Giants vs. Padres MLB Picks and Predictions
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Friday, September 6th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Giants +180/Padres -215
Total Line: 7.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Giants on Friday, September 6th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | +180 | +1.5 | O 7.5 (-119) |
| SD | -215 | -1.5 | U 7.5 (-103) |
At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -215. The money line odds for a Giants win are sitting at +180, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Michael King will be starting for the Padres, while the Giants are going with Mason Black. San Francisco is 69-72 this season, and they are in 4th place in the NL West. The Padres are 80-62 and are 2nd in the division. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.
Giants vs. Padres Projected Lineup
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Fitzgerald | 1 | SS |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | 2 | 1B |
| Heliot Ramos | 3 | LF |
| Michael Conforto | 4 | DH |
| Matt Chapman | 5 | 3B |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 6 | RF |
| Patrick Bailey | 7 | C |
| Grant McCray | 8 | CF |
| Brett Wisely | 9 | 2B |
| Mason Black | – | SP |
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 1 | DH |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2 | RF |
| Jurickson Profar | 3 | LF |
| Jake Cronenworth | 4 | 1B |
| Manny Machado | 5 | 3B |
| Xander Bogaerts | 6 | 2B |
| Jackson Merrill | 7 | CF |
| Kyle Higashioka | 8 | C |
| Mason McCoy | 9 | SS |
| Michael King | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
San Francisco Giants: 69-72 SU / OU 71-64 / Runline 69-72
Giants Records & Recent Play
The Giants’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Diamondbacks in the top of the first, the Giants responded with two runs of their own. San Francisco went on to add another run in the 4th inning and closed things out with a 3rd run in the 8th.
Blake Snell only lasted one inning in his start for the Giants, giving up two runs on two hits. He also issued a couple of walks in the inning. Patrick Bailey, who got the start for the Giants, was excellent out of the bullpen, going three innings and not giving up a run. The Giants also got a big game from Tyler Fitzgerald, going 2/4 with a run scored.
San Francisco is 69-72 overall this season, and they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are in 4th place in the division and have gone 22-21 in divisional games. The Giants lost the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Giants have gone 40-32 this season, and they are just under .500 at 29-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 25-40 this year, and they are 44-32 when favored. San Francisco’s overall series record is 21-20-3, and they have dropped four straight series.
San Francisco has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 38-31. The Giants have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 38-27 compared to 31-45 as the favorite. Their average run differential on the road is -0.5 runs per game, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road against the San Diego Padres today, with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Giants have played in 72 games this season with over/under lines set above 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 71-64, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they are 29-23 in those games.
Padres Records & Recent Play
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after they closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Tigers scored four runs in the top of the 9th. San Diego was the -159 favorite at home going into the game.
Martin Perez was excellent for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings, and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Tigers batters. However, the Padres couldn’t close things out, and Robert Suarez took the loss out of the bullpen. The Padres also wasted a big game from Xander Bogaerts, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
San Diego is five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West as they are 80-62 overall. The Padres will host the Giants today with an overall division record of 20-20. The Padres have been good on the road this year, going 41-29 compared to 39-33 at home.
The Padres have an overall series record of 28-14-4 this year, and they have won two straight series. As the favorite, the Padres are 51-38 and 29-24 as the underdog. They closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a win and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 72-70, and they are 44-26 against the run line on the road. They are 36-17 against the run line as an underdog.
The Padres are at home today against the Giants, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. San Diego has played in 84 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 59.2% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-64 overall.
Pitching Matchup
Mason Black and the Giants are on the road to take on the Padres. Black has made one start this season and took the loss, giving up 2 earned runs over 5 innings. He finished that outing with 6 strikeouts and gave up 1 home run.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants at home. King has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.17 ERA. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 10.57 strikeouts per nine innings. King’s last outing came on August 29th, where he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 3-5 and a 3.66 ERA compared to 8-3 with a 3.36 ERA on the road.
Giants vs. Padres Offense Outlook
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also 18th in home runs and have a team batting average of .240, which is 15th in the MLB. So far, they have been a below-average offense in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Currently, Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos are the Giants’ top home run hitters, with 22 and 20 homers, respectively. Chapman is also leading the team with 69 RBIs. Over his past eight games, Mike Yastrzemski has three homers but is just 6/26 (.231). Tyler Fitzgerald has gone 11/35 in his last nine games but has yet to go deep in that stretch.
San Diego comes into today’s game with the MLB’s top team batting average at .264, and they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. The Padres are also near the top of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are both among the league leaders in RBIs, as Machado’s 86 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Profar is right behind him with 82. Machado also leads the Padres with 23 homers, which is the top mark on the team. Luis Arraez and Jackson Merrill have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Arraez hitting .414 over his last seven games and Merrill batting .290 with three homers in his last eight games.
Free Giants vs. Padres MLB Pick
Looking at tonight’s Giants and Padres matchup, the way I’m going to play it is to take the over. I see this being a steal with the line sitting at just 7.5 runs. Look for a big game from the Padres offense to help carry this game over 7.5 runs.
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