Guardians vs. Brewers: Jensen’s Betting Preview and Prediction for 8/16/24

Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Friday, August 16th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: BSGL
Money Line: Guardians -117/Brewers -102 (Bet smarter! Save $ by betting at reduced odds at BAS!)
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Guardians on Friday, August 16th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 8:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Brewers square off in an interleague matchup. Friday’s matchup is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Guardians are currently on a five-game winning streak. They are 72-49 and 1st in the AL Central. The Brewers are 69-52 and 1st in the NL Central.

Cleveland is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Aaron Civale is starting for the Brewers, while the Guardians are sending Gavin Williams to the mound. The game can be seen on BSGL.

Guardians vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 72-49 SU / OU 58-55 / Runline 60-61
Milwaukee Brewers: 69-52 SU / OU 66-49 / Runline 63-58

Guardians Records & Recent Play

The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning that turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score one run, which came in the 4th.

Alex Cobb put together a good start for the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Cleveland heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers having won five straight games, and they lead the AL Central by four games over the Twins. So far, the Guardians are 21-17 in divisional games and are 72-49 overall. They closed out their series vs. the Cubs with three straight wins.

At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20 this season, and they are 34-29 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has been really good this year, going 50-25, and they are 22-24 as the underdog. The Guardians have won two straight games as the road favorite, and their overall series record is 23-11-5 this year.

The Guardians have been a good bet against the run line this season, going 60-61 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 33-30 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have a scoring margin of +0.6 runs per game away from home.

Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs for the Cleveland Guardians’ road game against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-55. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 11-10-4. Overall, 47.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 32.2% have had lines set at under 8 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Dodgers, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing two runs to the Dodgers in the top of the first, the Brewers responded with three runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up just two runs on eight hits and issued only one walk. The Brewers’s bullpen was also solid, as Devin Williams closed things out in the 9th, and the Brewers picked up the +118 win.

Milwaukee is hosting the Guardians today with an overall record of 69-52, and they lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have an NL Central division record of 25-14 this season. Milwaukee is on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games.

The Brewers have been good both at home and on the road this year, as they are 35-24 at home and 34-28 on the road. As the home underdog, the Brewers are 8-9 this season, and they are 31-24 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 21-14-4, and they most recently split their series with the Dodgers.

The Brewers are 28-31 on the run line at home this season, with an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game. They are 63-58 overall on the run line, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 37-18 on the run line as the underdog this season.

The Brewers are at home today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Milwaukee’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-49 overall. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-9-2, and 59.5% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs. Their current over streak is at 2 games.

Pitching Matchup

Cleveland is sending Gavin Williams to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he comes in with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.38. In his eight starts, Williams has pitched two quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.36. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.69 strikeouts and 3 walks. Williams’ most recent outing was a good one, as he went six innings vs. the Twins, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Milwaukee is starting right-hander Aaron Civale today vs. the Guardians. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 3-8 with a 5.02 ERA. So far, Civale has turned in five quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he pitched well, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He got the win in that outing vs. the Reds. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .265 off Civale this season, and his WHIP is 1.39.

Guardians vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241, and their team on-base percentage of .310 is 15th in the league. One area where they have excelled this season is in avoiding strikeouts, as they are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

José Ramírez has been a key part of the Guardians’ offense this season, as he is batting .281 with a team-leading 31 home runs and 98 RBIs (2nd in the league). Over his last six games, Jhonkensy Noel has three homers and is 6/19. Will Brennan comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season, which is good for 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, also averaging 4.9 runs per game. Milwaukee comes into the game with a team batting average of .255, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB.

Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 21 homers is the best mark on the team and 15th best in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 81 RBIs. William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/30 over his last eight games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .285 with 16 homers.

Free Guardians vs. Brewers MLB Pick

The Brewers managed to split their series vs. the Dodgers, but they were the benefits of some luck in their go-ahead 8th inning, and even though they have the largest division lead in the MLB, they have struggled when going against some of the other top teams in the league. For game one of this series, I like the Guardians to pick up the win and am going with the on the money line.

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