Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Game 3 Pick & Predictions

by | Last updated Oct 10, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Tuesday, October 10th, 4:07 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: FOX
Money Line: Astros +113/Twins -136
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Astros on Tuesday, October 10th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU +113 +1.5 O 8 (-112)
MIN -136 -1.5 U 8 (-109)

Astros vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 DH
Kyle Tucker 4 RF
José Abreu 5 1B
Chas McCormick 6 CF
Michael Brantley 7 LF
Jeremy Peña 8 SS
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Cristian Javier SP


Batting Order Position
Edouard Julien 1 2B
Jorge Polanco 2 3B
Royce Lewis 3 DH
Max Kepler 4 RF
Alex Kirilloff 5 1B
Carlos Correa 6 SS
Ryan Jeffers 7 C
Matt Wallner 8 LF
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 90-72 SU / OU 86-73 / Runline 82-82
Minnesota Twins: 87-75 SU / OU 83-76 / Runline 85-81

On a record of 90-72, the Astros are tied for first place in the AL West. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 51-30 while going 39-42 at home. Houston’s overall series record is 28-19-4.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
  • The Astros have been favored in 73.2% of their games and have runline records of 34-49 and 48-33 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Astros’ 162 games at 86-73.

The Twins head into today’s game in first place in the AL Central on a record of 87-75. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 7-3. At home, Minnesota is 47-34 and 40-41 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 28-19-5.

  • The Twins have covered the runline in 51.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
  • The Twins have been favored in 68.7% of their games and have runline records of 40-43 and 45-38 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Twins’ 162 games at 83-76.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristian Javier 31 31 162 10-5 4.56 1.26 25


With an overall record of 10-5, Cristian Javier gets the start for Houston. His ERA stands at 4.56 with a K/9 figure of 8.83 after making 31 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.58 and an OBP of .296.

Cristian Javier finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Astros took down the Diamondbacks by final score of 8-1. Javier gave up zero runs and three hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 33 32 184 8-8 2.79 1.15 8


Sonny Gray has an overall record of 8-8, and will get the start for the Twins. With 33 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 2.79, while his K/9 figure is 8.95. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.83 and an OBP of .281.

The last time, Sonny Gray took the mound, he gave up zero runs on five hits to the Blue Jays. Gray picked up the win, in the Twins’ 2-0 victory.

Astros vs. Twins Offense Outlook

After 164 games played, the Astros are 5th in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 6th, on a total of 222 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .258 on the road and .245 at home, is .259.

Houston Astros Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Alex Bregman .283 18 .470 .372
Kyle Tucker .275 17 .490 .362
Jeremy Peña .240 7 .350 .291
Mauricio Dubón .265 7 .389 .294
José Abreu .239 10 .359 .289


Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Yordan Alvarez .459 3 4 3 1.833
Jose Altuve .375 3 1 1 .750
Alex Bregman .167 1 3 0 .167
Michael Brantley .291 2 0 0 .291
Jeremy Peña .375 3 0 0 .500


The Twins are making their mark in the power department with a total of 233 home runs (3rd). They are currently averaging 4.8 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .243. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .397 compared to .437 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Max Kepler .263 20 .497 .354
Carlos Correa .225 13 .390 .302
Edouard Julien .274 16 .497 .388
Donovan Solano .280 3 .386 .343
Alex Kirilloff .302 9 .487 .370


Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Royce Lewis .279 4 5 3 .929
Carlos Correa .542 8 0 0 .729
Jorge Polanco .267 4 2 1 .417
Edouard Julien .375 3 1 0 .438
Kyle Farmer .083 1 1 1 .333


Free MLB Pick

As this series shifts to Minneapolis, the Twins are the slight favorite to come out on top in game three. However, I see this as a good opportunity to get some good odds on the Astros. I’m taking Houston on the moneyline.

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