Guardians vs. Rays Total Pick for July 13th

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Saturday, July 13th, 4:10 ET
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: BSSUN
Money Line: Guardians -113/Rays -105
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Guardians on Saturday, July 13th at Tropicana Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The Guardians are the favorites heading into this AL matchup, with their money line odds sitting at -113 compared to the Rays at -105. Today’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game will get started at 4:10 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. Cleveland is 57-36 overall, while the Rays are 47-47.

Looking at the odds for Saturday’s starting pitching matchup, Gavin Williams goes for the Guardians, while the Rays are starting Zack Littell. Cleveland is currently on a three-game losing streak, but they still hold a 1.5 game lead over the White Sox in the AL Central. The Rays are 4th in the AL East. BSSUN will be televising this game.

Guardians vs. Rays Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 57-36 SU / OU 47-40 / Runline 47-46
Tampa Bay Rays: 47-47 SU / OU 45-44 / Runline 44-50

Tampa Bay picked up a 2-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had just two more hits than the Guardians and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -138 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Taj Bradley for the Rays and Carlos Carrasco for the Guardians. Bradley went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game. Carrasco only went five innings and gave up one run, taking the loss.

Yandy Diaz and Alex Jackson were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Diaz, Josh Lowe, and Jackson each drove in a run for Tampa Bay’s offense.

Guardians Records & Recent Play

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Rays having lost three straight games, and they are 57-36 overall, which is good for a 4.5-game lead in the AL Central. The Guardians lead the Twins in the division and are 15-13 against other teams in the AL Central this year.

At home, the Guardians have gone 30-11 this year, and they are 27-25 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 41-20, and they are an even 16-16 as the underdog. Cleveland will be looking to snap their three-game road losing streak today.

When betting the run line on the Cleveland Guardians this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 47-46. They have been a better bet at home, going 21-20, compared to 26-26 on the road. They have lost six straight run line bets on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 20-12 vs. the run line, compared to 27-34 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.0 in losing games.

When the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays meet, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played 63 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 47-40. Cleveland’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 15-10.

Rays Records & Recent Play

Tampa Bay is at an even 47-47 overall as they host the Guardians today. The Rays are 4th in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 10 games for the division lead. Currently, they are 12-18 in AL East matchups this year.

The Rays have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. This season, the Rays are an even 26-26 at home and 21-21 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 20-22 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall.

The Rays have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 25-17. They have a run line record of 19-33 at home and are currently on a two-game run line win streak as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while it drops to -3.8 in losses.

When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Rays is 45-44, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-11. In 66% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Gavin Williams is getting the start for the Guardians on the road against the Rays. He has started two games so far this season, and in his last outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, striking out 5 and giving up 1 home run. In his first start, he took the loss against the White Sox, going 4 innings and giving up 5 runs.

Tampa Bay is hoping that Zack Littell can pitch more like he did on July 2nd, where he picked up the win and didn’t give up a run in five innings of work. In his last outing, Littell was roughed up by the Rangers, giving up seven earned runs in four innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Littell’s ERA for the season is 4.44, along with a record of 3-6. Opposing batters are hitting .290 off Littell this season. The right-hander has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.59 strikeouts per nine innings.

Guardians vs. Rays Offense Outlook

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and have the 8th-best slugging percentage in the league. Cleveland’s offense is led by José Ramírez, who is 2nd in the league with 77 RBIs and has 23 homers, which is 5th in the MLB.

Steven Kwan comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .359 for the season. In his last seven games, he has gone 9/28 with a homer. Over that same stretch, Bo Naylor has gone 3/13 with two homers. Naylor is 2nd on the team with 70 RBIs but is batting just .245 for the season.

Yandy Díaz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/24 in his last six games with a homer and five RBIs. Díaz is currently on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .276 with eight homers, which is 4th in the Rays lineup, and 45 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Isaac Paredes has struggled of late, going just 1/17 in his last six games, but he does lead the team with 15 homers.

Overall, the Rays offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in team home runs and have been striking out at a high rate. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 13th in the league.

Free Guardians vs. Rays MLB Pick

After getting roughed up by the White Sox his first time out, Gavin Williams bounced back with a good outing on July 8th vs. the Tigers. On the other side, Zack Littell just gave up 9 runs in his last start. With the over/under line sitting at just 7.5 runs, I really like the over in this one. Look for this to be a higher-scoring game than expected. I’m going over at 7.5 runs.