Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Game 3 Pick & Predictions
Date: Tuesday, October 10th, 4:07 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: FOX
Money Line: Astros +113/Twins -136
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Astros on Tuesday, October 10th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
HOU | +113 | +1.5 | O 8 (-112) |
MIN | -136 | -1.5 | U 8 (-109) |
Astros vs. Twins Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Jose Altuve | 1 | 2B |
Alex Bregman | 2 | 3B |
Yordan Alvarez | 3 | DH |
Kyle Tucker | 4 | RF |
José Abreu | 5 | 1B |
Chas McCormick | 6 | CF |
Michael Brantley | 7 | LF |
Jeremy Peña | 8 | SS |
Martín Maldonado | 9 | C |
Cristian Javier | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Edouard Julien | 1 | 2B |
Jorge Polanco | 2 | 3B |
Royce Lewis | 3 | DH |
Max Kepler | 4 | RF |
Alex Kirilloff | 5 | 1B |
Carlos Correa | 6 | SS |
Ryan Jeffers | 7 | C |
Matt Wallner | 8 | LF |
Michael A. Taylor | 9 | CF |
Sonny Gray | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Houston Astros: 90-72 SU / OU 86-73 / Runline 82-82
Minnesota Twins: 87-75 SU / OU 83-76 / Runline 85-81
On a record of 90-72, the Astros are tied for first place in the AL West. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 5th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 51-30 while going 39-42 at home. Houston’s overall series record is 28-19-4.
- The Astros have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
- The Astros have been favored in 73.2% of their games and have runline records of 34-49 and 48-33 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 54% of the Astros’ 162 games at 86-73.
The Twins head into today’s game in first place in the AL Central on a record of 87-75. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 7-3. At home, Minnesota is 47-34 and 40-41 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 28-19-5.
- The Twins have covered the runline in 51.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
- The Twins have been favored in 68.7% of their games and have runline records of 40-43 and 45-38 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 52% of the Twins’ 162 games at 83-76.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cristian Javier | 31 | 31 | 162 | 10-5 | 4.56 | 1.26 | 25 |
With an overall record of 10-5, Cristian Javier gets the start for Houston. His ERA stands at 4.56 with a K/9 figure of 8.83 after making 31 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.58 and an OBP of .296.
Cristian Javier finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Astros took down the Diamondbacks by final score of 8-1. Javier gave up zero runs and three hits across six innings.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sonny Gray | 33 | 32 | 184 | 8-8 | 2.79 | 1.15 | 8 |
Sonny Gray has an overall record of 8-8, and will get the start for the Twins. With 33 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 2.79, while his K/9 figure is 8.95. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.83 and an OBP of .281.
The last time, Sonny Gray took the mound, he gave up zero runs on five hits to the Blue Jays. Gray picked up the win, in the Twins’ 2-0 victory.
Astros vs. Twins Offense Outlook
After 164 games played, the Astros are 5th in the league with an average of 5.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 6th, on a total of 222 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .258 on the road and .245 at home, is .259.
Houston Astros Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Bregman | .283 | 18 | .470 | .372 |
Kyle Tucker | .275 | 17 | .490 | .362 |
Jeremy Peña | .240 | 7 | .350 | .291 |
Mauricio Dubón | .265 | 7 | .389 | .294 |
José Abreu | .239 | 10 | .359 | .289 |
Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez | .459 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1.833 |
Jose Altuve | .375 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .750 |
Alex Bregman | .167 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .167 |
Michael Brantley | .291 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .291 |
Jeremy Peña | .375 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .500 |
The Twins are making their mark in the power department with a total of 233 home runs (3rd). They are currently averaging 4.8 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .243. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .397 compared to .437 at home.
Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Righties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Max Kepler | .263 | 20 | .497 | .354 |
Carlos Correa | .225 | 13 | .390 | .302 |
Edouard Julien | .274 | 16 | .497 | .388 |
Donovan Solano | .280 | 3 | .386 | .343 |
Alex Kirilloff | .302 | 9 | .487 | .370 |
Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Royce Lewis | .279 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .929 |
Carlos Correa | .542 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .729 |
Jorge Polanco | .267 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .417 |
Edouard Julien | .375 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .438 |
Kyle Farmer | .083 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .333 |
Free MLB Pick
As this series shifts to Minneapolis, the Twins are the slight favorite to come out on top in game three. However, I see this as a good opportunity to get some good odds on the Astros. I’m taking Houston on the moneyline.
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