Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Best Bets 6/7/24

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Date: Friday, June 7th, 9:38 ET
Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
TV: None
Money Line: Astros -181/Angels +153
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Angels and the Astros on Friday, June 7th at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, we have the Astros and Angels facing off in an AL West matchup. The forecast for Friday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Framber Valdez is starting for the Astros, and the Angels are starting Griffin Canning.

The Astros are currently the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -181 compared to the Angels at +153. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and first pitch is set for 9:38 PM ET. Houston is 3rd in the AL West, while the Angels are 5th, and they are looking to extend a three-game win streak.

Astros vs. Angels Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 28-35 SU / OU 23-37 / Runline 26-37
Los Angeles Angels: 24-38 SU / OU 33-28 / Runline 36-26

Astros Records & Recent Play

The Astros will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 4-2 loss. Houston was the heavy favorite at -156 at home but fell behind early, as the Cardinals scored three times in the third. The Astros could only score two runs, both of which came in the 5th.

Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Offensively, the Astros only had three fewer hits than the Cardinals but scored just two runs. Yainer Diaz and Trey Cabbage each had a homer.

Houston is 28-35 overall and is 7.5 games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 13-11 in divisional matchups. The Astros will be on the road today, taking on the Angels, and they are 2nd in the AL West.

At home, the Astros have gone 17-18 this year and are just under .500 at 11-17 on the road. As the favorite, Houston is 22-28 this year, and they are 6-7 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 9-10-1, and they won their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.

When betting the run line on the Astros, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 26-37 overall, but they have been a better bet at home, where they are 15-20. As the favorite, they are just 19-31 on the run line, compared to 7-6 as the underdog. Their average run differential is right at zero, but they have been outscored by an average of 1 run per game on the road, compared to outscoring opponents by 0.7 runs per game at home.

The Houston Astros are on the road against the Los Angeles Angels today. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record this season is 23-37, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 5-11. Nearly half of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Angels Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the Padres, the Angels closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +153. Offensively, the Angels scored their three runs on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.

José Soriano put together a good start for the Angels, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out only one. He got the win and was supported by the Angels’ offense, which scored their three runs in the 2nd inning.

With their three-game winning streak, the Angels are 24-38 overall and are in 5th place in the AL West. They are 11 games behind the Mariners for the division lead and are tied with the Athletics for 4th/5th in the division. So far, they have gone 4-5 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Angels are 10-21 this season and 14-17 on the road. This year, the Angels have really struggled in day games, going 6-16. As the underdog, the Angels are 23-34 this season, and they are just 1-4 when favored. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 5-14-1, and they won their most recent series vs. the Padres.

When the Angels win, they win big, as they have an average run margin of +3.5 in those games. When they lose, they lose big, as they have an average run margin of -3.5. They are 36-26 on the run line this season, including 20-11 on the run line on the road. They are 16-15 on the run line at home. They are 3-0 on the run line in their last three games, and they are 3-0 on the run line as an underdog in their last three games. They are 0-5 on the run line as a favorite this season.

The Angels are at home today against the Astros, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Angels games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 33-28. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-12. So far this season, 24.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and 35.5% have had lower lines. The under has hit in their last four games.

Pitching Matchup

Framber Valdez is looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Twins, he only gave up four hits and issued two walks. Looking back further, Valdez had a rough outing vs. the Angels on May 20th, where he gave up eight earned runs in five innings of work. Valdez has a record of 4-3 this season and an ERA of 3.95. Opposing batters are hitting .255 off the left-hander this season. So far, he has made five quality starts and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings.

Griffin Canning will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners, as he gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. Looking at his overall numbers, Canning has made 12 starts and is 2-5 with a 4.69 ERA. Opponents are batting .256 off the right-hander this year. Canning has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 6.39 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 11 homers and is averaging 3.41 walks per nine innings.

Astros vs. Angels Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 2nd best hitting team, with a team batting average of .257. Houston also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, as Tucker’s 19 homers are the best on the team and 2nd in the MLB, while Alvarez is 9th in the league with 12 homers. Over his last seven games, Alvarez is batting .370 with three homers. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/23 with four homers in his last six games.

So far this season, the Angels offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which puts them 21st in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .298 is 18th in the MLB.

Jo Adell and Taylor Ward are tied for the team lead with 11 home runs, but Adell is batting just .198 this season, and Ward is also below the Mendoza line at .253. Mike Trout is also struggling at the plate, with a batting average of just .220.

Free Astros vs. Angels MLB Pick

Framber Valdez was roughed up in his last time facing the Angels, giving up 8 runs on 10 hits in five innings of work. But since then, he’s been better, including giving up just one run across seven innings vs. the Twins in his last outing. On the other side, the Angels haven’t scored more than four runs since all the way back to May 21st. I’m taking the Astros to not only win but cover the run line.