Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free ML Pick

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Monday, September 25th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Astros +103/Mariners -123
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Astros on Monday, September 25th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Astros vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Jose Altuve	1	2B
Jeremy Peña	2	SS
Yordan Alvarez	3	DH
Alex Bregman	4	3B
Kyle Tucker	5	RF
José Abreu	6	1B
Michael Brantley	7	LF
Chas McCormick	8	CF
Martín Maldonado	9	C
Justin Verlander	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
J.P. Crawford	1	SS
Julio Rodríguez	2	CF
Cal Raleigh	3	C
Teoscar Hernández	4	RF
Eugenio Suárez	5	3B
Jarred Kelenic	6	LF
Ty France	7	1B
Mike Ford	8	DH
Josh Rojas	9	2B
Luis Castillo	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 85-71 SU / OU 82-70 / Runline 77-79
Seattle Mariners: 84-71 SU / OU 79-73 / Runline 75-80

Heading into their game vs. the Mariners, the Astros have a record of 85-71 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 26-18-4. At home, they have gone 39-42 and 46-29 on the road.

• The Astros have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
• The Astros have been favored in 73.7% of their games and have runline records of 33-48 and 44-31 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Astros’ 156 games at 82-70.

Heading into their game vs. the Astros, the Mariners have a record of 84-71 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL West, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 25-21-2. At home, they have gone 41-33 and 43-38 on the road.

• The Mariners have covered the runline in 48.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
• The Mariners have been favored in 68.4% of their games and have runline records of 30-44 and 45-36 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 52% of the Mariners’ 155 games at 79-73.

Pitching Matchup




The Astros will turn to starter Justin Verlander who has an overall record of 11-8. Through 25 appearances his ERA stands at 3.44 with a K/9 figure of 7.9. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.00 to go along with an OBP of .284.

Verlander is coming off an outing in which he took a no-decision after tossing six and earning a quality start. The Astros ended up losing the game 8-7 to the Orioles. Individually, Verlander allowed eight hits leading to three earned runs.




Luis Castillo is scheduled to get the start for Seattle and will take the mound having pitched at least six innings in three consecutive games. For the season, he has an ERA of 3.06 and 14-7 record of. With a total of 207 strikeouts Castillo enters with a WHIP of 1.05 and WOBA allowed of .277. In terms of walks, he has issued 50 free passes.

Luis Castillo finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Mariners took down the Athletics by final score of 7-2. Castillo gave up two runs and five hits across seven innings.

Astros vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

On offense, Houston is 5th in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 6th, having hit 215 homers. Their overall batting average is .258, including .257 on the road and .245 at home.

Houston Astros Team Hitting Stats




Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games




This season, Seattle is ranked 12th in the league for runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have hit a combined total of 203 home runs, which puts them 11th in the MLB. Their current batting average of .244 is 16th in the league. On the road, their batting average sits 11th, compared to 25th at home.

Seattle Mariners Team Hitting Stats




Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Mariners have owned the Astros, winners of four consecutive and 8 of the L9. They have the better starter based on current and historical form versus the opponent’s roster. Houston is North Pole type cold losing 5 of 6 which included being swept at home by the Royals! Bet the Seattle Mariners -120