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Tuesday, April 25th, 6:40 ET
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: BSSUN
Money Line: Astros +146/Rays -172 (Why overpay for odds? Favorites cost less and underdogs pay more at BetAnySports! Be smart! Make the switch TODAY!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Astros on Tuesday, April 25th at Tropicana Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+146 +1.5 O 8 (-106.0)
-172 -1.5 U 8 (-114.0)

Astros vs. Rays Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Mauricio Dubón 1 CF
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
José Abreu 4 1B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
Jeremy Peña 6 SS
Corey Julks 7 LF
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Luis Garcia SP

Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Brandon Lowe 2 2B
Randy Arozarena 3 LF
Wander Franco 4 SS
Luke Raley 5 RF
Isaac Paredes 6 3B
Josh Lowe 7 CF
Manuel Margot 8 RF
Christian Bethancourt 9 C
Drew Rasmussen SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 12-11 SU / OU 15-7 / Runline 13-10

Tampa Bay Rays: 20-3 SU / OU 13-7 / Runline 17-6The Astros head into today’s game vs. the Rays with an overall record of 12-11. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 6-4 and 6-7, respectively. Houston’s overall series record sits at 3-3.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 56.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.0
  • The Astros have been favored in 65.2% of their games and have runline records of 6-7 and 7-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 68% of the Astros’ 23 games at 15-7.

The Rays take on the Astros in the middle of a six game winning streak and are leading the AL East on an overall record of 20-3. So far, they are 6-3 on the road and 14-0 at home. Tampa Bay’s overall series record stands at 6-1.

  • The Rays have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 4.0.
  • The Rays have been favored in 95.7% of their games and have runline records of 11-3 and 6-3 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 65% of the Rays’ 23 games at 13-7.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Luis Garcia 4 4 21 1-2 5.14 1.38 3

With an overall record of 1-2, the Astros will give Luis Garcia the start. His ERA stands at 5.14 with a K/9 figure of 1.1 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.17 and an OBP of .333.

Luis Garcia earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 8-1 win over the Blue Jays. He allowed zero runs and two hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Drew Rasmussen 4 4 22 3-1 2.02 .94 1

Drew Rasmussen has an overall record of 3-1, and will get the start for the Rays. With four appearances, his ERA currently stands at 2.02, while his K/9 figure is 1.2. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.51 and an OBP of .247.

The last time, Drew Rasmussen took the mound, he gave up zero runs on three hits to the Reds. Rasmussen picked up the win, in the Rays’ 8-0 victory.

Astros vs. Rays Offense Outlook

With an average of 5.0 runs per game, Houston is ranked 7th in the league. In terms of power numbers, the Astros have gone deep 24 times so far, placing them in the middle of the pack for home runs (20th). Their current batting average of .252 ranks 9th in the league. While their home batting average is 17th, they rank 4th on the road.

Houston Astros Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Astros 23 5.0 (7th) 24 (20th) .252 (9th) .329 (10th) .329 (10th)

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jeremy Peña .267 5 4 2 .617
Alex Bregman .367 7 3 1 .617
Yordan Alvarez .163 3 3 2 .500
Mauricio Dubón .310 7 6 0 .450
Kyle Tucker .273 5 3 1 .393

With a total of 48 home runs hit so far this season, the Rays are among the top home run hitting teams in baseball (1st). This has translated to an average of 6.8 runs per game and a collective batting average of .287. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .503 compared to .548 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Randy Arozarena .320 1 .440 .371
Josh Lowe .385 4 .795 .518
Brandon Lowe .289 5 .644 .445
Yandy Díaz .317 4 .659 .475
Wander Franco .265 3 .551 .365

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Randy Arozarena .440 9 5 1 .760
Harold Ramírez .350 6 4 2 .867
Yandy Díaz .460 10 4 1 .660
Wander Franco .277 6 2 0 .423
Josh Lowe .237 4 3 0 .300

Free MLB Pick

Both teams have been a profitable Over bet this season with Houston 15-7-1 versus the O/U line and Tampa Bay 13-7-3, but I think it goes the other way here. Astros’ starter Luis Garcia is coming off his best outing of the season, pitching seven scoreless innings against the Jays (7 IP, 2 H, 9 SO, and 1 BB). He had two starts versus the Rays last season and pitched very well, allowing just one run on five hits over 11 innings pitched. His career numbers against the lineup are also strong, holding them to a combined .220 batting average in 41 at-bats.
Drew Rasmussen has pitched extremely well in three of his four starts this season allowing zero runs over 18 frames. He like Garcia has good back numbers against today’s opponent allowing seven hits over 35 at bats for .200 batting average and walking just one for an outstanding .222 OBP.
Teams change, so this is not the strongest trend, but in the last ten meetings, the game has gone over the closing line just two times. Take the Under 8. Bet your MLB picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $500 by using bonus code PREDICTEM at Everygame Sportsbook! How to receive the bonus: After depositing, go to their “Special Offers” page. Enter bonus code PREDICTEM before placing your first bet and the bonus dollars will show up in your betting account instantly!

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