Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Best Bet 8/5/23

by | Last updated Aug 5, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
Date: Saturday, August 5th, 1:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Astros -137/Yankees +115
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Astros on Saturday, August 5th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU -137 -1.5 O 8.5 (-102)
NYY +115 +1.5 U 8.5 (-119)

Astros vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Jeremy Peña 2 SS
Kyle Tucker 3 RF
Alex Bregman 4 3B
Yordan Alvarez 5 DH
José Abreu 6 1B
Chas McCormick 7 CF
Corey Julks 8 LF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Justin Verlander SP


Batting Order Position
Jake Bauers 1 1B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Gleyber Torres 3 2B
Giancarlo Stanton 4 DH
DJ LeMahieu 5 3B
Billy McKinney 6 LF
Harrison Bader 7 CF
Anthony Volpe 8 SS
Kyle Higashioka 9 C
Nestor Cortes SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 63-48 SU / OU 54-55 / Runline 57-54
New York Yankees: 57-53 SU / OU 49-56 / Runline 56-54

With an overall record of 63-48, the Astros are in 2nd place in the AL West, trailing by 1.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Astros have a mark of 32-23 while going 31-25 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 19-14-2.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 51.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
  • The Astros have been favored in 70.3% of their games and have runline records of 25-31 and 32-23 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 111 games, the over has hit in half of the Astros’ games at 54-55.

Heading into today’s action, the Yankees’ record of 57-53 has them sitting 5th in the AL East. Currently, they are 11 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 23-26 and 34-27, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 16-14-6.

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in 50.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.0
  • The Yankees have been favored in 63.6% of their games and have runline records of 29-32 and 27-22 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 49-56.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Justin Verlander 16 16 94 6-5 3.15 1.15 9


Entering with a record of 6-5, Justin Verlander is making his 17th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 3.15 on a batting average allowed of .214. On the road, he is 2-2 with a 5.12 ERA and 4-3 at home on an ERA of 2.57. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .337 against him.

Justin Verlander’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing one run allowed on five hits to the Nationals. For the game, Verlander picked up the win as the Astros won by a score of 5-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Nestor Cortes 11 11 59 5-2 5.16 1.30 10


Nestor Cortes has an overall record of 5-2, and will get the start for the Yankees. With 11 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.16, while his K/9 figure is 8.95. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.59 and an OBP of .315.

In Nestor Cortes’ previous game, he allowed two runs and five hits against the Mariners. Cortes added a win to his resume as the Yankees won by a score of 10-2.

Astros vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

The Astros have hit 141 home runs this season, making them one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball (10th). In addition to their impressive home run stats, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .250. At home, their slugging percentage is .396, compared to .415 on the road.

Houston Astros Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Kyle Tucker .351 8 .611 .433
Jeremy Peña .305 3 .448 .346
José Abreu .235 3 .370 .290
Mauricio Dubón .329 1 .439 .348
Yordan Alvarez .325 5 .623 .417


Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Kyle Tucker .317 6 3 1 .583
Yordan Alvarez .416 6 3 2 .916
Chas McCormick .229 3 3 2 .729
Jose Altuve .270 5 4 0 .310
Yainer Diaz .340 6 2 1 .527


With 111 games under their belt, the Yankees are ranked 20th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. New York has gone deep 153 times, ranking them 7th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .230, .224 on the road, and .225 at home.

New York Yankees Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Gleyber Torres .263 .325 .428 45 16 9
Anthony Volpe .213 .288 .380 39 14 20
Anthony Rizzo .244 .328 .378 41 12 0


New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Giancarlo Stanton .217 4 3 3 .717
Gleyber Torres .383 7 3 0 .483
Anthony Volpe .317 5 1 1 .467
Jake Bauers .233 4 2 2 .650
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .173 3 3 1 .293


Free MLB Pick

The Houston Astros and New York Yankees meetup Saturday afternoon in the Bronx for game 3 of a 4 game series. It’ll be Jason Verlander on the mound for the ‘Stros and Nestor Cortes for the Yanks. Get our Hou/NYY pick here!

Pick: Jason Verlander has a filthy 1.60 ERA over his last 83 innings in day games. He’s also only given up two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts. He’ll be opposed by Nestor Cortes, who is fresh off the disabled list with shoulder issues.

The Astros are getting hot and have won four of their last five games. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 2-4 over their last six contests. The Astros look like a safe bet today!

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