Expert Predictions for Yankees vs. Tigers August 18, 2024

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Date: Sunday, August 18th, 7:10 ET
Location: Journey Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Yankees +103/Tigers -121
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Yankees on Sunday, August 18th at Journey Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Light rain is in the forecast for Sunday’s Tigers vs. Yankees game in Williamsport, PA. Journey Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field is the site of this matchup, and first place in the AL East is on the line for the Yankees, who are 73-51. The Tigers are 4th in the AL Central with a record of 60-64.

ESPN will be televising Sunday’s game, which is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET. Marcus Stroman is slated to start for the Yankees, and the Tigers are going with Tarik Skubal. Detroit is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Yankees vs. Tigers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 73-51 SU / OU 68-52 / Runline 65-59

Detroit Tigers: 60-64 SU / OU 64-57 / Runline 65-59Detroit cruised to a 4-0 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Yankees, they had their best chance to score in the 4th but could only muster four hits in the game.

Keider Montero only went five innings for the Tigers but didn’t give up a run and finished with five strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Carlos Rodon had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up four earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.

Spencer Torkelson and Zach McKinstry each had two hits and an RBI for the Tigers’ offense. Colt Keith also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Jace Jung scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees are 73-51 overall and lead the AL East by one game over the Orioles. New York is 41-24 on the road and 32-27 at home. So far, they have gone just 22-23 in divisional games. The Yankees have won two straight series and are 23-12-4 in series this year.

As the road underdog, the Yankees have gone 17-4 this year, which is part of their overall mark of 18-6 as the underdog. New York has also been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 55-45 this year. The Yankees have won six straight games as the underdog, and their overall record is 5-5 over their last ten games.

When the Yankees are underdogs, they are a solid play on the run line, going 20-4. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.1, and they have covered the run line in six straight games when getting the runs.

With a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game, the Yankees have seen a lot of high-scoring affairs this season. Their over/under record is 68-52, and the average over/under line for their games is nine runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Yankees are 7-6, but only 2.4% of their games have had a lower line than that. The under has hit in their last two games.

Tigers Records & Recent Play

Detroit is 60-64 overall, and they are 12.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional games. The Tigers will take on the Yankees today, and they are 30-32 both at home and on the road this year.

As the home favorite, the Tigers have gone 16-16 this year and 23-21 when favored overall. Detroit has been the underdog in most of its games, going 37-43. The Tigers’ series record is 16-18-5 this year, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Yankees.

When the Tigers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.4 runs per game. So it’s no surprise that their run line record is 65-59, with an even average run margin of -0.0 runs per game. They’ve been a better bet on the road, with a run line record of 38-24, compared to 27-35 at home. They’ve also been a better bet as the underdog, with a run line record of 52-28, compared to 13-31 as the favorite.

The Detroit Tigers are playing as the home team against the New York Yankees today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.3 runs per game. The Tigers have played 74 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 59.7% of their games this season. Their under streak is at four games.

Pitching Matchup

Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far this season, he has made 23 starts and has a record of 8-6 with a 4.00 ERA. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.40. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back, Stroman had a rough outing on August 2nd, where he gave up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. Stroman has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and 3.38 ERA compared to 3-5 with a 6.09 ERA at home.

Tarik Skubal has been pitching well for the Tigers, as he comes into the game with a record of 14-4 and an ERA of 2.53. Skubal has made 24 starts this season and has a total of 18 quality starts. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, coming away with the win. Looking back further, Skubal has won three of his last four starts. The left-hander has been tough to hit this year, with opponents batting just .197 off him. Skubal’s 180 strikeouts rank third in the league.

Yankees vs. Tigers Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. New York has been the best team in the league at drawing walks and has the best on-base percentage in the league. They also have the top OPS in the league and are 2nd in team home runs.

Yankees’ center fielder Aaron Judge has been on fire of late, going 11/25 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .332 with a league-leading 44 home runs. Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .302 with 34 homers.

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. As a team, they are batting just .231 and have an on-base percentage of only .295. Detroit’s offense has been led by Riley Greene and Matt Vierling. Greene is batting .264 for the season and is the team’s leader in homers (17) and RBIs (51). Vierling is right behind him in both categories, with 14 homers and 46 RBIs.

Over his last four games, Kerry Carpenter has gone 5/16 with three homers and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .256. Carpenter’s three homers in his last four games is the top mark on the team.

Free Yankees vs. Tigers MLB Pick

The Tigers just blanked the Yankees last night, and now they have Tarik Skubal on the mound, who is 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA in his last seven outings. As for Marcus Stroman, he has been bad over his last seven outings, going 1-3 with a 6.60 ERA. Look for the Tigers to win this one, and go with them on the money line.

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