Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers Expert Pick for 5/22/23

by | Last updated May 22, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Monday, May 22nd, 7:40 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSWI
Money Line: Astros -111/Brewers -107 (Get a 125% bonus at GTBETS w/code PREDICTEM)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Astros on Monday, May 22nd at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU -111 -1.5 O 8 (-106)
MIL -107 +1.5 U 8 (-114)

Astros vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Alex Bregman 2 3B
Yordan Alvarez 3 LF
Kyle Tucker 4 RF
José Abreu 5 1B
Jeremy Peña 6 SS
Corey Julks 7 LF
Jake Meyers 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Cristian Javier RP


Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
Jesse Winker 2 DH
Willy Adames 3 SS
Rowdy Tellez 4 1B
William Contreras 5 C
Brian Anderson 6 3B
Brice Turang 7 SS
Tyrone Taylor 8 RF
Joey Wiemer 9 RF
Corbin Burnes SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 27-19 SU / OU 22-23 / Runline 23-23


Milwaukee Brewers: 25-21 SU / OU 21-24 / Runline 22-24On a record of 27-19, the Astros are 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are two games out of the division lead. Against the Brewers, they will be seeking their 8th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 13-8 while going 14-11 at home. Houston’s overall series record is 7-6.

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 50.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
  • The Astros have been favored in 69.6% of their games and have runline records of 11-14 and 12-9 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Astros have an over/under record of just 22-23.

Currently, the Brewers are first in the NL Central with a record of 25-21. Over their last ten games, Milwaukee has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 12-13 and are 13-8 at home. The clubs overall series record stands at 7-7.

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 47.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.0
  • The Brewers have been favored in 56.5% of their games and have runline records of 9-12 and 13-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 21-24.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristian Javier 9 9 52 4-1 3.25 .97 7

 

Across nine appearances, Cristian Javier has a slugging percentage allowed of .389 and enters with a WHIP of .97. His overall record is 4-1 on an ERA of 3.25. For the season, he has a total of 59 K’s, and is averaging 1.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Javier’s record on the road is 1-0 and 3-1 at home. This includes an ERA of 3.59 (road) and 2.99 (home), respectively.

In his last outing, Cristian Javier finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 7-3 victory over the Cubs. Javier gave up one run and two hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Corbin Burnes 9 9 51 4-3 3.48 1.16 5

 

Heading into today’s game, Milwaukee starter Corbin Burnes has pitched at least six innings in four straight games. For the season, he has an ERA of 3.48 and record of 4-3. His total strikeout figure stands at 46 with a slugging percentage allowed of .323. Currently, Burnes has a WHIP of 1.16 and WOBA allowed of .282.

In the 3-0 defeat against the Cardinals in his previous start, Corbin Burnes was tagged with the loss after giving up three runs across six innings of work.

Astros vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Houston has hit 40 home runs so far this season, ranking just 25th in the league. Their batting average of .245 is 15th in the league, while their OPS ranks 18th on the road and 24th at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Yordan Alvarez .293 .387 .571 41 10 0
Kyle Tucker .276 .358 .460 33 7 7
Alex Bregman .218 .328 .362 22 6 1

 

Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Kyle Tucker .353 7 2 1 .710
Alex Bregman .240 5 5 1 .440
Yordan Alvarez .313 6 4 1 .670
Jake Meyers .667 5 3 1 1.083
José Abreu .150 2 2 0 .150

 

With 46 games under their belt, the Brewers are ranked 23rd in the league at 4.2 runs per game. Milwaukee has gone deep 56 times, ranking them 13th in home runs. Their overall batting average is .239, .236 on the road, and .235 at home.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Christian Yelich .263 6 .449 .346
Brian Anderson .259 5 .446 .345
Brice Turang .274 3 .396 .318
Willy Adames .227 6 .412 .306
Rowdy Tellez .236 9 .518 .356

 

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Owen Miller .410 9 3 1 .690
Brian Anderson .233 3 2 2 .633
Willy Adames .207 4 2 1 .393
William Contreras .180 4 1 1 .350
Brice Turang .283 5 1 0 .350

 

Free MLB Pick

I’ll take a team that’s 10-1 in their last eleven games vs. a team that has gone 1-3 in their last four! Not to mention, Javier is looking good and Burnes hasn’t been the lights out pitcher we saw last season. Laying -114 is a nice price to lay on a hot vs. cold scenario. Be sure to check out our NBA pick for tonight!

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